Musk-Trump dispute includes threats to SpaceX contracts
329 points
10 months ago
| 30 comments
| spacenews.com
| HN
onlyrealcuzzo
10 months ago
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It's wild that a president can say, "I don't like Elon anymore, so out of retaliation, I'm canceling all his government contracts," and ~40% of the country doesn't see that as corruption in any way, shape, or form.

Government contracts should not be based on whether or not the president likes the CEO, and the CEO says enough good things about the president.

If you can cancel contacts not based on merit, then it should extend you're likely willing to grant contracts not based on merit and based on nepotism instead.

This is literally the path that led the USSR to ruin. If anyone says anything you don't like, their funding is gone, even if it shoots the country in the foot. If people kiss your ass enough, they get contracts, even if it's clear they're just spending the money on hookers and coke and yachts and not delivering on promises, and it shoots the country in the head.

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pessimist
9 months ago
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It turns out that when elections are fought on the basis of identity (race, religion) etc corruption is actually considered a benefit! This is because the loyalists interpret this as "we" are winning and "they" are losing.

I witnessed this up close in India where parties openly exist to benefit certain constituencies based on caste, language, religion and so on.

It is horrifying to see this attitude take root in my adopted land.

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clumsysmurf
9 months ago
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> corruption is actually considered a benefit! This is because the loyalists interpret this as "we" are winning and "they" are losing.

I think the end goal is domination. From https://mastodon.social/@JuliusGoat/109551955251655267 :

It’s best to understand that fascists see hypocrisy as a virtue. It’s how they signal that the things they are doing to people were never meant to be equally applied.

It’s not an inconsistency. It’s very consistent to the only true fascist value, which is domination.

It’s very important to understand, fascists don’t just see hypocrisy as a necessary evil or an unintended side-effect.

It’s the purpose. The ability to enjoy yourself the thing you’re able to deny others, because you dominate, is the whole point.

For fascists, hypocrisy is a great virtue — the greatest.

https://hac.bard.edu/amor-mundi/hypocrisy-and-fascism-2018-0...

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dralley
9 months ago
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>It’s best to understand that fascists see hypocrisy as a virtue. It’s how they signal that the things they are doing to people were never meant to be equally applied.

For my friends - everything, for my enemies - the law.

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AlexandrB
9 months ago
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I used to love this pithy quote but reflecting on it more recently this doesn't seem like something limited to fascists or fascism. Indeed, this kind of thinking is used by those of any political leaning when ideology becomes more important than principles. An obvious example is the USSR.
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danielheath
9 months ago
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Authoritarianism is the umbrella term describing the behaviour of both fascist states and various others. AFAIK all fascist states have been authoritarian - but it’s a common outcome anytime the people running the government are replaced en masse.
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palmfacehn
9 months ago
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The tyranny of the majority is another, often overlooked form of authoritarianism.
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WhyIsItAlwaysHN
9 months ago
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Good point, and much harder to challenge. If the majority is against an authoritarian there's protests and sabotage of social structures. If the majority oppresses a fringe group, it's often socially encouraged
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palmfacehn
9 months ago
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For these reasons, I personally believe authoritarianism cannot be opposed without a solid foundation of individualism. The problem becomes that explaining ideological nuance is rarely politically expedient or even rhetorically effective. Appeals to collectivism are more easily digested by the masses.
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EasyMark
9 months ago
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that's kind of what the USA is going through right now but it's more aptly described as "tyranny of the plurality" because Trump didn't win either majority of of registered voters or majority of the actual vote.
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palmfacehn
9 months ago
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Regardless of tiresome partisan hyperbole, I don't regard the substance of this administration's actions as any more authoritarian the previous or the status quo. In the specific instances where state power has been expanded, I regard it as part of the general trend of expansion. The trend is more indicative of the overall incentives and structure of governance, rather than specific political actors. Similarly, partisan recriminations fit with the same pattern.
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ringeryless
9 months ago
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i tend to see trumps abuse of office as an unprecedented claim to powers a president does not, did not, and should not have.

only partisan blinders would cause one to equate trumps actions with anything from our past.

mark my words, maga is about dismantling the american system and establishing a totalitarian state. obey.

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danielheath
9 months ago
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IMO, Obama claiming the power to assassinate US citizens on US soil (by declaring them "foreign combatants") was primarily different in that he only used it a little bit.

https://www.aclu.org/press-releases/obama-administration-cla...

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account42
9 months ago
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As is the tyranny of the minority.
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consumer451
9 months ago
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This is a great example of the horseshoe theory of politics [0], which I believe in very strongly. I made a separate post if anyone cares to discuss it. [1]

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Horseshoe_theory

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44214040

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thephyber
9 months ago
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Horseshoe Theory is stupid.

It’s based on the flawed assumption that politics can or should be understood on a single axis. It can’t and shouldn’t be. That heuristic is wrong.

If viewed on a 2d axis, the “cohorts that appear similar” on the ends of the horseshoe are still on opposing ends of one of the axes, despite being near each other on another axis.

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consumer451
9 months ago
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I see it as the gateway to people realizing that the left/right 1D line, and even the political compass, are ridiculous.

IMHO, political positioning should be described as a tensor, where each data point is the person's position on a specific policy.

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rendall
9 months ago
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Horseshoe theory has always read like a Pythagorean epicycle to me, an attempt to redeem a broken model. For a reductive political model, I prefer the 2 dimensional Collectivist-Individualist, Authoritarian-Libertarian axes. No need to literally contort the outdated Left-Right spectrum.

An added benefit is you get to avoid annoying semantic battles such as whether Nazis or Fascists are Right wing or Left wing.

Plus you get to add other axes as needed. My favorite, perhaps relevant today, is principled vs. expedient: do we apply principles like this "Rights" stuff impartially, even to people with whom we disagree, or do we just git 'r done?

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consumer451
9 months ago
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To me, the horshoe theory is just a step in the right direction. It shows the limits of a straight 1D line to describe politics, and is a stepping-off point for deeper exploration.

Ideally, maybe we would describe a person's politics with something like a tensor, where each value is the person's support of a specific policy.

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rendall
9 months ago
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Hmm. I guess I feel that "The Horseshoe Theory" is worse than useless. It implies that as someone gets "too much" Right or Left, they inevitably become authoritarian, as if centrists cannot be authoritarian. It equates "weirdness" with "bad". I'd argue that we should skip straight to identifying "authoritarianism" as the problem, and the not having weird or even extreme leftist or rightist ideas.
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consumer451
9 months ago
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This is a really interesting argument that I had not previously considered. It might take me a few days/weeks/months to fully process. Thank you.
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popalchemist
9 months ago
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Agreed, the matrix expresses this idea more exactly.
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ahf8Aithaex7Nai
9 months ago
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It should be a trident theory.
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consumer451
9 months ago
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If you don't mind, could you expand on this a bit?
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ahf8Aithaex7Nai
9 months ago
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> I see it as the gateway to people realizing that the left/right 1D line, and even the political compass, are ridiculous.

When this theory is used in discourse, it is always a matter of suggesting that the left fringe and the right fringe are equally to be rejected. Stalin and Hitler, communism and fascism, class struggle and racial theory, Das Kapital and Hitler's Mein Kampf, dictatorship of the proletariat and Nazi dictatorship: the righteous liberal democrat must keep his distance from both extremes in equal measure. The golden path lies in the balanced middle. I am tired of criticizing this nonsense. It is an ideological lie.

The trident means that there is just as much ideology, corruption, political dysfunctionality and all kinds of drivers of suffering, misery and resentment in the supposed political center. But it is very well hidden because it wears a kind of ideological cloak: the horseshoe theory.

So to respond to your sentence I quoted above: the horseshoe theory IS the political compass that should be ridiculed.

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FireBeyond
9 months ago
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Absolutely. See "the only moral abortion is my abortion".

Republicans can play all sorts of games because their mistresses will always be able to get an abortion on the DL without consequence, while "single black mom? 25 to life for murder!"

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wyre
9 months ago
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Red fascism is a term that has been used to equate Stalinism with fascism, so maybe the quote still has merit?
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pinkmuffinere
9 months ago
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For my true friends, champagne! For my sham friends, true pain.
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kennyadam
9 months ago
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Close, but the correct version has better wordplay: "Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends."
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KennyBlanken
9 months ago
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[flagged]
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andyjohnson0
9 months ago
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> I think the end goal is domination. From https://mastodon.social/@JuliusGoat/109551955251655267

I don't know whether Trump can accurately be described as a fascist, but its been clear to me since his first term that domination is the only thing that matters to him. The obscene wealth and the swaggering deceitfulness and the gold-plated bathrooms are just the secondary outcomes of his need to dominate.

Domineering father-figure; raised as a sociopath; given a lot of money. Kind of inevitable.

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wefinh
9 months ago
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Yeah, only the issue here is that @realFascists are in opposition to Trump. And reading this text in that light - it check out and not really a news.

Also, frankly, you folks need to stop monopolizing these topics, based on highly polarized ideological filter, because even before Trump there was dissatisfaction about how Musk monopolized NASA contracts on the promise, that he would deliver more efficient and cheaper solution, while in reality the result is that NASA is currently paying more for Musks private solutions, than when it had to do it by itself. There are sure many other options to what Musk offers and if Trump is there to break up that monopoly and open up the market, then it is a win situation.

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Cipater
9 months ago
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>there was dissatisfaction about how Musk monopolized NASA contracts on the promise, that he would deliver more efficient and cheaper solution, while in reality the result is that NASA is currently paying more for Musks private solutions, than when it had to do it by itself

SLS, NASA's rocket, costs $2.5 billion, PER LAUNCH.

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avmich
9 months ago
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Can you clarify what reality you're talking about? How NASA would do it cheaper?
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wqaatwt
9 months ago
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That’s all very nice but according to Trump this only suddenly became a problem only a few weeks ago due to some reason. So whatever you are saying has absolutely no relevance to this decision making. If Musk continued licking his boots he’d be doing fine..
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shigawire
9 months ago
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Doublethink
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tempodox
9 months ago
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I think double standards would be a better term than hypocricy. Hypocricy would imply the pretense to be bound by certain rules, but the whole point of fascism is that those in power are not bound by any rules. They only make rules to bind others. I don't see any hypocricy in the openly advertised corruption of the current administration, it's just plain evil of the “we do it because we can” sort.
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BeFlatXIII
9 months ago
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> It turns out that when elections are fought on the basis of identity (race, religion) etc corruption is actually considered a benefit! This is because the loyalists interpret this as "we" are winning and "they" are losing.

In history textbooks, it's known as the spoils system.

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ethbr1
9 months ago
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For those unaware of ~1900 US political history and how the spoils system was dismantled through political will: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civil_service_reform_in_the_...
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EasyMark
9 months ago
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hopefully this time around it will go a little quicker, aka one term. project 2025 specifically pointed out all "disloyal" government employees should be kicked out and only those who bent a knee to trump should replace them, whatever their actual merit and ability to occupy the position
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more_corn
9 months ago
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But is his plan to only stay one term?
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FranzFerdiNaN
9 months ago
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The goal is to make sure the Republicans never lose another election ever again, no matter how. So yeah no it won’t last only one term.
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alephnerd
9 months ago
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Vote banks and patronage politics has always been a thing in the US, especially at the local and state level. The main difference is a significant portion of governance was temporarily de-politicized in the 1960s-90s period as leadership on both sides of the aisle had formative unifying experiences during the World Wars and the Korean War, but has been re-politicized now that activism on both sides of the aisle has resurged and social polarization has taken root.

The expansion of executive powers also played a role in this erosion, as both the judicial and legislative branch increasingly devolved their prerogative to the executive, leaving it much more open to political tampering and reducing the power of checks and balances.

There's a reason LKY in SG, Yoshida Shigeru and Sato Eisaku in Japan, and François Mitterrand in France tried to decentralize power to a semi-independent civil service.

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pessimist
9 months ago
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Low-level corruption at the local/state level is related but its effects are different though. In fact even today low level corruption in the US is extremely low by global standards - you can't bribe your way to a drivers license openly, for example. I'm sure it happens but it's not common or openly boasted about (parts of CA or DC could be an exception).

Here the corruption is openly displayed as a kind of peacock-tail to the beneficiaries.

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alephnerd
9 months ago
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I'd rather not have a whole discussion over this atm (I'm out rn - maybe later), but I recommend reading Yuen Yuen Ang's paper on "Unbundling Corruption" - there are different typographies of what "corruption" is, and some nations have always had a similar type of corruption compared to others.

In addition, low level corruption is orthogonal to grand corruption as can be seen in Singapore, Japan, South Korea, and the US.

Finally, Indian public discourse around corruption is non-targeted, and fails to contextualize significant institutional differences in how local, state, and federal governments operate in India compared to other states (be they democratic like the US or authoritarian like China).

[Feel free to add questions or points of contention, but I won't be able to reply quickly]

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pessimist
9 months ago
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Fine, I don't disagree with anything you point out. However where we differ is that I believe identity politics is the trigger factor here, all the other changes you mention (loss of balance of power etc) are downstream of this.
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lern_too_spel
9 months ago
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Your causal diagram is backwards. Identity politics isn't the path to corruption. Corrupt politicians like Trump use identity politics to gain power to practice their corruption. Nobody who wanted to bring back Christian hegemony and re-oppress minority groups is cheering that Trump is threatening to take away contracts from Musk because "their side is winning."
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lostlogin
9 months ago
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> minority groups

This includes ‘women’. A group that probably has a small majority.

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brookst
9 months ago
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Women are definitely a majority by demographics.

But in the US, “minority” means “less poticial power”. By any reasonable measure straight white “Christian” men should be about 20% of the population, yet somehow they have 80% of political power.

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hiatus
9 months ago
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> Identity politics isn't the path to corruption. Corrupt politicians like Trump use identity politics to gain power to practice their corruption.

These two sentences, taken together, lead me to exactly the opposite conclusion—exploitation of identity politics allows one to gain power to enact corruption. You play into what people want by being the savior they think they need and then once in power do whatever the hell you wanted in the first place.

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walleeee
9 months ago
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Idpol can exacerbate corruption. There are strong feedback dynamics.

And to reply to the comment above yours, there are material factors upstream of idpol. It's not a coincidence that sort of thing is in renaissance across the world.

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wqaatwt
9 months ago
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> you can't bribe your way to a drivers license openly

No but when it comes to local government contracts, building permits and similar stuff its quite different. Also a lot of (what sane people would consider) corruption is legal and institutionalized.

i.e. bribing politicians running for office is perfectly legal and entirely expected by all sides (that Americans are so open about this is quite unique).

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0xDEAFBEAD
9 months ago
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I understand that US federal law makes it difficult for a politician to appropriate campaign donations and use them for personal expenses.
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neilv
9 months ago
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Interesting; is there an accessible 10-minute read on this US (edit: governance) de-politicized/re-politicized history, or does it have a name?
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medler
9 months ago
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The notion that this kind of politicization started in the 90s is fanciful revisionism. It wasn’t really a thing in the US until about 2017. The word it’s known by is Trumpism.
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neilv
9 months ago
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I'm familiar with the rise of talk radio, News Corp, Web propaganda, alt-right, etc., in politics and public sentiment.

What's new to me is that the last couple decades might be a reversion to a pre-war mode of US governance.

(I know WW2 was unifying in some ways, as we'd expect, but I don't recall much from school about how US politics was played before then, other than punctuated events like the Civil War, civil rights movement, etc.)

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throwawaymaths
9 months ago
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its revisionism to say that the US has been free of politicization this bad. for most of its history, not counting the civil war very minor (and very major) issues sparked massacres, revolts, and even minor wars between states.
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KennyBlanken
9 months ago
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First off, Trump skyrocketed to political fame with his nonsense claims about Obama's citizenship.

The slide started in the 80's when Reagan killed off the 'fairness doctrine' which meant news outlets could present completely one-sided coverage of an issue.

Couple that with massive consolidation of newspapers and TV news stations where all the programming is heavily coordinated and groups like Sinclair started pushing identically worded "false news" narratives across all their stations: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_fHfgU8oMSo

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nfg
9 months ago
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I recommend people read this to see why this comment is wrong: When the Cloke Broke by John Ganz https://a.co/d/hL4vo7d
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fcatalan
9 months ago
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9/11 was a big turning point in my experience. American conservatives that I considered online friends were simple impossible to reason with within days and completely alien beings after a few weeks.
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jfengel
9 months ago
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Interesting. Things did change on 9/11 but it seemed incremental to me. Before that was the constant investigation of Clinton by Gingrich, the dog whistling of Reagan, Nixon's Southern Strategy, and before that to McCarthy and so on.

This is high level rather than your direct experience, so it's not a contradiction. Just a different perspective.

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xnx
9 months ago
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Yes. Almost everything about our current situation can be traced back to Newt Gingrich and Rush Limbaugh. Things were much more civil and reasonable before that point.
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seanmcdirmid
9 months ago
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I don’t know. Nixon had goons breaking into the DNC headquarters (and his whole southern strategy led to racially polarized politics up to this day), and there was that senator who got beaten by another senator just before the civil war. Eisenhower waited in the car rather than attend a meeting with Truman on his inauguration.
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wat10000
9 months ago
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Nixon was forced to resign in disgrace to avoid impeachment when it came out. The dude in the White House now did much worse and he was rewarded with reelection.
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metabagel
9 months ago
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It has actually been a gradual process for decades from the John Birch Society to Paul Harvey to Rush Limbaugh to Newt Gingrich to Dick Cheney to Citizens United to Donald Trump.

Edit: Forgot Pat Buchanan. He belongs in there somewhere.

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alterom
9 months ago
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Trumpism is just Reaganomics brought to its logical conclusion.
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baobun
9 months ago
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This predates Trumpism.
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0xDEAFBEAD
9 months ago
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You can see the rise of left-wing identity politics by looking at term usage in the NY Times:

https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2019/06/th...

It started before 2017. The right adopted identity politics as a response to the left doing so. Note that even NY Times word usage is a lagging indicator -- this is a case of prestige media picking up trends which originated on social media such as tumblr.

Vox even wrote a defense of the shift back in 2015, with an article called "All politics is identity politics":

https://www.vox.com/2015/1/29/7945119/all-politics-is-identi...

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sirtaj
9 months ago
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Are you tracking actual identity politics or the term "identity politics"? Because the meaning of the term applies just as much to ending slavery, womens' suffrage and civil rights movements.

Otherwise, you might as well argue that fake news only existed from 2016 onwards, because that's when Google Trends says it did.

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0xDEAFBEAD
9 months ago
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>Are you tracking actual identity politics or the term "identity politics"?

The term "identity politics" is not being tracked. Rather, terminology used by modern left-wing idpol ideology is being tracked. See here: https://davidrozado.substack.com/p/new-york-times-word-usage...

>the meaning of the term applies just as much to ending slavery, womens' suffrage and civil rights movements.

I'm not sure that's true. E.g. Martin Luther King Jr spoke of the "magnificent words" in the Constitution and the Declaration of Independence. Modern activists would say: "Written by dead pale male slaveholders. We need more diversity! Where are the voices of women and POC?" For King, ideas took precedence over identities. For modern activists, it's the opposite.

The American Anti-Slavery Society was predominantly white. That's puzzling for a movement driven by identity politics. It does make sense for a movement driven by universal humanitarian ideals.

In any case, if you still think I'm wrong, and identity politics is an essential force behind trends such as the civil rights movement -- then I suppose you'll be happy that it's being adopted by the political right in the United States? Since it's got such a great historical track record, surely results will be good? ;-)

>Otherwise, you might as well argue that fake news only existed from 2016 onwards, because that's when Google Trends says it did.

This is a bad analogy, because fake news itself doesn't use the term "fake news". If "fake news" was an ideology which was characterized by particular terminology, we could graph the use of that terminology to document the rise of the ideology. That's what's being done here.

In any case, I do believe that "fake news" (in the narrow sense of websites which write completely bogus news, with no effort at reporting, to drive clicks) is a phenomenon which has, in fact, become more widespread relatively recently (due to the ease of internet publishing etc.) So that's another way in which your analogy is invalid. Fake news did increase in popularity when Trump was the GOP candidate, relative to when Romney was the GOP candidate. And Google Trends helps illuminate that!

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sirtaj
9 months ago
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I think our definitions of "identity politics" differ too much to have a useful discussion about it. I'm going off the most common definitions I can find (eg dictionaries, wikipedia), but perhaps I'm looking in the wrong place.
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burnte
9 months ago
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> It is horrifying to see this attitude take root in my adopted land.

Agreed, and I was born here. I was taught we expressly want to reject those things, and now it's all the fashion. It feels like a temper tantrum from a third of the electorate, a rejection of adulthood and reason.

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hinkley
9 months ago
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It's because we tried to take down the 'no girls or brown people' sign.

All of this is a long temper tantrum about Obama and then Mrs Clinton, emphasis on the Mrs.

If I had a time machine I would take documentation back and convince someone that we need a few more Old White Guys to let the GOP's base unrustle their jimmies for a bit.

I predicted something like this coming back in the late 90's, not that anyone should have listened to me about civics. I say 'like this', but... not like this. And if I had someone would have requested "wellness checks" (which is American for 'check to see if we can have him involuntarily committed to a mental facility) on my behalf.

My notion back then was that the vibe of the country was such that a black man would need to be elected before a white woman was a serious contender. But that there would have to be a delay. When you rush progress you can spin out. And fuck if we haven't spun out.

Maybe they'll go for a whip-smart gay man next term? Who knows.

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0xDEAFBEAD
9 months ago
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>It turns out that when elections are fought on the basis of identity (race, religion) etc corruption is actually considered a benefit! This is because the loyalists interpret this as "we" are winning and "they" are losing.

So how could one design a political system so this behavior doesn't emerge / is not incentivized?

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avaika
9 months ago
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In no way this is a good example of such a system, but I still find Bosnia and Herzegovina political system absolutely hilarious. After Dayton peace agreement the literally put ethnicity requirement for presidents to Constitution as a hard rule. One Bosnian, one Serb and one Croatian. And yes, the country is ran by 3 presidents at the same time. So there is no longer a competition whether the main guy in the country will be theirs or ours.

There were two guys: a Roma and a Jew in BiH who also wanted to take the president office. However according to Constitution they didn't have a chance. So they went to EU Human Rights Court to look for a justice. The court told the country it's kinda racist to have a rule like that and they should change it. This was like 15 years ago. Guess whether the rule has changed since then. (Sejdić and Finci v. Bosnia and Herzegovina for more details).

PS. If you find 3 presidents not fascinating enough, then google for High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina.

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roryirvine
9 months ago
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Northern Ireland has a similar system, with an executive built on a forced coalition.

The executive is led by a First Minister and Deputy First Minister (despite the difference in title, they have exactly equal powers), who are selected from the largest party representing each of the two main communities.

Major decisions require cross-community support - at least 50% of all those voting AND 50% of the representatives of each of the two communities, OR 60% of all those voting AND 40% of the representatives of each of the two communities.

On paper, it seems slightly absurd... but in practice, it's a reasonable way to deal with deeply divided societies.

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soulofmischief
9 months ago
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I don't know... Never go to sea with two chronometers; take one or three. Two guys with equal power is a recipe for inaction in critical moments.
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tdeck
9 months ago
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In practice Northern Ireland is subordinate to Westminster in most "critical moments".
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0xDEAFBEAD
9 months ago
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I like this term "forced coalition". How about a traditional parliamentary system where a supermajority is required to pass legislation?

I assume if you need 70% to pass legislation then you get a grand coalition pretty much every time?

I guess it could incentivize brinkmanship among coalition partners though, since the leader of the coalition has less leverage if a small party threatens to quit?

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0xDEAFBEAD
9 months ago
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Interesting.

When I put my programmer hat on, there's something inelegant about this approach, because it involves hardcoding the words "Bosnian", "Serb", and "Croatian" into the constitution.

It seems like with a sufficiently clever electoral rule, you could generate a small "national steering committee" with an odd number of members, where each major faction is guaranteed representation. But that also sounds a lot like a parliament where there's one party for each ethnic group, and then we're back where we started?

What happens when the 3 presidents disagree? Maybe the trick is to incentivize consensus-driven decisionmaking?

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avaika
9 months ago
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>What happens when the 3 presidents disagree? Maybe the trick is to incentivize consensus-driven decisionmaking?

That's where High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina comes into play. This is external guy appointed by the EU (US also was participating in the appointment in the beginning, but they withdrew themselves from the process quite a few years ago). This guy has the power to fire any (like ANY) politician in the country. And the permission to overrule or enforce any law.

This guy is probably controlled by EU and can't turn into dictatorship mode, but you never know. At the very least two times presidents were fired due to political disagreement.

EU considered to discontinue this practice, but local people encouraged EU to leave things as is. Cause nobody trusts politicians and the systems is still pretty corrupt.

Anyway, whatever decision presidents have to make, all 3 must agree. That's why a lot of controversial topics are hanging for eternity (e.g. recognition of Kosovo).

When country was trying to choose a national flags, all the parts couldn't find the agreement for a long time. That's why High Representative just approved his own version nobody really liked. So today if you visit the country, you will find Serbian flag in the parts where Serbs live and Croatian flags in the part with Croats. Actual country flag normally is in the parts where majority is Bosnian.

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sterlind
9 months ago
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having three is interesting because it gives a way to break ties. how do they handle candidates with mixed ethnicity, though? or the Serbians and Croatians converging, while the Bosnians move farther apart from both?
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intended
9 months ago
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This has not emerged due to the political system, this has emerged due to the issues in the information economy.

The core issue is that news cannot compete with entertainment, and the firms that appeared after Murdoch on the right, insulate themselves and their politicians from the need to be accurate.

The cycle is essentially:

1) Fringe theory appears on the internet

2) Fringe theory is picked up by Notable Person (Someone who is able to come on Prime time Television)

3) Notable comes onto media network and repeats fringe theory

4) Reporting can now cover Fringe Theory as main stream

This economy of ideas shares little with the processes on the center and the left. People who come up with counter arguments don’t end up getting amplified.

This has demolished the exchange and debate of Ideas, and it has worked in all liberal democracies. Implacable Partisanship has been rewarded.

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Atreiden
9 months ago
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Get rid of FPTP and the Electoral College that enables a two-party stranglehold. If a vote for a third party wasn't a wasted vote, we could see nuanced parties and politicians emerge that don't have to tow a party line.
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0xDEAFBEAD
9 months ago
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Strengthening third parties can also increase extremism though. Consider parties such as Reform in the UK or AfD in Germany.

I think what you want is electoral rules which tend to select for consensus-makers. Approval voting would be an example.

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solumunus
9 months ago
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FPTP is what makes Reform so dangerous though. They have a real chance of having a lot of power. In a proportional representation system where parties have to share power in coalitions these extreme parties actually have to be involved in government, at which point they’re exposed as completely incompetent. See the Netherlands right now for example. I would rather have these extreme positions represented, because they will be represented poorly. It takes wind out of the populist sails, where they can no longer simply promise everything until they’re in power and completely destroy the country.
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0xDEAFBEAD
9 months ago
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I think FPTP ends up working out a lot different in the parliamentary context. The US only has 2 parties in Congress, despite FPTP.

In terms of strength of 3rd parties, I'd say they are generally quite weak in the US system, somewhat stronger in a proportional representation parliamentary system, and potentially overpowered in a FPTP parliament like in the UK.

Historically I believe the 2-party system in the US was pretty good at tamping down on extremism, but recently the 2 major parties have acquired too many extremists.

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zimpenfish
9 months ago
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> the 2 major parties have acquired too many extremists.

You're blaming both parties for where the US is now?

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0xDEAFBEAD
9 months ago
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solumunus
9 months ago
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MAGA is basically a reaction to the far left.
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secos
9 months ago
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Ranked Choice Voting goes a long way to solving this as well.
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t_mann
9 months ago
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Does it? Could you explain which mechanism you suggest using? Because the main results from social choice theory about ranked choice voting that come to mind seem to be all about impossibility of fair elections (eg Arrow) or even paradoxical situations such as cyclic preferences (eg Condorcet).
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pornel
9 months ago
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These kinds of perfectionism complaints keep the status quo of FPTP, which is the worst of them all.
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cardiffspaceman
9 months ago
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Since none of the proposed replacements can be perfect according to the theory, let’s just stick with the worst one.

Big fat /s

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trueismywork
9 months ago
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You need to educate the people and convince them on how it works. Easily a 30 year project in places like India.
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FireBeyond
9 months ago
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Easily a 30 year project in the US, too.
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0xDEAFBEAD
9 months ago
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Yep. Sadly, Ranked Choice is not doing too well at the ballot in the US.

https://ballotpedia.org/Results_for_ranked-choice_voting_(RC...

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unicornporn
9 months ago
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How about not creating a precarious underclass with lack of (higher) education that is ready to vote for whatever solution promising to take down the system that made them so desperate for radical change?
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0xDEAFBEAD
9 months ago
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If the functioning of your nation's political system depends on the functioning of your nation's education system or your nation's economy, you've created a circular dependency. The education system and the economy are themselves downstream of the political system. Dysfunction in one tends to create dysfunction in the others. See https://www.econlib.org/library/Columns/y2004/Caplanidea.htm...

A good political system is one which continues to work well even when education and the economy suck, so societal self-repair is possible. Ideally it would actually start working better when things suck, so society becomes antifragile.

"More college diplomas" is not a great solution when existing graduates are already working at Starbucks. This is the "elite overproduction" which creates instability.

Americans already have a relatively high standard of living by global standards, e.g. see median income adjusted for cost of living: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/daily-median-income?tab=t...

Yet Americans are still dissatisfied. Part of the problem is that our political system incentivizes candidates and media outlets to stir up dissatisfaction so they can exploit it. There's also envy / the hedonic treadmill.

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CamperBob2
9 months ago
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I don't really buy the education argument. How do you "educate" somebody who lived through the first Trump administration and voted for more of the same? Let's get specific: what exactly did they miss in school that would have driven them towards a different decision?

At some point it's necessary to confront the uncomfortable truth: stupid people are easy for smart, ill-intentioned people to herd, which gives the latter a leg up in any democratic election.

This bug in democracy was there in the beginning. But it's only now, 2500 years later, that it can be exploited effectively enough to invalidate the whole concept.

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tshaddox
9 months ago
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> At some point it's necessary to confront the uncomfortable truth

Sometimes the truth is even more uncomfortable than “lots of people are stupid.” A much more insidious scenario is when there’s two groups with no major differences in education or access to facts, but one has a cultural which is actively and explicitly hostile to truth. In such scenarios, ever-escalating hostilities between the two groups is inevitable.

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0xDEAFBEAD
9 months ago
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>This bug in democracy was there in the beginning. But it's only now, 2500 years later, that it can be exploited effectively enough to invalidate the whole concept.

Not sure where the 2500 number came from. The US is about 250 years old, and the founders were extremely wary of democracy based on its history prior to the US. The US constitution was designed to mitigate issues with democracy, e.g. that is the purpose of "checks and balances". By democracy standards, the US has been very successful; the average constitution only lasts 17 years: https://www.law.uchicago.edu/news/lifespan-written-constitut...

This article estimates that the US is the #2 longest-lasting republic after the Roman Republic: https://www.broadstreet.blog/p/the-democratic-institutions-o...

Nonetheless, you would think that the "technology" for writing constitutions would've evolved more in the past 250 years. And in fact, in the Federalist Papers, it is predicted that political technology will evolve, just like any other field of technology. Yet results there have been quite disappointing, if you ask me. There aren't that many interesting and innovative ideas in this area. Most people, even programmers, tend to get lost in the object level us-vs-them conflict instead of going meta with their creative algorithmic brain.

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0xDEAFBEAD
9 months ago
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My comment is too old to edit, but I would like to issue a correction. I should not have written "This article estimates that the US is the #2 longest-lasting republic after the Roman Republic", since the caption for the figure in the article states something different ("Duration of Long-Lived Democracies", i.e. the word "democracy" is used rather than "republic", and also there wasn't a claim to "longest-lived")

Never trust internet comments!

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alimw
9 months ago
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> Not sure where the 2500 number came from.

Athens probably? From what I remember of school, this was the world's first democracy. (I've heard that Americans are taught something else!)

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0xDEAFBEAD
9 months ago
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I didn't get the impression that Athenian democracy was particularly successful. So it seemed weird to say that the flaws in democracy are only now becoming apparent.

In fact, I understand that CamperBob2's critique of democracy is quite similar to that of Socrates. So I'm puzzled by the claim that it's "only now" that the critique is being proven correct, given that US democracy is notably more stable and long-lived than Athenian democracy.

In general, I think times of turmoil are always much more salient when you yourself are living through them. We lack the historical perspective to understand how bad turmoil has been in the past.

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CamperBob2
9 months ago
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The flaws in democracy were always apparent, and they've always been exploited by parties willing to do the dirty work. But they couldn't be exploited consistently and decisively. Now they can be.

Think of it this way: you can't reach people who don't read much by starting a newspaper, but you can reach them with Fox News and Twitter. Mix in a bit of that old-time religion -- Billy Graham with a side of sauce Bernays -- and the left-hand side of the bell curve is yours to do with as you please.

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ringeryless
9 months ago
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umm Switzerland disagrees with the assessment of the USA being the oldest democratic republic. If we are only speaking of republic, Portugal has been one since the 12th century, albeit there's been 10 or 11 iterations on the constitution, including Salazars so-called New State.
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0xDEAFBEAD
9 months ago
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Propelloni
9 months ago
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They missed that liberty and freedom is not a god-given right, but hard-earned privilege. They missed that liberty is not a personal property but a shared practice of pluralism. They missed that liberty is not absolute, but requires compromise and limitations so that we all can be free.

To be fair, those are not things that are taught in school. If they come up at all it is in some historical context, a battle someone else fought--and won. There is no mention that maintaining a liberal democracy requires effort and vigilance. Modern, ie. post-WW2, "fighting democracies" have built-in safeguards to oppose internal enemies of democracy, but if they are effective remains to be seen. The USA mostly does not even have such mechanisms and it shows.

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0xDEAFBEAD
9 months ago
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>Modern, ie. post-WW2, "fighting democracies" have built-in safeguards to oppose internal enemies of democracy, but if they are effective remains to be seen.

Eh, "internal enemies of democracy" is way too vague. E.g. Trump supporters claim that "unelected bureaucrats" in the "deep state" are enemies of democracy. Anyone can call anyone an "enemy of democracy".

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Propelloni
9 months ago
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Those fighting democracies are very specific about what is and what is not irreconcilable. For example, in Germany you can murder the president--that's just homicide--but you cannot abolish the protection of minorities. That's a violation of the constitution. Germany's far-right party Alternative für Deutschland has been under suspicion of violating a few of those provisions for quite some time now.

The Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution (aka. Bundesamt für Verfassungsschutz) completed a report a few weeks ago but is required by law to withhold it from the public due to due process. Of course it leaked, you can read the report here [1] (it's in German, obviously).

Now there is a discussion ongoing, if the Alternative für Deutschland has to been dissolved. That's a fighting democracy at work, following the rule of law.

[1] https://assets.cicero.de/2025-05/Geheimgutachten_Teil%20A.pd...

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0xDEAFBEAD
9 months ago
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I'm not sure Germany's approach is a good one, based on the historical record:

https://www.thefire.org/news/blogs/eternally-radical-idea/wo...

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Propelloni
9 months ago
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Me neither, but as the discussers point out, the Weimar Republic totally failed to apply serious consquences, e.g. Hitler's very short arrest after the Munich coup. Besides, the safeguards include more than limiting free speech.

Of course, those safeguards were designed in the late 1940s, so it's interesting, to say the least, how they cope with modern demagoguery. In any case it is worth a try.

Tangentially, that's a great site! I hadn't heard of FIRE before, but I'm glad they exist. I hope they don't get suborned by one side or the other.

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petre
9 months ago
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I see it as a continuation of the American Civil War in politics. There was always this attitude but now people are more redicalized, so it's more obvious.
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lotsofpulp
9 months ago
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It seemed more subdued during the 1990s/2000s, until a black guy became President, and a good one at that.
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FireBeyond
9 months ago
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And then the Democrats wanted to put forward a... a... a woman, too!
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tshaddox
9 months ago
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In that case, it would be neat if corruption were illegal!
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ty6853
9 months ago
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Or just more accessible, so the average person can get a piece of the benefits that cartels and megacorp executives already get.
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supriyo-biswas
9 months ago
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Voila, we've ended up with a low trust society with "petty corruption", which is generally considered harmful as it establishes something about that society that cannot be easily corrected unlike "grand corruption."
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kamaal
9 months ago
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>>I witnessed this up close in India where parties openly exist to benefit certain constituencies based on caste, language, religion and so on.

+1

As an Indian, classic definition of corruption here is something that other people do. When our own do it, its not really called corruption, its more intelligent work done to make our people win.

Similar term is appeasement. It kind of means if people I hate are winning, they must be doing bad things or cheating. It is impossible that people I hate should do well in life.

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natmaka
9 months ago
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> "we" are winning and "they" are losing

This is a very important rule stated by the War Nerd: 'Most people are not rational, they are TRIBAL: "my gang yay, your gang boo!" It really is that simple. The rest is cosmetics.'

A small human group is compatible with this tribal behavior because the bulk of actions (or at worst their effects) are quickly perceptible to everyone. The larger the group, the less each person understands what is happening, even the effects of what he does.

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pengaru
9 months ago
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I don't know wtf War Nerd is, but tribalism being alive and well is nowhere near a new/novel observation worth noting anyone pointed out.
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palmfacehn
9 months ago
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Agree that it is not a novel observation, but it is worth noting here. The discussion would be less ridiculous if there were less tribalism.
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natmaka
9 months ago
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It is about more than "being alive and well" but being omnipresent and determinant.

Stating it is useful because many neglect (or maybe even ignore) this fact.

The way the War Nerd puts it is IMHO the best.

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creato
9 months ago
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This is why the standard for something to be considered improper behavior is (or used to be) the appearance of a conflict of interest.

People stopped giving a shit about anything. This is just one of dozens of things that would have been totally unacceptable a few years ago.

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andrepd
9 months ago
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The world is no longer a serious place.

Everybody is turbo-infantilised via social media. I don't know if that's indeed the root cause or if it's a combination of factors, but the fact remains that people don't even feel the need to _pretend to care_ about honesty, character, seriousness, etc.

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pantalaimon
9 months ago
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Social media is easy to blame, but we had something similar, but worse happening in Germany well before the invention of the computer even.

Human society has not developed an antidote to charismatic demagogues yet I'm afraid.

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aerhardt
9 months ago
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Human society is limited in the antidotes to human nature that it can code through law, institutions or culture. It’s the same species throughout 1930’s Germany and today.

We shouldn’t give up on law, institutions or culture, but accepting our failings instead of seeing humans as a perfectible project can at least give us solace in confusing times.

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herewulf
9 months ago
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Sorry, but Germany had just suffered a humiliating defeat and was punished severely for WWI in which all sides were equally guilty for all of it.

When did something of this magnitude just happen in the USA?

P.S.: This does not excuse Germany's actions wrt. WWII but it does help to explain.

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gota
9 months ago
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Just an opinion, but -

An entire cohort born between 1985~1995 reached their 30s in what they perceived as a far, far worse situation all around (financially foremost, but also almost every social aspect) than their parents.

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DoctorOW
9 months ago
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For many reasons (including the ones above) it's difficult for any institution within reach of the US government to analyze how the alt-right took power but from what I can tell the US economy is in a slow burn. It's been receiving patches roughly once a presidency but it turns out you can't combine a lot of short term solutions to make a long term one. Fixing the economy would require bold decisions and the parties took two different directions. The Republican party realized that any bold policy would get votes regardless of any other factor including coherency. This is why Trump supporters, when asked about their logic usually give some form of "things are bad, and they didn't used to be".

To summarize, there are competing ideas for what got us here, but I think it was less of a real inciting event like WW1 and more of a breaking point that was eventually reached.

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Scea91
9 months ago
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> WWI in which all sides were equally guilty for all of it.

Not true, while Germany was not solely responsible, it and Austria-Hungary were much more responsible than others.

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Gigachad
9 months ago
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This kind of stuff would not fly in Australia. Not to say that there is no corruption, but that it isn’t absolutely blatant and ignored.
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Waterluvian
9 months ago
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Yeah. Same in Canada. Nowhere is free from corruption, but the magnitude and danger of this problem is uniquely American.
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slavik81
9 months ago
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I have lived in Alberta my entire life and that used to be true here. It's different now. There's blatant corruption from our provincial government in the news every few months, but it seems like that's just accepted now. Things are not trending in a good direction in Canada.
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sirtaj
9 months ago
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The far right pretty much across the world is learning just how fragile and consensus-based the institutions of democracy are all at once. They're watching and learning from each other. Hence you have people like Bannon involved in similar tricks in multiple countries.
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Waterluvian
9 months ago
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Oddly enough Albertans poll Carney as favourably as Poilievre. So I see what you see but in general I do not believe it’s actually that bad.

Plus Alberta has always on again off again thrown middle-child tantrums.

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Merad
9 months ago
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Are you really so sure? I think the vast majority of Americans would have expressed the same sentiment less than 10 years ago.
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Gigachad
9 months ago
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Obviously I can’t tell you what will happen in 10 years, but if the Prime Minister of Australia did even one days worth of Trumps actions he would be removed within a month or two.

Australia also doesn’t have an almost religious worship of politicians. Australians don’t identify as members of a particular party unless they literally are part of it.

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alfiedotwtf
9 months ago
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There’s a huge difference between the US and Australia here that you slightly touch on - in Australia, the Prime Minister can be removed by the ruling party at any time vs the US where removing the sitting President can only be done via a handful of items from the Constitution
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mvdtnz
9 months ago
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Don't play coy. If a small number of Republican representatives decided they would impeach Trump they would have absolutely no problem getting the votes they need and you know it. They don't do it because that's not what they want.
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intended
9 months ago
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Republicans have said clearly that they will only act when core support for trump drops. And that has not dropped no matter what.
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megamyth
9 months ago
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Republican representatives are lobbyists to the public for the 1%. It was clear that they hated Trump and wanted him out in his first run and what they want matters as much as what a car salesman wants for Ford.
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rat87
9 months ago
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I'm not sure America had that sort of cult thing pre Trump. JFK was pretty popular as was Regan but even they weren't the same. You guys do have a vote of no confidence which theoretically is easier to pull off then impeachment (majority vote)
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FireBeyond
9 months ago
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Only with a lot of effort. I'm old enough to remember the ICAC in NSW and the CCC in Queensland (Joh Bjelke-Petersen was a bit before my time)... the widespread "travel expenses" fraud that permeated for YEARS.
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emptysongglass
9 months ago
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Your government recently mandated technical capabilities for breaking encryption. Australians let that fly. There is nothing special about Australians, just as there is also nothing special about the British people who also did nothing when the UK mandated technical capabilities to break encryption.

One could even make the argument that the people of these two countries are even more pliant than Americans when they enable a key capability for totalitarian surveillance states without a blink.

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Gigachad
9 months ago
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There was nothing blatantly corrupt or illegal going on there, it went through the normal process and was unfortunately supported by both major parties. I’m not saying objectionable laws never get implemented. I’m saying the Prime Minister is not a dictator with limitless power.
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jamil7
9 months ago
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The corruption in state government, especially WA for example is pretty blatant but I get your point.
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gambiting
9 months ago
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I remember when certain social media networks argued that having a real name policy will lead to a more polite, kinder internet, because people won't be as rude with their real names attached to their posts. Turns out, people really don't care. I see the most vile, disgusting, racist, xenophobic shit on Facebook every single day, with real names and pictures showing smiling happy people hugging their kids on every one of them. Like you said - people don't feel any need to care about honesty, character, or even appearance of politeness or good manners.
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SoftTalker
9 months ago
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I think they might have figured out that a lot of that honesty and character was a facade. Is the false appearance of morality better than just showing yourself as you really are?
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dasil003
9 months ago
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You mean that people lie and cheat? That's always been the case. The point of honesty and character is precisely that they reflect a person's ability to value a higher good than their immediate self-interest. Let's not throw the baby out with the bathwater.

The fact that reputation has been subjected to unprecedented arms race in the face of the internet and social media doesn't fundamentally change the game, it just makes it more exhausting and overwhelming to pay attention to.

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cycomanic
9 months ago
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motorest
9 months ago
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> It's wild that a president can say, "I don't like Elon anymore, so out of retaliation, I'm canceling all his government contracts," and ~40% of the country doesn't see that as corruption in any way, shape, or form.

This is what a fascist dictatorship looks like. You have a leader who adheres to the persona of a strong man perpetually fighting against enemies who are both too weak and too strong, and at the drop of a hat their enemies change. Then of course rule of law doesn't apply anymore because the strong man in charge is the law, so he is supported in arbitrarily abusing and corrupting the state for his own personal benefit because his personal victories are sold as a show of stength.

The US needs to wake up to the fact that they are now living under a totalitarian dictatorship. The rest of the world is already well aware.

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curt15
9 months ago
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>Then of course rule of law doesn't apply anymore because the strong man in charge is the law,

Is it any accident that JD and Elon keep calling for "rule of the people" instead of "rule of law".

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the_af
10 months ago
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Agreed.

It's also wild that someone who was a major contributor to the election campaign and a major advisor to the president now declares "well, the president is a pedophile" and nobody bats an eye either. I mean, Musk supporters now have to believe Musk knowingly supported a pedophile but only turned against him after he had a falling out for unrelated reasons? In the eyes of his supporters, what does this say about Musk?

(Note: whether the accusation is true or not is irrelevant; what matters is that Musk supported someone whom he claims to know is a pedophile).

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BLKNSLVR
9 months ago
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That's a great point about both the pettiness and corrupting influence of power.

Trump and Musk are trash human beings and the world would be better off if they were both 100% occupied with trying to destroy each other, with the hope being that then some adults could come in and run the country / companies.

I think Trump was probably always trash. Musk may have had redeemable qualities at one point, but, well, as per my first sentence.

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aisenik
9 months ago
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Musk is a known pedophile-accusation-maker and affiliated with the Epstein child rape organization through his Kung-Fu lessons with Ghislaine Maxwell. Prior supporters will be less reactive for the first reason and more likely to perceive the situations as unfounded petty accusations for the latter (the dissonance of both Trump and Musk being connected to child rape is resolved this way).
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jordanb
9 months ago
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Not only that but Musk was able to successfully argue in court that he's such a well known liar that a reasonable person wouldn't take his accusations of pedophillia seriously
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the_af
9 months ago
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Wow, I didn't know this.

I didn't even know this was a possible defense at all, "everything I say is bullshit, so if anyone takes it seriously, that's on them".

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xnx
9 months ago
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Fox news attempted this defense in court "Fox persuasively argues, that given Mr. Carlson's reputation, any reasonable viewer 'arrive[s] with an appropriate amount of skepticism' about the statement he makes."
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casefields
9 months ago
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Maddow and MSNBC made the same argument in court. It’s a very useful defense for these entertainment news programs.
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wat10000
9 months ago
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A pox on all of them.
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fhdkweig
9 months ago
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My memory is a bit fuzzy, but that was also Trump's family's response to the financial statements related to his businesses when it came up in court. But I don't remember which court case it was.
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FireBeyond
9 months ago
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That was the one where he told the IRS the buildings he owned were worth $(x)M for tax purposes, but was simultaneously having them valued at $(10x)M for loan collateral purposes.
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amiga386
9 months ago
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> Musk is a known pedophile-accusation-maker

Laughably so.

Musk: I can save those boys trapped in the cave! We can use this stupid submarine thing of mine.

Hero: No need, I and my Navy SEAL cave-diving pals have got this.

Musk: How dare you! You're a pedo.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-44779998

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-50695593

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-45418245

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lostlogin
9 months ago
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Would you bet against accusation in this instance?

The existing recordings and convictions against Trump don’t seem to have hurt him. Why would this?

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thrance
9 months ago
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He was sued for that by the guy and won his trial by convincing the judge that "pedo" is actually common Afrikaner lingo, and it was a casual insult. This country is a joke.

Also doesn't remove the fact Trump was one of Epstein's closest friends, and everything points to him being involved in some way or the other in those affairs.

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ZeroGravitas
9 months ago
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Musk's brother was introduced to his girlfriend by Epstein.

Epstein mentored a young model who went onto be a neurosurgeon and married Microsoft's Sinofsky.

Bill Gates had a meeting with Epstein during which an ex-girlfriend of Epstein's who was once Miss Sweden just happened to turn up with her 15 year old daughter.

I'd quite like someone to investigate if our billionaires are being honeypotted left, right and center because it appears you can control a big swathe of the world's wealth if you get old rich nerds laid.

It's still not clear if Epstein made his money by blackmailing yet another Billionaire.

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majormajor
9 months ago
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Trump/Epstein connections have been reported on for years with photos and videos so anyone who cares probably was already on the anti-Trump side.

While Musk has a bigger megaphone than most media, he also has a credibility issue - and now especially for the Trump-true-believer crowd that is likely the only group whose bubble would be so shielded that they'd see it as news.

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redeeman
9 months ago
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trump was one of the people that originally provided all they knew about epstein to the prosecutors, and once he realized what epstein was, he was banned from all trump venues. What did other do?
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drivingmenuts
9 months ago
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It's kind of his pointless go-to A-bomb insult, yet, this time, it's within the realm of possibility. I mean, I don't not believe it and I don't think I'm alone in that.
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randomcarbloke
9 months ago
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theoretically he might have discovered this after he had paid for Trump's win. I despise the guy but it's entirely possible that he was blind to the publicly available evidence before seeing the secret evidence.
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Geee
9 months ago
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He supposedly learned it after the fact.

Also, he didn't say that, although he surely implied that. However, he only said that Trump is in the "files", which has actually been public information for a long time. It's known that Trump had some relations with Epstein, but there's no evidence he went to the island or did something wrong.

It's quite obvious that Elon knows that Trump is not on the actual "list", i.e. the list of Epstein's clients who went to the island. That's why the message reads like a silly insult, rather than a serious accusation.

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the_af
9 months ago
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> He supposedly learned it after the fact.

When exactly? He was friends with Trump and working in his administration until a few weeks ago (they hugged in his going away ceremony), and he broke up for reasons explicitly not about any pedophile rings.

So to lob this accusation now doesn't seem like it's because he just learned of it.

I don't know what Musk really believes. The guy behaves like a mentally unstable person, but maybe it's an act? What is true is that accusing the president of the US of being linked to a pedophile ring is not the same as accusing some random scuba diver of being a pedophile.

The scuba diver cannot really fight back, but I think the president of the US might.

(Based on replies to my comments elsewhere, I feel compelled to clarify I'm in no way defending Trump. I think this is a fight between two nasty people).

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evan_
9 months ago
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I think having 400 billion dollars earns a person a measure of resp- well, whatever Trump is capable of that would equate to respect
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wefinh
9 months ago
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Trump is very interesting critter to observe.

>>>What is true is that accusing the president of the US of being linked to a pedophile ring is not the same as accusing some random scuba diver of being a pedophile.

I think you might have bigger issues here. Trump has links to mafia - and that is a fact. I'm more interested on what he was doing in regards to Ukraine, as post Soviet mafia(Georgian-Soviet Jewish mix in NY) via NY US Italian? mafia helped him a lot and gave him loans for his projects. Over the time Kremlins took over Soviet mafia and incorporated it - it might sound like a joke, but it is the truth - all the countries have mafia, but in Russia mafia is running country.

So, from the actions of Trump on how he is dealing with Ukraine, Trump is no better than Biden and Democrats that were frozen by fear because of the threats that Putin said. Which is good... if you want to see fireworks of nuclear weapons in action, because US actions(and inactions) are enabling that. Putin will use nukes on US - for many reasons - mainly because Putin is not at fault here and is misunderstanding American mindset, which is not completely decommissioned by Democrats.

From what I understand Musk simply has no leverage what Kremlin mafia has over Trump, also Musk is autistic who has no training on how to influence other people the way how Putin(could be slightly autistic, as he is mirroring what Russians want - just like Hitler did) does as he is blunt and uses brutal force, which people as social beings does not appreciate.

There is also significant difference between Trump and Musk - Trump can say things bluntly, but he also can operate on personal level and have different attitude to very important people - also he likes flattery. Musk has only one of those qualities - he can say things bluntly(but without confidence and aura of power), but as autistic he is completely unaware of when he should really shut up when he is not in control of situation.

PS Trump, Musk, even the opposition to me are insects and entomology of humans is just a hobby to me. Unlike most of people from US(and apparently people that can't understand that they are not part of US) I have my own thoughts, that I don't have a need to resonate and change in frequency according to some general line of one side or other.

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myvoiceismypass
9 months ago
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wtf did i just read?
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root_axis
9 months ago
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thrance
9 months ago
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Trump was Epstein's best friend according to the latter, in his conversations with the ghostwriter that would write his memoirs. There are videos of the two at 1990s parties, judging women and laughing together. Trump was also mentioned in Epstein's black book.

I feel like you downplay their relations with your "Trump had some relations with Epstein". There is definitely something fishy as to why they still haven't released the entirety of the files, and lie about having done so.

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krapp
9 months ago
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To be fair Elon claimed that Trump is mentioned in the remainder of files which have yet to be released. Presumably what evidence there is of wrongdoing, if it exists, exists there.

"Pedo guy" Musk being Musk, though, who knows? What is the likelihood Musk would even have access to those files if they were so damning to Trump and still sealed?

Nothing about this is "quite obvious." It could go either way. To be honest I wouldn't put it past either one of them to be on Epstein's "list."

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Geee
9 months ago
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I think the tone of the message would be way more serious if it was a serious accusation based on actual evidence. Now it reads like a kindergarten level conspiracy theory, which almost seems like a joke. The silly claim was that Trump being in the files is the reason why they aren't released.

And apparently he has now deleted the tweet.

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krapp
9 months ago
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Without seeing the unreleased files we can't know how silly the claim is.
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sega_sai
9 months ago
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It is also interesting, that many people here somehow have no issues with trump cancelling federal contracts with Harvard, prohibiting student visas for harvard, firing entire sections of NSF, NIH, NOAA, but when it comes to contracts with spacex, they react.
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handoflixue
9 months ago
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There's plenty of threads about all of those issues here on Hacker News - why do you think the people reacting to SpaceX didn't also react to the rest?
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sega_sai
9 months ago
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Some people do react to all, but the parent comment that I commented on just mentioned the spacex situation, like it's something new, while this is just the continuation of what's be going on for months.

And I've certainly seen people on HN trying to defend grant cancellations, Harvard attacks, NSF firings etc. I obviously can't be sure what those people's opinions are on the spacex threats, but I conjecture, that many of them don't like them, while they were ok with the attacks on universities, science agencies.

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matwood
9 months ago
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Cancelling contracts out of spite or for revenge without due process is wrong in all cases. Including SpaceX. Though I have to say it’s entertaining to see Musk’s own companies be effectively DOGE’d.
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inglor_cz
9 months ago
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"I obviously can't be sure what those people's opinions are on the spacex threats, but I conjecture, that many of them don't like them"

Your original comment didn't mention that you were conjecturing anything, you just stated your conjecture as an observation or a fact.

Less charitably, this is called building a straw man.

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jrflowers
9 months ago
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> I conjecture, that many of them don't like them, while they were ok with the attacks on universities, science agencies.

This is a good point. If you imagine something in your head in a particular way, it is not the same as if you imagine it differently in your head. For example, if I imagine that all dogs are boys and all cats are girls, it paints a different picture of the world than if I imagine that there are both male and females of both animals.

It is a curious phenomenon

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insane_dreamer
9 months ago
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Nearly all of them were flagged (at least initially).
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inglor_cz
9 months ago
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"Not commenting" does not necessarily translate into "having no issues".

Too much stuff is happening, not everyone comments on everything, and frankly your comment is only helpful to the administration by dividing its opponents.

If you want to see any efficient pushback at all, don't apply purity litmus tests to your potential allies.

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jmyeet
9 months ago
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6 of the people who think all this is completely fine are Supreme Court justices.

All of this is enabled by the completely illegitimate Supreme Court decision that made the president a god-king by inventing out of thin air the concept of "presidential immunity".

Not only is the scope of "official duties" so broad to make prosseuction next to impossible but the majority went out of its way to say you can't even examine the communications between the president and the DoJ.

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nradov
9 months ago
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This contract dispute has nothing to do with Presidential immunity from criminal prosecution for official acts. Cancelling SpaceX contracts for political reasons would be wrong but not criminal.
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catlifeonmars
9 months ago
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The point is we won’t find out because presidential immunity also protects against discovery. Cases that previously could have been decided on the merits won’t even make it to adjudication.
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nradov
9 months ago
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No, that's not how it works. The Trump v. United States case had no bearing on civil discovery.
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overfeed
9 months ago
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Bur it protects against criminal discovery, Civil cases can be quashed by current president uaing methods that used to be criminal for a president.
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cosmicgadget
9 months ago
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What about Nixon?
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peterfirefly
9 months ago
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It was not out of thin air. There's a reason why the impeachment process is in the Constitution -- and why it's perfectly normal for countries to have Parliamental Immunity and processes quite similar to the US impeachment for government ministers.
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cosmicgadget
9 months ago
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We have legislative immunity called the speech and debate clause. It doesn't shield lawmakers from other crimes, nor should it, and it certainly doesn't imply some sort of expansive executive immunity.

The founders were rebelling agaisnt an untouchable executive, remember?

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voidfunc
9 months ago
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If the founders thought it was so important the President not have immunity from all crimes they would have written it such rather than leaving it to interpretation.
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dragonwriter
9 months ago
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> If the founders thought it was so important the President not have immunity from all crimes they would have written it such

They did; by writing in explicit immunities for some constitutional officers for certain activities, they implicitly rejected other immunities for those and other constitutional officers, by the legal principle “expressio unius est exclusio alterius”.

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wqaatwt
9 months ago
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That the opposite of how laws work..
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voidfunc
9 months ago
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Opposite of common law, but exactly how the Constitution works.
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wqaatwt
9 months ago
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Well if the constitution does not explicitly grant a certain right it can’t just appear out of nowhere? At this point it’s about the “spirit” of the constitution not what is in the document itself since there is no mention of presidential immunity.

On the other hand it does grant the members of congress immunity under certain circumstances so it’s unlikely they just forgot about the president when writing it.

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JCattheATM
9 months ago
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~40% of the country sees that as strength.

Democracies only really work with an educated and altruistic population, and the US is only getting further away from that.

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inglor_cz
9 months ago
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This sounds like an utopian take or a case of "the grass is greener on the other side".

Americans believe that Denmark or Switzerland has an educated and altruistic population. But if you talk to a Dane or a Swiss person about politics, they will laugh and tell you that their country is full of evil and stupid idiots, too.

I am inclined to agree with Acemoglu that good institutions are more important than virtues of the population.

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Barrin92
9 months ago
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>This sounds like an utopian take or a case of "the grass is greener on the other side".

Well, it wasn't. It's a take made by the 2nd president of the United States, John Adams:

"John Adams said, “Our constitution was made only for a moral and religious people. It is wholly inadequate to the government of any other.”[1] Morality and virtue are the foundation of our republic and necessary for a society to be free. Virtue is an inner commitment and voluntary outward obedience to principles of truth and moral law. Private virtue is the character to govern oneself according to moral law at all times. Public virtue is the character to voluntarily sacrifice or subjugate personal wants for the greater good of other individuals or the community. Specific moral virtues include charity, justice, courage, temperance, reverence, prudence, and honesty"

This is in a sense self evident because any self governing society can only function if its people are equipped with the reason, morality, and temperament to sustain it. Appealing to "good institutions" is tautological. The reason why some places have good institutions and others have bad institutions is precisely because of character of the people who build and maintain them.

https://www.johnadamsacademy.org/apps/pages/index.jsp?uREC_I...

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JCattheATM
9 months ago
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> But if you talk to a Dane or a Swiss person about politics, they will laugh and tell you that their country is full of evil and stupid idiots, too.

They're right, but it's a significantly smaller percentage than the US, small enough to not do nearly as much damage as the US counter-part population does.

That Dane or Swiss person will also readily agree how shocking the average education level of the average American is.

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danans
9 months ago
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> Americans believe that Denmark or Switzerland has an educated and altruistic population. But if you talk to a Dane or a Swiss person about politics, they will laugh and tell you that their country is full of evil and stupid idiots, too.

It seems like both of those can easily be true at the same time.

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sandworm101
9 months ago
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The new reality. Every corporate decision made today now must involve an analysis of the local and national government authority, thier political leanings and thier tendancy towards vindictivness.

Does anyone not think that every major corporation is not commissioning psychological reports on certain US leaders? They have public affairs and social media consultants to gauge public reactions. Now they need head shrinks to tell them if and how the guy in the big office might react, be that a state governor, the president, or any number of politically-minded media owners.

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brookst
9 months ago
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Why pay shrinks when you can pay baksheesh to political underlings who claim to be connected? Sure, most of them aren’t, but corruption is a statistics game. You spend $100k on that one guy who really does sleep with the masseuse of the astrologist for dear leader, and it can be a 10,000% return in days.
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protocolture
9 months ago
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Everything you say is true.

That said I think SpaceX is the only service even in the running for said contracts. Nasa doesnt have the capability, and Boeing is quite a way behind. There was already speculation that SpaceX would have to take on Boeings commitments for Artemis.

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slimebot80
9 months ago
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It's murky. NASA outsources a lot of money to SpaceX because Musk could burn through risk and money at levels NASA would get cancelled for.

At what point is SpaceX's benefiting from tax money and NASA technology become a reason to fold into a national asset.

China didn't achieve its Great Leap Forward by pandering to wealthy celebrities who cosplay as geniuses.

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hollerith
9 months ago
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>Great Leap Forward

Altough most readers will catch your meaning, that phrase does not mean what you think it means.

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protocolture
9 months ago
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>At what point is SpaceX's benefiting from tax money and NASA technology become a reason to fold into a national asset.

Was speculating that this might be the outcome. If you wanted to punish musk this would be the way to do it.

You would need to pay off Boeing at the same time but it could work.

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inglor_cz
9 months ago
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The Great Leap Forward (1958-62) was an absolute disaster that resulted in widespread famine.
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antifa
9 months ago
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It's a great example of Move Fast and Break Things applied to government.
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cameldrv
9 months ago
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Likewise that Elon can say Trump is “ungrateful” that be received $150 million in campaign donations because he withdrew the nomination for Elon’s NASA administrator. It’s just open bribery.
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sigmoid10
9 months ago
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American democracy died on the day the supreme court overturned campaign finance restrictions. Since then US politics is a mere playground for billionaires and corporations.
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intended
9 months ago
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Nah, America was on this trajectory from watergate. The day the other party decided they wanted to give up on bipartisan efforts, and started primary-ing their own for bipartisan behavior, you took a step down this path.

With the advent of Murdoch’s papers and news efforts, the infinite money and credibility glitch allowed for these specific circumstances to occur.

The question is whether the information economy is downstream of the political economy, or vice versa.

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sigmoid10
9 months ago
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That's a different problem. Toxic bipartisanship has been around for a long time with supporters and opponents. But a single billionaire outright buying a candidate to the point where he can claim that the president would not be in office without him is madness.
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intended
9 months ago
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This is madness from the perspective of a general citizen point of view.

The mechanisms which were broken, that let these events come to pass - these began with the decision to end bipartisanship by republicans.

This isn’t about toxic bipartisanship, which isn’t even an issue. Unadulterated partisanship as a political strategy, is the start.

The enablement is the news ecosystem that was set up to defend these actions, and eventually launched the conversations entirely out of the gravitational well of facts and norms.

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WalterBright
9 months ago
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Harris outspent Trump 3:1. Hillary outspent Trump 2:1. It's not that easy to buy an election.
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dragonwriter
9 months ago
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This is misleading (it is approximately correct if you look only at candidate committee spending, but it excludes outside spending—where the advantage went the other way, and the outside spending in 2024 exceeded campaign committee spending.)
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mindslight
9 months ago
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Even if the figure itself weren't misleading, basing the argument around it is. The problematic dynamic isn't that the most money makes for a guaranteed win - rather it's that whomever does manage to win will be inclined to work for their major sponsors, especially if they will be up for reelection.
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brookst
9 months ago
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Elon spent more on behalf of Trump than the entire official Harris campaign spent. This is a terrible argument.

We know the Supreme Court legalized unlimited campaign spending, and we’re not dumb enough to think Elon’s money wasn’t part of the Trump campaign.

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WalterBright
9 months ago
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Elon spent well over a billion dollars on the campaign? You'll need a cite for that.
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stevenwoo
9 months ago
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That figure does not include outside supporters spending campaigns. It's disingenuous to not include dark money spending. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/final-price-t... It's closer to 1.8 billion for Harris supporters versus 1.4 billion for Trump supporters in 2024. That also does not include various media outlets bought in the past decades, including One America News/Fox/Sinclair sandbagging for Trump for the last eight years, at this point, shouldn't one include the budget for Fox News and OAN and Sinclair not to mention the spiking of negative news stories/opinions by LA Times/Washington Post? Even CNN was bought in past year by conservative and the leading story last month for a while was Jake Tapper's book about Biden.
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xnx
9 months ago
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Strong upvote. The Murdoch succession drama is one of the most important things affecting the future of US democracy. There are a lot of smaller and even more radical networks, but I don't think they have the reach and influence of Fox.
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WalterBright
9 months ago
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FOX is indeed all in for Trump. But on the other side of the ledger, there is the media that was all in for Biden - NPR, CNN, ABC, NBC, CBS, MSNBC, NYT, etc., during the same time period.
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intended
9 months ago
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Oh heck no! This is the error in comparison that is allowing an unfair competition between the left + center vs the Right wing information economies.

The whole point of journalism and freedom of speech was to create a market place of ideas that allows for competition between ideas.

The right side of the information sphere insulates its viewers from the left and center. They do not get punished by their own for platforming inaccurate or fringe theories. Instead they compete on getting the more viral narrative platformed, while voices that counter the inaccuracies do not get platformed.

They are a demagoguery machine. The political party and news media are the same entity.

The left and center are largely stuck with the ideas of being relatively true to facts, getting punished by members for getting things wrong.

There are people on the left which are trying to recreate the success of the fringe right, which has become the core base on the right.

They are starting a decades long process, that began around watergate.

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rat87
9 months ago
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The counterpoint is that there is no rational or sane defense of Trump. The rest of the media criticized Biden plenty, arguably way too much in their attempts to be seen as neutral. Meanwhile there is almost nothing good about Trump. So if they write like 90% stories that seem to be against Trump it means they're biased towards Trump.

Almost regardless of political positions it's hard to argue Trump is fit or qualified to be president. He is openly corrupt, persuing an economic policy the vast majority of Conservative economists think is idiotic, and has called our veterans losers. Has never held any other government post has no knowledge of government policies and worse doesn't care to learn. Even though his ignorance is causing a lot of damage including to his voters he doesn't seem to care to learn about how any policy stuff works.

To counter that you need media like Fox or worse OAN/News Max to put out propaganda because it's impossible for even the most partisan person to defend him if they're an honest and thoughtful person

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WalterBright
9 months ago
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> The counterpoint is that there is no rational or sane defense of Trump.

The point is about does spending buying an election, not rationality or sanity.

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SonOfKyuss
9 months ago
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I invite you to spend an hour watching Fox News and then an hour listening to NPR and still claim those are just two sides of the same coin. The level of bias, propaganda, and active misinformation is so much greater on Fox News and it’s not even close. They’re not even pretending to factually report the news anymore. Every single piece is straight propaganda for the Republican Party. The best example of this difference is how mainstream media responded to Biden’s disastrous debate performance. The New York Times and CNN were covering it pretty blisteringly from the get go. There was no sugar coating it. Compare that to how Fox News spins the daily depravity of the Trump administration, and it speaks for itself
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boojums
9 months ago
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I vouched for this comment because it sparked an interesting discussion chain on candidate vs. third party spending.
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yongjik
9 months ago
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On the positive side, Trump is so unstable that he'll trash your business one day and then the next day he'll reverse course. So, "if people kiss your ass enough, they get contract" does not seem to be a long-term viable strategy. (Exhibit A: Musk.)

I'm 90% sure it will lead to America's ruin, but it might not quite be the same path that led the USSR to ruin. Hey, at least it looks more entertaining! :/

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rchaud
9 months ago
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> but it might not quite be the same path that led the USSR to ruin.

The end of the Soviet Union as a political and geographic entity was not its ruin. What ruined it and opened the door for a strongman ruler was:

a) an inexperienced President (Yeltsin) who lacked a unifying vision for the newly formed republic and wasn't respected by its business elite or by foreign leaders

b) the 'free market liberalization' reforms passed overnight, with minuscule oversight that predictably led to the open looting of the nation's resources by well-connected elites who quickly absconded abroad with their riches, leaving the country at the mercy of international creditors looking for deals heavily tilted in their favour

c) multiple economics crises triggered by a loss of confidence in the country's currency and ability to service its foreign debt. The Russian bond default of 1998 famously led to the collapse of the American hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management.

Present circumstances in America aren't that different. All it's currently missing is a civil war to call its own, like Chechnya.

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vkou
9 months ago
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Yeltsin was the strongman ruler of the 90s. When parliament wouldn't kowtow to him, he launched a bloody coup and then rewrote the constitution to consolidate power in his office.

The only thing that he was truly unsuccessful at as a politician was failing to shrug off some bullshit credit card bribery scandal.

When you've deployed tanks and mortars against the lawful government, and everyone's fine with that I can't understand why you'd let a few thousands dollars that you put on a company credit card bring you down.

> Present circumstances in America aren't that different.

They are different, in the sense that all the damage happening right now is both unnecessary and self-inflicted. Russia needed to do something to transition from the USSR. Shock therapy was a terrible 'something', but it's at least possible to see how it got there.

2025 is... Something else entirely.

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cma
9 months ago
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> an inexperienced President (Yeltsin) who lacked a unifying vision for the newly formed republic and wasn't respected by its business elite or by foreign leaders

Probably can't mention Yeltsin in the context of strongmen without mentioning the shelling of the parliament building.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1993_Russian_constitutional_cr...

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dh2022
9 months ago
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If you really want to find out the reasons why USSR failed I suggest reading “Collapse the fall of Soviet Union” by Zubok or “Collapse of an Empire” by Gaidar. They are easy to read books. Said reasons are quite different from what is going on in USA at the moment.
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jajko
9 months ago
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You are completely missing Gorbachev, the fall began with him. He was a good guy, but a bit naive within soviet situation. Everybody, and I mean EVERYBODY hated russians. That's where brutal oppression came from for rest of soviet republics, that's where eastern Europe satellites were invaded and controlled from via strong firm hand (and many military bases). I know this damn well as I was raised thre and saw first hand the continuous destruction of what we would call normal society that russians brought along with them everywhere they went.

When the soviet empire twitched a bit and seams became just slightly more loose, everybody run the fuck away from them. You can't be literally enslaved for 2 generations and ignore whats around you and whats happening to all your citizens, family, friends, yourself. Not when you clearly see how west has technological, moral and societal advantage in its approach and its getting bigger every year. The only exception is Belarus, and the only reason is that the dicktator there needs desperately strong continuous backing or he would be brought down in quick coup.

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tpm
9 months ago
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The fall didn't begin with Gorbachev, it began with the communist party being clueless at adapting to new situations, essentially what China managed to do after Mao, the Soviets didn't after Stalin and the rest. The regime ossified and fell apart, at first slowly and then rapidly. Gorbachev just refused to spill even more blood.
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SpicyLemonZest
9 months ago
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Present circumstances in America are very different. When Putin took power, Russia's economy had been declining rapidly for a decade; then over his first decade, the GDP dectupled. If the US were to somehow achieve $600,000 GDP per capita by the end of Trump's current term, yeah, Americans would probably want to reevaluate their conventional wisdom about what good governance looks like. But I'm pretty confident that won't happen.
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decimalenough
9 months ago
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Well, there's an easy way to get to $600,000 GDP per capita, just crash the value of the US dollar by 10x. And this may well be in Trump's reach.
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woke_ai_god
9 months ago
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The GDP rise your talking about is to some extent an exchange rate phenonomena. Russia's currency collapsed in the early 90s, by the 00's it was able to strengthen and stabilize. Quality of life went down, but it was not proportionate to the collapse in GDP. Thinking about similar phenomenon occurring in the United States is kind of pointless, that would require a collapse in the dollars reserve currency status which would have dramatic ramifications world wide. The Dollar is the yardstick, if another currency became stronger, it would be the yardstick, and that's an entire regime change kind of for everybody. While Russia's currency can collapse in strength vis a vis the dollar, and then increase a great deal, but it was weaker than the dollar at every point. The collapse in its strength meant that it was difficult for the country to trade in that period. But Russia still had its domestic industry through the entire period, which wasn't affected to the degree that the collapse in trade and currency value would suggest,

Also the volatility of economic growth of smaller countries tends to be much higher than anything experienced by developed countries. When you start from a small scale, GDP jumps of 10x are hardly unheard of. While increases of such magnitude in an already developed country would be unprecedented.

Also, the Russian economy is just a series of frauds run by lawless oligarchs stacked on top of each other. The only limiting factor on them is when Putin randomly decides to throw one of them out of a window. It's a pure patrimonialist system, which is a system sustained by lawlessness, manipulation, and fraud. This is of course the truth of the fascist system itself, its simply an attempt to wrap the whole of society in one big patrimonialist network. There's a reason they had to invade Ukraine - the bills were coming due, and they knew the only way they could make good on promises they otherwise couldn't keep was a sustained program of national subjugation and exploitation. This was inevitable from the moment the system was set up. This system is inherently unstable.

The words of the participants in the system while it is ongoing are meaningless. They are wrapped in some kind of patrimonial network or another, supporting some kind of overhyped fraud or another that represents all their dreams and aspirations. They are censored, subject to constant manipulation, and deliberately manipulated with false flags and psy ops. Their whole society is designed as a giant cartwheel to shove people into various frauds. I can be sad for victims of fraud, yes, but that doesn't make them any easier to deal with before they give up on their expectations and stop believing the lies of the one who is defrauding them, who frequently sicks them on anyone who attempts to combat the fraud, telling them that "Actually that person is the one who's keeping you from getting your money!" Hitler arrayed millions of German youth upon fields of slaughter with such tactics once before, why would we expect any different outcome now? We should've known better.

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insane_dreamer
9 months ago
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You’re not wrong but those all happened _after_ the fall of the USSR. They weren’t the cause of its fall they were the cause of post-USSR Russia becoming an oligarchy.
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fransje26
9 months ago
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> Present circumstances in America aren't that different. All it's currently missing is a civil war to call its own, like Chechnya.

Speaking of civil war -and asking from abroad-, what the heck is happening in LA?

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msgodel
9 months ago
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Hopefully the beginning of part or all of California seceding.
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paganel
9 months ago
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By 1998 the shit had already hit the fan big time for the common people in Russia, all "thanks" to Shock Therapy (which you allude to at your point b)). That was the real tragedy, nothing a more "experienced" president could have fixed (other than doing what Putin ended up doing, which is trying to reverse some of the craziness of said Shock Therapy).

I write this from direct experience, as I grew up as a kid/adolescent in nearby Romania in the '90s, where we had our very own Shock Therapy. In fact my present political stance (a return to nationalism and a reversal of what globalisation has brought about) is heavily marked by that very traumatic period in my life (and the same thing is valid for many of my compatriots).

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cycomanic
9 months ago
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So you want to reverse the development in Romania over the last 3 decades [1] ? I agree that the way the transition from the Ceauşescu regime was handled was less than ideal to say the least. But let's not forget that rampant nationalism and isolism was what got Romania into the mess in the first ace. I would even argue that every time a government/regime is bringing out the nationalism card it is to cover up for rising inequality, decreasing quality of life and all sort of other issues. An appeal to the "nation" is just not necessary otherwise.

[1] https://www.researchgate.net/figure/fig3_330480915

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paganel
9 months ago
[-]
> So you want to reverse the development in Romania over the last 3 decades [1]

Not sure that "reverse" is the best word for it, but, yes, I want the huge societal inequalities that have been created during the last three decades to be "levelled" again. I know that this will probably suck (to use light language) for the winners of those last 3 decades, but that is life.

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blibble
9 months ago
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> Hey, at least it looks more entertaining! :/

did people expect any different when they elected a reality TV star to be president?

one that's such an incredible businessman he managed to bankrupt not one, but two casinos

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martin-t
9 months ago
[-]
He's first and foremost a narcissist (strongly grandiose subtype, and all over the place on the communal/malignant axis).

That condition should make him ineligible for any position of power. This is what a society gets when it elects someone mentally ill (in the harmful-to-others rather than the typical harmful-to-ill-person sense).

I am continually astounded by how many people, even if you explain the symptoms to them, will be unable to see it - not just in this one case but in general. There is something in many people that makes them attracted to those who treat them awfully and consider them only slightly above things.

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goatlover
9 months ago
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People can just listen to his biographer or many former aides, but they choose to believe what they want. Many religious supporters still think he's a Christian.
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btilly
9 months ago
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In order to see it, you must recognize the ways in which he fooled you. People would generally rather be fooled again than face the thought that they were fooled at some point in the past. And the more that they have been fooled, the stronger this bias is.

Trump is an absolute genius at fooling people in small ways, then over time ratcheting up the cognitive dissonance until he fools them in big ways. See https://specialto.thebulwark.com/ for a detailed explanation of how he did this with one of the many people that he has turned into puppets.

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thoroughburro
9 months ago
[-]
Narcissists are over-represented as CEOs and such, as well. I think a fair number of Americans like narcissists.
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brookst
9 months ago
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This is a good observation, but I think causality is reversed: narcissists by nature develop whatever skills will attract the most adoration.

Trump plays the strongman / oppressed white man card. If the populace valued different things he would happily parade around in negligé. He’s just playing to the audience, and it’s not narcissism so much as bullshit archetypes that they want.

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rbanffy
9 months ago
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Corporate politics doesn’t adequately punish the traits narcissists and sociopaths present. Quite the contrary, those traits can easily become assets in their careers.
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martin-t
9 months ago
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Exactly. It's an evolutionarily beneficial trait. We're no longer competing with other species (why social traits developed), we're competing against each other (where the right amount of anti-social traits works best).
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rbanffy
9 months ago
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We desperately need to fix those incentives for society and civilisation to survive.
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martin-t
9 months ago
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Unfortunately that is way outside too many people's Overton window. And, also unfortunately, I don't think the average human is sufficiently intelligent to understand why he should care.[note 1]

Throughout history, we see cycles of freedom and oppression, separated by either collapse or revolt.

- Collapse happens when anti-socials gain so much power in an organization (whether it's a corporation or state) that it starts to function so poorly that it's overtaken by competitors (or even destroys itself).

- Revolt happens when they gain/use that power too blatantly and people notice. Peaceful revolt is possible on the surface but ultimately, all true power is backed by violence - sometimes that violence is just thinly veiled behind multiple steps of action and reaction (unarmed protesters attacked by police will bring rocks and Molotovs next time which will cause even more attacks from the police which might escalate into civil war).

But right now we're at a point where oppressors have enough history to learn from. They don't care about collapse and revolt only happens when people are willing to act. So what they're doing right now is conditioning everyone that violence is wrong. This comes in many forms: bans on social media (every TOS forbids promoting violence these days), forced self-censorship (just watch a couple youtube shorts, good luck finding one where "kill" isn't spelled "k*ll" and bleeped out), zero-tolerance policies (school will punish both aggressor and target when they get into a fight), ...

Trump is a fascist (https://acoup.blog/2024/10/25/new-acquisitions-1933-and-the-...). Last time people like him got into power in the civilized world, one was shot and hung upside down from a gas station, the other killed himself in a bunker. But this time when people reached for the 4th box of liberty, they were almost universally shunned. So he got into power, elected by the stupid people, and to nobody's surprise immediately started dismantling the system which exists to keep him in check.

He will do it slowly enough that each time he takes a step towards his goal, he will only piss off a small portion of the people and there will never be enough organized opposition at once. At least this time the dictator-elect is so old he might snuff it from natural causes before he does too much damage.

But the average person will not learn from it. The idea that a group of people as large as tens or hundreds of millions needs one special individual at the top is the peak of human stupidity.

---

[note 1]: Some people see this as too arrogant to be said openly but them it becomes just an excuse for them to shut down their logical faculties and reject what I say based on primitive instincts, proving my point.

- Anyway, look at how many democracies use the plurality/FPTP voting system which is known to be pretty much the worst possible (https://rangevoting.org/).

- Look at how many people in the west will say that democracy is obviously good and dictatorship obviously bad but don't question why nearly all corporations have hierarchical (dictatorial) power structures.

- Look at how many people are OK with spending a third or half of their salary on rent, which is just free money that goes to people who contribute nothing to society.

- Look at how many people are unable to differentiate between morality (what is right) vs legality (what the state will penalize you for) and how even the language is warped to mix them (people saying "I did nothing wrong" when they are talking about breaking the rules, whether they are laws or whatever screed a subreddit mod came up with).

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randomNumber7
9 months ago
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> There is something in many people that makes them attracted to those who treat them awfully and consider them only slightly above things.

It's the slave moral and if you think the majority of people would be better (given the opportunity) you are naive

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tilne
9 months ago
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Like of the Nietzschan philosophy? So in the case of trump the idea is that his voters like him because he’s different from the “evil” aristocratic class that trump claimed to oppose (eg “drain the swamp”)?
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randomNumber7
9 months ago
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> Like of the Nietzschan philosophy?

Yes, but the rest I disagree.

I just think that most people (on both political sides) are not really better. If they would be given the position of power they would be corrupted and incompetent too.

So in a sense you got what you deserve - and your democracy is working.

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tilne
9 months ago
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How does it connect back to the Nietzschan philosophy you mentioned?
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randomNumber7
9 months ago
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The idea that the oppressed would be morally better when given the position of power is naive.

They are oppressed because they are already morally corrupted. Otherwise they would rather die for their freedom in the first place.

Nietzsche called this slave moral.

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brookst
9 months ago
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I miss the days when I wasn’t an extra on a b-rate tawdry reality show.
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dehrmann
9 months ago
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> he'll trash your business one day and then the next day he'll reverse course

TACO, as the saying goes.

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Phenomenit
9 months ago
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That’s the key right? It’s world as content. Nothing means anything anymore as long as it gets spread on media platforms. The easiest way for the US to get out this downward spiral is to just ignore the medias coverage of ”politics”. But that’s not gonna happen is it? Gotta se what happens next!
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jordanb
9 months ago
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> Hey, at least it looks more entertaining! :/

The revolution wouldn't have been televised but the polycrisis will be live streamed.

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WalterBright
9 months ago
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America's ruin will be spending itself into bankruptcy.
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matwood
9 months ago
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If you truly believe that, the fix is the opposite of what the GOP is proposing. Freeze spending at today’s levels, raise taxes (uncap SS, add higher tax brackets, add a wealth tax, etc…), then let the economy grow naturally.
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brookst
9 months ago
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This wouldn’t be possible as the world’s reserve currency and provider of political stability. At incredibly low interest rates, most investments are positive ROI.

But by destroying the US’ position as reserve currency and establishing the country as too untrustworthy to do business with, Trump has made your statement true.

We can’t afford what we spend without those special economic benefits. And we just threw them away for no reason.

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6figurelenins
9 months ago
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The geopolitical stability is now cheaper[1] than the debt service.

Naturally, that calls into question the incredibly low interest rates, and the reserve currency status.

If you need to blame Trump, the last straw was COVID.

> At incredibly low interest rates, most investments are positive ROI.

Step 1: Hold short term rates at zero, forever Step 2: ??? Step 3: Profit Step 4: Wow, that's a lot of debt

[1] https://www.cfr.org/blog/first-time-us-spending-more-debt-in...

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dashundchen
9 months ago
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Trump and Republicans had a great hand in this (Afghanistan and Iraq invasions, Bush tax cuts, Trump tax cuts, PPP helicopter money for the rich), and are looking to double down with their current disaster of a bill. Hope you're opposing that.
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n2d4
9 months ago
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> So, "if people kiss your ass enough, they get contract" does not seem to be a long-term viable strategy. (Exhibit A: Musk.)

But Musk initiated it, by going against Trump's bill. The new conclusion is "to get contract, you must kiss ass so much and you can't say anything bad, ever"

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cypherpunks01
9 months ago
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"All happy families are alike; each unhappy family is unhappy in its own way."
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netsharc
9 months ago
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Somebody needs to make memes about Elon looking forward to some taco and get Trump to see them...
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vkou
9 months ago
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> It's wild that a president can say, "I don't like Elon anymore, so out of retaliation, I'm canceling all his government contracts," and ~40% of the country doesn't see that as corruption in any way, shape, or form.

They didn't see it that way when he was doing it to people he didn't like, why would they see it that way when he is doing it to a person he just decided that he didn't like?

Elon, of course, as usual, is responding to someone upsetting him with accusations of pedophilia.

So far, all of this is quite normal.

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bobthepanda
9 months ago
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Part of the problem is that

* those who were concerned about it happening to others have seen it happen so many times now that they are jaded and it's a bit schaudenfreude. Those earlier cases (Harvard, law firms, etc.) have yet to actually finish going through the courts

* there is a subset that is just super cult of personality around the current president and will bend over backwards to justify actions

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LatteLazy
9 months ago
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What does a democracy do when people willingly and knowingly vote for fascism? “Vote for me and you’ll never have to vote again” won…
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1vuio0pswjnm7
9 months ago
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https://www.warren.senate.gov/newsroom/press-releases/new-wa...

https://www.warren.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/130_days_of_elon...

https://cepr.net/publications/corrupt-control-of-the-trump-a...

If Musk is engaging in corruption with respect to the US government, then what could be done to stop it. Whatever the answer, almost certainly Musk's ties to the government would need to be broken, including contracts and funding.

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anon291
9 months ago
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It's not like the previous party in charge didn't threaten the exact same thing. People still aren't seeing that both parties are descending into the sort of third world mindset while accusing the other of being the sole cause. This is a doom spiral in the making.
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_heimdall
9 months ago
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> If you can cancel contacts not based on merit

That's a hard argument to hold in the context of recent history. Maybe for the better, maybe for worse, merit has taken a back seat in many cases as we prioritized other factors.

What's interesting to me here is that the executive branch has authority to change these contracts. I do understand that's how it has worked for a while, and you could argue that these contracts are part of executing on congress's mandate, but I personally would prefer the executive branch not have this power.

If it were up to me congressional committees would be responsible for this as part of budgeting responsibilities, and the executive branch would be much weaker than it is today.

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wrs
9 months ago
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As with so many other things the executive branch is doing right now, it doesn’t have exclusive power to do this. Congress sets the rules for how procurement works.
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wat10000
9 months ago
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It’s not supposed to. It sure looks like it does. Power is more than what the written rules say you can do.
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_heimdall
9 months ago
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I think you're getting to the distinction between power and authority. Congress may have the authority to decide procurement (I'm not 100% sure on this, going with the discussion), but functionally the president may have the power to force their will through the system.
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inglor_cz
9 months ago
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Congress has been too deferential to executive power for decades.
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wat10000
9 months ago
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And nobody listened to the people saying that this concentration of power would be a disaster if the office was ever held by a craven jerkwad. And guess what happened!
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bhouston
9 months ago
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This is what Trump is doing to Harvard right now. He even is pushing legislation to tax their endowment and also has an executive order to deny them and on them foreign students.
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overfeed
9 months ago
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...and to law firms before then, US government contractors (worldwide[1]). If OP thinks thinks this is a nee Trump play, they haven't been paying attention.

2. The US embassy tried to get a Swedish city to agree to some anti-DEI clause in a vendor agreement. Using government money to win ideological arguments is S.O.P. for the Trump II admin.

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DaSHacka
9 months ago
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> Using government money to win ideological arguments is S.O.P. for the Trump II admin.

This is literally also what the dems were doing with USAID discrediting gamergate and funding bias news networks, neither party is above it.

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overfeed
9 months ago
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I remember when Obama threatened Fox Sports mergers due to how Fox News covered his first term in office, and trued to get the Saudis to sign a pro-choice vendor agreement with the embassy. Biden also threatened law firms that represented Trump and threatened to ban them from government buildings and revoke security clearance. It was the standard thing for dems to do when dealing with political opponents.

Both sides are totally the same thing, there's nothing to be done.

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bhouston
9 months ago
[-]
> Biden also threatened law firms that represented Trump and threatened to ban them from government buildings and revoke security clearance.

I did a few quick searches for more information about this claim of yours. I also asked Claude and ChatGPT to research it. I can not find any sources to back up this claim of yours. Can you source it for me?

For example:

https://claude.ai/share/d36c7a89-adff-4625-9cd6-89e60b254ea1

https://chatgpt.com/share/684972cb-0140-8006-9f0f-9075537bf2...

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overfeed
9 months ago
[-]
It was a rhetorical device ascribing things Trump actually did to Democratic presidents to show parent's false equivalency. Everything I listed were things Trump did, though I changed the other parties involved to preserve the political dynamics as best as I could.
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steveBK123
9 months ago
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July 4th we commemorate getting rid of one mad king overseas and replacing him with.. oh wait.
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mindslight
9 months ago
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You should always self-host your foreign mad king. The latency to England is just too high.
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catlifeonmars
9 months ago
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Canada has done it the right way. Self host but have a redundant backup across the pond.
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tbrownaw
9 months ago
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ithkuil
9 months ago
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KaaS (king as a service)
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exe34
9 months ago
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At this point I'm just happy these two are turning on each other - the more they hurt each other, the less time they have to focus on the rest of us. 6 months was a long time to wait, but I suppose dismantling the machinery of state that was trying to force his companies to follow the law wasn't going to be a quick job.
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scotty79
9 months ago
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That's no more (or less) corruption than him saying I like Elon so I'm awarding him all this government contracts
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mcv
9 months ago
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Everything about the current US government is wild. Yes, cancelling government contracts because of this stupid fight is corruption, but so is everything else. There's not much that either Trump or Musk do that's not corrupt.

I'd like to see both of them lose their power, because they only abuse it.

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popalchemist
9 months ago
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They see it as the guy on their side having more power, therefore they, by extension, have more power.

Primate brain go brr.

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thrance
9 months ago
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More like fascist brain, those who haven't bought into the decades of propaganda recognize this benefits no one. Fascism is not a natural state of mind.
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popalchemist
9 months ago
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On the contrary, I think it appeals to our baser instincts. Primates, from whom we evolved, settle their power disputes in EXACTLY the manner of "might makes right," and that isn't just about the individuals competing for power, but the dynamics of the crowd and how their allegiances and values shift according to who is in power.
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ahf8Aithaex7Nai
9 months ago
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That is true. But the dubiousness of the whole thing starts a long way before that. Why is Musk there at all? Because we are sliding into neo-feudalistic conditions in which a court of the richest people steer the affairs of state and shape them in their own favor. And we've known what Trump is like all along. We didn't have to deduce that from the fact that he is now quarrelling with Musk.
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palmfacehn
9 months ago
[-]
I'm not sure this is a new phenomenon. Graft has been a part of governance in every era. Typically, pandering to special interests is proportional to the government's slice of the economic pie. As the state interventions increase, so does the ability for bureaus to grant favors.

What is somewhat unique here, is the brazen and flippant nature of the funding cut. I'm sure if we looked, we could find similar cases in US history.

Author Patrick Newman has written on the topic of cronyism in US history. It is interesting to read the historical narrative framed from the perspective of who was lobbying and looting.

Here's a recent lecture on the Marshall Plan:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PBGo2WbAoPI

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martindbp
9 months ago
[-]
I think there has always been this type of corruption. The interesting thing this time is how open it is, and how clearly visible it is in the stock market, where who is president results in swings of hundreds of billions of dollars. This includes both Trumps corruption for (and now against Tesla/SpaceX) and Bidens lawfare against his them.
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panick21_
9 months ago
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So far this is all talk, in effect non of the contracts got created because of that and so far non have been canceled because of that. This is all just media whoring around.
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nkrisc
9 months ago
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They see it; it's why they voted for him.
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lostlogin
9 months ago
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It’s pretty incredible. NYT now:

“President Trump said on Saturday that he believed his relationship with Elon Musk was over after the two sparred publicly on social media this week, and he warned there would be “serious consequences” if Mr. Musk financed candidates to run against Republicans who voted in favor of the president’s domestic policy bill.”

So the president can decide who someone supports?

Two truly awful humans fighting it out.

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belter
9 months ago
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1 Musk = 13 Scaramuccis . Please update your SI unit tables accordingly.
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HocusLocus
9 months ago
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It's just wild that ~40% of the country wouldn't just wait and see what actually happens.
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chrischen
9 months ago
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Maybe what you think of as corruption is not what your opposing party thinks of as corruption?
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jchook
9 months ago
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Exemplifying the meme.. "[Doing American things Americanly]: What are we, ASIAN???"
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sneak
9 months ago
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You are taking this at face value. It’s all farce.

Elon helped Trump get elected. Now Trump has to help Elon get the Trump stink off so people stop calling it the swasticar.

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xnx
9 months ago
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Every accusation from Trump/Fox/Republicans is an admission. This is the "swamp" they were going to drain. It is now overflowing.
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tempodox
9 months ago
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I've said before that by the time Trump is through America will lie in ruins. I may have been too optimistic, it might happen earlier.
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BLKNSLVR
9 months ago
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I agree entirely.

Higher education and research are already being affected. Those reputations aren't quickly rebuilt.

Same with trust on trade and reliability as a defence ally.

Even when Trump is replaced, he had accelerated the exposure of the fragility of the base US system of government. The fact one bad actor can upset many long established apple carts is not something really forgotten.

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FergusArgyll
9 months ago
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> by the time Trump is through America will lie in ruins

If you had to make that concrete, what would that look like?

GDP growth under 2% annually for >3 years? Dollar losing >50% of its value against a basket of major currencies? Credit rating downgrade below AA- by major agencies? Loss of reserve currency status (measured by <40% of global reserves in USD)? Interstate commerce disruption lasting >30 days? Mass emigration of >2 million Americans annually?

I'd happily take the other side on any of those, name your price.

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bix6
9 months ago
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I’d argue we’re already there with all the social fragmentation but I reckon we’ll see a measurable decline in scientific output / discovery.
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FergusArgyll
9 months ago
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Patents? Journal articles published?
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bix6
9 months ago
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Funding is already falling ie NSF disbursements so I’d expect the h-index to fall off significantly. So sure patents will fall, journal pubs will fall, enrollment will fall, staff count will fall, total experiment count will fall, grant count will fall.
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Aeolun
9 months ago
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I think this was always true, it’s just that most presidents add a few extra clauses to the requirements instead of blatantly saying they’re going to cancel contracts.
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scarface_74
9 months ago
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It’s not they don’t see it - they don’t care. This has always been the moral compass of the US.
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onetimeusename
9 months ago
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This whole article is speculation about a war of words on social media from two days ago. You are further stretching the chain of inference and adding in some statistics without any citation.

>One industry source, speaking on background, dismissed the exchanges as “bluster” that neither Musk nor Trump would actually implement

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delusional
9 months ago
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Not American.

> ~40% of the country doesn't see that as corruption in any way, shape, or form.

I'm definitely in agreement with the 60 percent. This should be unthinkable and political suicide. Openly speculating on if you can use the government as personal retaliation is absolutely undemocratic.

So why is it so hard for me to care in this case? Because Elon Musk has used the government in the exact same way. He just got done cancelling random contracts he didn't like. He just circumvented democracy to play his little doge game.

It is really hard to care about cheating when it happens to a cheater. Disgust at this move against SpaceX or Tesla has to start with consequences for Elon. If this is wrong, then Elon must be jailed.

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randomcarbloke
9 months ago
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he appointed him, and it saves the taxpayer money...
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CalChris
9 months ago
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Did this only become 'wild' when it applied to Elon? Also, this Elon that you speak of, isn't he the DOGE Elon? Isn't he the Nazi salute Elon? Or perhaps there's some other Elon that I'm unaware of.

This is literally the Department of Goes Around Comes Around. Elon is Trump's Berezovsky.

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deeg
9 months ago
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I have absolutely no sympathy for Musk but the president--any president--shouldnt be able to do this.
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consumer451
9 months ago
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The biggest self-indictment in that post by POTUS was "I was always surprised Biden didn't do it!"

I am not surprised that Biden didn't cancel all SpaceX contracts for political reasons, neither are most rational people.

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jyounker
9 months ago
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Trump doesn't believe that smart people with power can have ethics or morality because he doesn't have them himself.
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majormajor
9 months ago
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It's not ethics or morality, it's just "not being a child." A president not personally retaliating against a critic doesn't need to have anything to do with ethics, it's just requires a post-middle-school mentality of "I may not be happy with this person but I [my country] can still benefit from things they do."
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ithkuil
9 months ago
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The property of "being a child" in an adult is effectively a matter of ethics and morality
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randomNumber7
9 months ago
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No, it can be justified with rationality alone.
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ithkuil
9 months ago
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I phrased it poorly:

Being an adult child has moral and ethical consequences.

Behaviours and emotions that are totally legit and tolerated in a child are no longer so in an adult.

An adult that has all the privileges and freedoms of adulthood over childhood, like the ability to vote, drink, drive and hold an office, also has to abide by the moral obligations of being an adult.

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majormajor
9 months ago
[-]
But if you're rich enough (or poor enough, hah) nobody's gonna hold you to "adult behavior" standards. Is there really a moral or ethical aspect to "don't get into a shouting match on Twitter"? Or is it simply childish?
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ithkuil
9 months ago
[-]
> But if you're rich enough [..] nobody's gonna hold you to "adult behavior" standards

but that's a problem, isn't it?

That's on us. Why on earth did we stop expecting adult behaviour from ultra-rich people?

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lostlogin
9 months ago
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Rational and ethical have a lot of overlap.
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cedws
9 months ago
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Trump is good at revealing the cracks in US democratic process, or lack thereof.
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lotsofpulp
9 months ago
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In 2016, that would have been the case due to popular vote and electoral college vote not matching. However, 2024’s popular and electoral college match show the cracks are in the racist and sexist and apathetic voter base.
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acdha
9 months ago
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It’s not just the democratic process itself, but the institutions around it. The main reason Trump isn’t in jail is because the Republican Supreme Court repeatedly protected him, even to the point of inventing new ahistorical doctrines. Once one of the major parties is no longer committed to of law we’re in uncharted territory.
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lotsofpulp
9 months ago
[-]
My point is Trump also won the popular vote, which means the people don’t want the traitor in jail either. Institutions are only as good as the people that compose them, in this case the institution is the country as a whole.
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absurdo
9 months ago
[-]
> This is literally the path that led the USSR to ruin.

Or China to current-day prosperity. It’s hard to admit but it’s a double edged sword and there are winners and losers.

Choose your poison wisely.

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insane_dreamer
9 months ago
[-]
Incorrect. It was liberalization (to some extent) of the otherwise heavily centralized economy that led China to its present day prosperity.
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intended
9 months ago
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Saying this was not the path to China’s current-day prosperity is to place a VERY heavy weight, on a very thin branch.
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nickpsecurity
9 months ago
[-]
It's been going on a long time. Democrats and Republicans, especially in the Pentagon, have bought influence of politicians to get billions of tax dollars.

So you should change the comment to say "most Democrat and Republican voters in the primaries apparently wont vote out those who give or take bribes." That would be correct.

Jethro's advice to Moses in God's Word is still good advice for voters today. If a politician ever meets this criteria, then we'll see amazing things happen. That's below with verse 21 highlighted:

"19 Now obey my voice; I will give you advice, and God be with you! You shall represent the people before God and bring their cases to God, 20 and you shall warn them about the statutes and the laws, and make them know the way in which they must walk and what they must do. 21 Moreover, look for able men from all the people, men who fear God, who are trustworthy and hate a bribe, and place such men over the people as chiefs of thousands, of hundreds, of fifties, and of tens. 22 And let them judge the people at all times. Every great matter they shall bring to you, but any small matter they shall decide themselves. So it will be easier for you, and they will bear the burden with you. 23 If you do this, God will direct you, you will be able to endure, and all this people also will go to their place in peace.” (Exodus 18:19-23) (ESV)

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thinkindie
9 months ago
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At least Berlusconi didn't have access to nuclear warheads.

Seriously, I visited the US few times between 2005 and 2010 and each time people were raising the topic of Berlusconi. How can you have a president like that, who voted for him, bunga bunga etc etc.

Now you know how you can have such personality in power too. With even more power.

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andrepd
9 months ago
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The Italians truly invent everything first, eh? Fascism, trumpism, etc
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mousethatroared
9 months ago
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Western civilization.

Oh, and before Berlusconi there was Menem. He's the original clown turned president.

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cenamus
9 months ago
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Greece?
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mousethatroared
9 months ago
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Argentina.
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4gotunameagain
9 months ago
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Ahaha I'm pretty sure he meant that it was Greece and not Italy that invented everything first.
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mousethatroared
9 months ago
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Ah, I thought he was referring to the clowns they have in Athens.

But, no. The Greeks didn't create Western Civilization because the only non-awkward definition of Western Civilization is that scion of the Roman Church.

Surely the cultural exchange with Greeks contributed to this.

Greece was always eastern facing as far back as before Alexander. It is only with the Cold War that they glanced West.

Aside for Magna Grecia, Greeks have very scant presence in Western Europe.

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4gotunameagain
9 months ago
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I don't know why you are angry at history and frankly I don't care, but you should read a bit more. Even the Roman pantheon was practically a copy of the Greek one, Greek was the language of science and philosophy, the first people to study mathematics in the west and so on and so forth.

All the great Romans revered Greece and Greek.

Anyway I don't know why I'm explaining history to some random angry kid online, have a nice day

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mousethatroared
9 months ago
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Yes, Athens is a part of the West. I never denied that. But how about Jerusalem? How about Rome? How about uncivilized (ie without a city) barbarians?

How about the over 1600 years of history since the split of the Roman empire?

The 1000 years since the Schism?

The 500 years since the Fall of Constantinople?

The Eastern Roman Empire was of a completely different character than the Western one, follows a vastly different path, and one that started diverging (due to all the heresies [0]) as early as Constantine. Since the fall of Constantinople the Greeks had very limited contact with the West until independence in the late 19th century.

According to you the West didn't do anything, didn't evolve, in the last 1600 years since we've been de facto incommunicado?

For example, to say that the West of the Scholastics is "Greek" when the Greeks have always rejected them (with very poignant criticism might I add) is a laugh in the face of the Scholastic's transformational contribution to the West (above all our modern university system).

St Augustine [1] , Boetius [2], and the Papacy [3] create the West anew from of these ingredients.

[0] which (Russian Orthodox) Solovyev lays at the feet of a jealous Greek hierarchy [1] accepted but looked down on by the Greeks [2] the last of the ancients and the first of the Scholastics [3] the most foundational institution for the West and rejected by the Greeks

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4gotunameagain
9 months ago
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You are conflating different and irrelevant arguments. The discussion was never about Byzantium or modern Greece. It was whether we can trace the beginning of Western civilisation in Ancient Greece instead of Rome, which indeed we can. Far before Christianity, a topic which you seem blindly passionate about, with some apparent beef against Orthodoxy.

This has little to do with Christianity.

And I find little interest in this pointless discussion, therefore this is my last reply.

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mousethatroared
9 months ago
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If we're tracing seeds, the Ancient Greeks openly acknowledged their debt to Egypt. Therefore the Egyptians invented the West.

But my point is that the West is Rome enlightened by Greeks and humanized by Jews.

What is Athens + Jerusalem? Eastern Europe. Orthodoxy. (No beef, btw. Ive been to Meteora and just missed a chance to stay in Mt. Athos)

What is Rome + Athens + Jerusalem? The Catholic Church.

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4gotunameagain
9 months ago
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Your perception of history is muddled by religion.
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agumonkey
9 months ago
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desktop programmable computers with style ? https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2F...
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foobarian
9 months ago
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Mafia!
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baxtr
9 months ago
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Don’t get me started on Roman Emperors…
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thinkindie
9 months ago
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Trumpism is just another league I believe. You may say it's Berlusconism on steroids, but the global impact makes this a thing by itself.
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esafak
9 months ago
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It really isn't; Trump just has a bigger stage. Trumpism is a misnomer by itself; Trump has no ideology, no grand scheme that I can discern.
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root_axis
9 months ago
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> Trump has no ideology

I wouldn't say it's a misnomer, the lack of ideology is the signature appeal. It's exactly what affords Trump unlimited flexibility among his supporters since there are no expectations of consistency.

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hn_throwaway_99
9 months ago
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Yeah, I would say "acquisition of and wielding power" is the signature feature of Trumpism, and why he appeals to so many.

Whether true or not (and FWIW, I think it is, at least to some degree), the left largely took the mantra of "tsk tsking" for a long time - you should feel bad about using a plastic straw, bad about driving your car, bad about the US' treatment of Native Americans, etc. etc. So Trump's complete shamelessness is appealing to many

I read a good post recently that explained that Trump and the Republican's rank hypocrisy is a feature, not a bug. It shows that Trump and his team are unbound by the constraints they want to apply to others.

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thinkindie
9 months ago
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bigger stage and bigger impact. Trump had more impact on the world trades in a few months than Berlusconi in 20 years as Berlusconi was limited to Italy and sometimes Europe.
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codedokode
9 months ago
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And alphabet.
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ecesena
9 months ago
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From the Italian letters alpha & beta :)
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wefinh
9 months ago
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No, it is Google thing. Thread lightly, as people get offended by that...

What a morons :D

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credit_guy
9 months ago
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> How can you have a president like that

Did people really think that Berlusconi was the president of Italy?

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moralestapia
9 months ago
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Wasn't he?

Unless you mean president !== primer minister, but that would be such a futile remark in this context.

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credit_guy
9 months ago
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That's exactly what I meant. A lot of people in the US don't follow politics in Europe, but those who do are unlikely to think Berlusconi was a president when he was actually a prime minister.
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scotty79
9 months ago
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Prime ministers in Europe have functions of US Presidents. Equivalent of European presidents I think is missing in the US.
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thinkindie
9 months ago
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Prime ministers in Italy are also called Presidente del Consiglio dei Ministri, therefore technically yes. He was holding the executive power, and although Italy is a parliamentary republic, most of the laws are driven by the Government.
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Ylpertnodi
9 months ago
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Mainly the people that voted for him.
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tdeck
9 months ago
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I remember thinking this same thing during the first trump term as an American, with Berlusconi I used to be like "how the fuck can people accept this from their leaders" and then it came home. Obviously the string of war criminals we had prior weren't great either but Trump hits different.
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mystified5016
10 months ago
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This reads like pretty classic infighting between a dictator and one of his more powerful cronies.

I am surprised at how fast it happened, though. Usually this comes towards the end of a dictatorship. Maybe our dear leader is just as incompetent at being a dictator as he is everything else.

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awalsh128
9 months ago
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I was not as surprised. It is a lot like the pattern in his previous term with people that he brought on and then had a fallout with and they became the enemy like cabinet members, VP, etc. This second term is markedly different in that he appointed only due hard yes men. I think the only difference is that Musk was very useful for his money and independent sway.
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solardev
10 months ago
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I hope it escalates into a pay per view cage match.
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BLKNSLVR
9 months ago
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Elon already has a black eye so I think the cameras weren't invited.
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tjpnz
10 months ago
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The last time Elon proposed a cage match he pussied out.
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sumeno
9 months ago
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His mommy wouldn't let him do it
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jeffbee
9 months ago
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I bet a lot of readers think you are joking here.
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hermitcrab
9 months ago
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And then lost a fight to 5 year old son?
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tjpnz
9 months ago
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To a 62 year old.
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username223
10 months ago
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> Usually this comes towards the end of a dictatorship.

It doesn't seem that way to me, e.g. Putin arrested Khodorkovsky (the richest man in Russia) in 2003. The way I see it, the politician needs the oligarch's money to gain political power, but then he has actual state power, including guns and the judicial system. At that point the oligarch has no purpose -- after all, the politician can just make new ones -- so it makes sense to cast him out or destroy him.

Trump could bankrupt SpaceX with the stroke of a pen and bleed Tesla dry by revoking EV credits. He could even try to revoke Musk's citizenship over (real or fake) issues with his immigration status in the past. If Elon thought he was buying the presidency in exchange for favors, he wasn't thinking things through.

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steveBK123
10 months ago
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> If Elon thought he was buying the presidency in exchange for favors, he wasn't thinking things through.

This is the funniest part to me, in the context of THIS president. The guy that demands fully loyalty but gives none?

I can't imagine being the richest guy in the world, and embarrassing myself to such a degree all for.. what? He paid maybe $300M to help elect the guy, wore all the stupid hates, lavished orange man with praise.. and for what. What was ever the upside? The possible downside was obviously asymmetric to any clear eyed viewer.

And so that asymmetric downside now begins.

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roxolotl
10 months ago
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This crop of billionaires was created from a time when capital was ascendant and state power was on the decline. I think as a result they’ve come to believe that the state is mostly there for their benefit especially during Republican administrations.
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anonymousDan
9 months ago
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Haven't they ever seen House of Cards?
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steveBK123
9 months ago
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I think it's also a mark of the self delusion some of these "Great Men" tend to have, before you even get into the surrounding yes-men & ketamine.

Probably some sort of "well I am worth $400M, but if I can get that to $2M, I can do my Mars space colony with enough room for my harem, for sure".

vs "Gee I have more money than one can ever spend and remain mortal.. I could go enjoy my life like Bezos before it all evaporates..."

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AlecSchueler
9 months ago
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The Bezod who sat next to him at the inauguration?
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steveBK123
9 months ago
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Sure they all attended

But few have tied themselves as explicitly to the man as musk. Funded. Wore the dumb hats. Went on campaign trail.

It was like a deep romance. You don’t walk away from that stench.

Meanwhile Bezos has been on his yacht in the Mediterranean lol

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elcritch
9 months ago
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Not that both the Republicans and Democrats are very pro large business. Remember Harris raised at least _twice_ as much money from billionaires than Trump.

They're just pro different big businesses, largely based on their demographics.

Personally I'm still annoyed that Obama's administration had the DOE take over servicing federal student loans to "protect students" only for them to somehow be sold to a private company based in Chicago from what I can tell.

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Cipater
9 months ago
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Surely this is untrue?

Isn't it the opposite? What are you basing this on?

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/apr/01/billionaires...

https://americansfortaxfairness.org/billionaires-buying-elec...

Billionaire spending heavily favored Republicans. Over two-thirds (70%) of billionaire-family contributions went in support of GOP candidates and conservative causes. Less than a quarter (23%) backed Democratic hopefuls and progressive causes. (The remainder went to committees without a clear partisan or ideological identity.

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elcritch
9 months ago
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I hadn't looked for a while, but Harris was out raising and out spending Trump substantially when I'd last read up on it. Much of that seemed to come primarily from big donors.

Sure the more of the top richest people may have donated more to Trump or Republicans, but Harris raised much more overall.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/alisondurkee/2024/11/04/trump-v...

Seems like they both raised about the same from their top 20 largest donors:

> The Harris campaign received significantly more funding than Trump's, outspending the Republican advertising machine by more than 70 percent in the final stretch of the election.

> According to data from Open Secrets, Harris received almost $400 million from her 20 largest backers. Trump received over half a billion dollars from his top 20, which included over $100 million from SpaceX, Elon Musk's rocket company.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/alisondurkee/2024/11/04/trump-v...

My take of that is that Trump raised a bit more from concentrated donations from the richest billionaires, but Harris overall raised more from larger numbers of billionaires and millionaires.

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willhslade
9 months ago
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Didn't Musk dismantle the federal agencies that were investigating and suing his companies?
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username223
9 months ago
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Well... Sure, he got Starlink approved for rural broadband funding and ended some NTSB investigations into Tesla's "suicide mode." But those things can be reversed with a quickness if he's no longer on Trump's side.

He also wrecked a lot more of the federal government that doesn't affect him one way or the other, and may have harvested a ton of data for his AI company. We'll see if anything comes of that.

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modzu
9 months ago
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maybe he wanted a ticket to the island, maybe he got it
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jyounker
9 months ago
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Everyone who consorts with Trump ends up covered in shit.
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hermitcrab
9 months ago
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It was weird to see all those billionaire tech bros lining up to kiss his arse. What is the point of spending all that effort to be super rich and powerful if it means you have to grovel to a terrible human being like Trump? Does not compute.
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zitsarethecure
9 months ago
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"This time WE will be in control." is probably what they were thinking.
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root_axis
9 months ago
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> He could even try to revoke Musk's citizenship

At the very least, an arrest by ICE is a real possibility. His brother has admitted on camera that they were illegal at one point, and there is now a lot of precedent for "arrest first - ask questions later" even if you're a natural born citizen.

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yalogin
9 months ago
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We have moved so past the "government is expected to be impartial" and now at "if musk backs a dem I will destroy him" stage. No one bats an eye. This is going to be the norm at least on the Republican Party. I worry every one expects presidents to weaponize everything against their perceived opponents.
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aucisson_masque
9 months ago
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In Europe, media and politicians are openly stating how you got to watch what you say to Mr Trump, be nice to him to get favored in deals.

Like the trade tax, if you’re nice to trump he may decrease your country tax.

It was made very clear in France that we invited him to 14 juillet, notre dame ceremony and other ceremony only to get favor from him.

People of the United States pay the price for his favors, he gets the benefits.

That’s just one step before handling him bags of money.

Of course all of that matters with previous presidents, they are humans before all, but it was marginal. With him, that’s the first time it’s openly spoken about on national tv and by politicians like it’s nothing, like what we did with dictator from middle eastern except it’s the president of the USA.

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tootie
9 months ago
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A lot of eyes are being batted. But really, him punishing Musk is barely in the top 100 things we're worried about right now. We're barely a few months into his term. The chances of seeing full on Martial Law before 4 years is terrifyingly high.
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AnimalMuppet
9 months ago
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That stood out to me, too. Even in the current environment, that's messed up. No, the sitting president does not get to threaten peoples' ability to make campaign contributions to the opposing party.
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Aeolun
9 months ago
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I’ve got to love that these two guys both have their own social media platform.
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aucisson_masque
9 months ago
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Hopefully one day everyone will be on his own social media and when you want to check on someone, you get on his social media to see what he say.

Like I don’t know, how we used to do things with blogs, MySpace and so on ! The future is great.

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joshdavham
9 months ago
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That’s actually fascinating! I didn’t consciously recognize that till I read this comment haha
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unaindz
9 months ago
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What's trump's social media?
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__s
9 months ago
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Truth_Social came out of him being banned by twitter a few years ago
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crossroadsguy
9 months ago
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I have never seen the inside of it. But to be honest the home page looks clean. How's the interface, in case you have ventured in? Is it clean and simple?
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__s
9 months ago
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Never visited
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kaycebasques
10 months ago
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Apparently, Musk is very popular among Republicans: https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/06/06/elon-musk-...
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oskarkk
9 months ago
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YouGov made a survey on June 5, asking "If you had to choose, who would you side with more between the following?" with Musk and Trump to choose. For Republicans, it's 71% Trump, 6% Musk, 12% neither, 11% not sure.

https://today.yougov.com/topics/economy/survey-results/daily...

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abxyz
10 months ago
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Musk is popular amongst republicans because Trump has championed him. The pro-Musk Republicans are also pro-Trump republicans and their loyalty to Trump will beat out whatever respect they have for Musk. Musk is not a threat to Trump, because Trump’s entire platform is built on Trump-or-bust. Musk was a useful idiot to Trump. Musk thinking that Trump’s Epstein connection was somehow going to hurt Trump shows just how impotent Musk is. Trump fans couldn’t care one iota about that.
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ryandrake
9 months ago
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It's really that simple. If you want to know what MAGA supporters believe about any topic, just look up what Trump last said about it. He could change his mind three times in a single day, and they would also change their mind (and talking points) in lock step three times.
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Winsaucerer
9 months ago
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Some people really do act like that, in my limited experience. Trump's opinion changes and lo and behold their beliefs have updated to the same view as Trump's.
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ffiirree
9 months ago
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Yep. In 2016 all of Trump's scandals were already exposed. It didn't do anything. Trump can easily walk away from Musk right now with no problems. Tesla is probably not going to last at high valuation much longer anyways
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CamperBob2
9 months ago
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If anything, Trump fans will pat him on the back for pwning those 13-year-old libs.
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cosmicgadget
9 months ago
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Trump has unprecedented power of retribution. The best Elon can pull off is swearing at opponents in an interview.
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BirAdam
10 months ago
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So, the government would do what, lean on Russia with whom the USA is currently engaged in a proxy war? Also, for Boeing or Blue Origin, the cost would currently be higher per launch, and as far as I know, no one has the kind of satellite network that SpaceX does.

Of course, those are sane considerations. I suppose I shouldn’t accuse the Donald of any kind of rational thinking.

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jmyeet
10 months ago
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SpaceX is critical infrastructure to the US at this point and its continued availability and operation is of national security interest.

That may sound like it gives Elon power. It's the opposite, actually. No US administration will take lightly threats to national security infrastructure like this. The nuclear option for any administration is to nationalize SpaceX, which they absolutely could do.

Less nuclear: the US has a lot of control over what SpaceX does. The FAA (and to a lesser extent the NOAA) has to approve every launch. They could simply gorund SpaceX.

If you think SpaceX could simply move operations elsewhere, think again, The US prohibits ASML, a Dutch company, from selling EUV lithography machines to China.

Apart from all of that, SpaceX is absolutely dependant on US government funding and contracts. Withdrawing those, or even the threat of such, allows the US to wield a lot of power over SpaceX.

What's rather surprising about this feud is that Trump is currently the adult and has been uncharacteristically restrained in his response thus far. Of course, all that could change. It was Elon who heavily implied that Trump was a pedophile, which is an absolutely insane thing to do.

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michaelmrose
9 months ago
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> nationalize SpaceX, which they absolutely could do.

This isn't at all clear. It's clear that they could easily compel them to prioritize and fulfill government contracts. Far less clear that they could just take it. It is clear that the current administration could "try" but such an effort might result in a lawsuit that lasts longer than the administration does and thereby become moot.

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root_axis
9 months ago
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It may take a long time to be fully litigated, but the courts also take a while to act, and we've seen that this administration takes full advantage of this fact. The odds are also stacked against Elon here because the national security interests would likely make a compelling argument to stay any injunctions SpaceX might seek. SpaceX might prevail in the end, but the whole process would get very uncomfortable for Elon in the meantime.
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michaelmrose
9 months ago
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Actually the defense production act provides a perfectly viable path actually supported by law to ensure that the governments interests are served.

An injunction would be entirely logical as it prevents irreparable harm based on a fanciful understanding of the law unlikely to prevail and hurts the government not at all.

Certainly the government trying to steal like a common criminal puts anyone in an uncomfortable position but the only real risk is the fact we live under incipient fascism.

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asadotzler
9 months ago
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The most correct reply here.
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heavyset_go
9 months ago
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> That may sound like it gives Elon power. It's the opposite, actually. No US administration will take lightly threats to national security infrastructure like this. The nuclear option for any administration is to nationalize SpaceX, which they absolutely could do.

A public-private partnership is the dream for any shareholder. Guaranteed revenue and profits funded by taxes, investment capital from the government on great terms, becoming "too big to fail", etc.

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yubblegum
9 months ago
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My thoughts exactly. This is a clear case of eminent domain. Doesn't spacex have a board to control their ceo?
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sneak
9 months ago
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You don’t get more milk by beating the cow.
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mindslight
10 months ago
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> It was Elon who heavily implied that Trump was a pedophile, which is an absolutely insane thing to do.

How is it insane to repeat what everyone already knows? The only novelty here is Musk himself saying it to his legions of followers, who would have been otherwise inclined to downplay the significance of it.

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the_af
9 months ago
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It's insane because of the implications: Musk was a major contributor to Trump's campaign, and a major advisor, and at the last minute he implies Trump is a pedophile?

This means Musk knowingly contributed to get a pedophile elected! He couldn't have learned this at the last minute, he obviously held this ace in his sleeve.

This already should "impeach" Musk (informally) in the eyes of his supporters: this is a guy who would help get a pedophile elected president if it would suit his business vision.

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rpmisms
9 months ago
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> He couldn't have learned this at the last minute, he obviously held this ace in his sleeve.

Why? He could easily have learned this after the election.

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the_af
9 months ago
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Not after the election, since he supported Trump (barring some disagreements) until a few weeks ago. They parted with a hug, just before this blowup.

So are we supposed to believe Musk just found out about the Epstein link, hidden in unreleased documents, in the last few days? It's extremely farfetched.

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dinkumthinkum
9 months ago
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I think Musk has pluses and minuses. I think he does have some mental issues volatile and lash out and make poor decisions even if I do agree with some things and disagree with others. To be honest, he is someone that staked his reputation on completely verifiably and provably lying about the legitimacy of his ranking in a video game and at a time with all eyes on him besmirched a large streamer he previously has thought of partnering with on X as best by “bad at video games.” It’s just terrible judgment. I’m surprised the “normie” didn’t focus on kind of pathetic it looked to lie about videos games and instead they made wild accusations comparing him to the bad people from 30s.
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safety1st
9 months ago
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This isn't the first time Musk has baselessly accused someone of pedophilia on social media.

He did it randomly to some guy he didn't like in Thailand who saved some kids trapped in a cave. He's probably done it other times.

It's just an Elon Musk thing. Go totally unhinged on social media and defame people without evidence. He does it all the time.

The only guy more famous than Musk for saying absolute nonsense on social media, is Trump.

It is all fake, lame, and nonsense.

What's shocking is that the people running our country are behaving like absolute children. I feel like they wouldn't be able to hold down a job at my company because they're so unhinged, they would have been fired long ago, and yet here they are, billionaires, deciding the fate of 350M people.

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the_af
9 months ago
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Yeah, I remember that other accusation.

To be clear, I'm not debating the veracity of the accusation, I'm asking what it says about Musk that he claims to have knowingly helped elect president someone he knew to be a pedophile.

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rsynnott
9 months ago
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I mean, I would assume that anyone who's still a Musk supporter has no morals to speak of anyway, so I'm not sure why they would be concerned by this implication.
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mindslight
9 months ago
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Wow, that is some amazing threading of the mental needle to focus blame on Musk. Doesn't this indictment apply to every single person who voted for Trump in 2024? Those pictures of Epstein, Trump, and Maxwell having themselves some grand old times have been popularly circulating for like a decade at this point.

If the indictment doesn't apply, then why can't Musk play the same card of "I didn't know/believe/accept" while he was supporting, but only recently has he "now come to know" ?

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the_af
9 months ago
[-]
Why wouldn't I heap blame on Musk (as well as on Trump, mind you)? The guy's deranged and repulsive.

I don't think your objections are fair. Let's go over them:

The average Trump voter doesn't know much about Epstein, and certainly doesn't believe Trump was involved in anything with that scandal. Any evidence that may turn up would be considered "fake news" to them. Whatever you may think of Trump voters, and whatever things they really are to blame for, knowingly voting for someone they believe to be a pedophile isn't one of their sins.

Musk just implied Trump is a pedophile (or is suppressing certain documents because of his links to a pedophile). Musk also claims without him Trump wouldn't have been elected. These are Musk's claims, so he has thrown away any possible defenses of "but I didn't know/believe this" and "but I'm irrelevant in the grand scheme of things".

You also claim Musk could defend himself with "but I didn't know at the time". This is very, very weak. When exactly do you suppose he learned this? In the few days that have elapsed since this very public falling out, maybe even a few days before? Oh, please. You know you don't believe this, these two were heaping praise on each other and calling themselves friends for most of their collaboration since Trump's second term, and only now Musk found out about Epstein? What, an aide rushed this info to him just in time for their current breakup? Absurd.

Any way you slice it, Musk had this accusation up his sleeve the whole time, he just chose to deploy it now.

So again I must ask, what does this say -- in his fans' eyes -- about Musk as a person?

PS: You seem to believe I'm somehow defending Trump here. If that's your worry, let me be clear that I think Trump is a disgrace. I don't know whether he's a pedophile though, unlike Musk I don't claim to have seen any secret documents. To be honest I wouldn't be surprised if both Trump and Musk are pedophiles, these aren't exactly examples of decent human beings.

PPS: it has also just occurred to me you could be wondering why I'm focusing on the outrageous things Musk has said, but not on the contradictory, absurd or just plain dumb things Trump is saying about Musk? Well, because Trump has an expiration date. I suppose he can do lots of immediate damage to Musk, but he must do so now. Musk, as the world's richest person, has a much longer shelf life and more time to do damage to the US and the rest of the world, and bizarrely, has a large cult following. So I wonder what his followers think.

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paulryanrogers
9 months ago
[-]
IME Trump supporters will justify anything he does or may plausibly have done. They're too invested in him or have bought into the idea that the other must be so much worse.

Elon stans seem to have a similar mindset.

Getting folks to think critically about Elon's actions would require an Epstein video of Trump engaging in SA with a clearly underage child. Likely only if coming out of police evidence lockers sealed before AI video existed. And it would have to be reported widely and maybe even released publicly without cuts (only blurring).

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dinkumthinkum
9 months ago
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This is also a left smear. Many conservatives have expressed dissatisfaction with this bill that is the focus of all this. It’s not true what you are saying. It’s not true that those that voted for him agree and justify everything. Regardless of what you may think of Covid response, many conservatives expressed disagreement with him on that as well.

It is not as if supporters will deny all but a clear video tape of such an incident. There is no evidence this is true and there is plenty of reason to think it does not exist. The fact that Trump turned on Epstein while he was alive and Epstein’s attorney tried to find ways to smear Trump because of his involvement with the prosecution stands at odds with Musk’s claim that many here are granting prima facie.

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paulryanrogers
9 months ago
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Trump has a reputation for walking in on women and teens in the dressing areas at his pageants. At least one of Epstein's GFs said Trump assaulted her. Epstein said he was Trump's closest friend.

It's very possible the Epstein files do have (or used to have) damning evidence. Though IME folks who call themselves MAGA are unlikely to take any evidence seriously.

Trump himself has said he believes he could shoot someone on 5th avenue and get away with it.

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dinkumthinkum
9 months ago
[-]
You're talking about Stacey Williams allegation a couple weeks before the election and right after those regarding Doug Emhoff? It's not as simple as piling on a list of allegations. If it is so possible why did Epstein not use it against Trump especially when Trump was trying to have adverse action inflicted on Epstein? As far as the 5th Avenue thing, this is another one of these things that happens on the left where they take all of his jokes so literally and just run with it. I saw another normie take from that Lawrence O'Donnell in which he was just beside himself up in arms over Trump's tweet about Biden being a robot was absolute proof that Trump believed in Biden robots and that he was mentally incapacitated. One can have criticism without it devolving into breathless derangement.
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mindslight
9 months ago
[-]
"I only just realized!" is obviously disingenuous, but it suffices for the routine plausible deniability.

The real distinction is whether you believe that someone who has done bad deeds can be supported for other reasons, or whether they need to be repudiated in their entirety. For example even if you know Trump is a child rapist (and you condemn child rape), but you think as President he's going to do good for the country, you can still support him for President while being intellectually consistent [0].

This is separate from the issue of whether the person who has done wrong should face justice (eg continuing, you can think that Trump should go to jail but modulo that not happening, that he will do good for the country [0]). And separate from the issue of whether someone in a position to facilitate justice happening has an overriding duty to do so (I don't think Musk is in this position either though. Trump's one actual skill is escaping consequences).

> This means Musk knowingly contributed to get a pedophile elected! He couldn't have learned this at the last minute, he obviously held this ace in his sleeve...

> This already should "impeach" Musk (informally) in the eyes of his supporters: this is a guy who would help get a pedophile elected president if it would suit his business vision.

The second does not immediately follow from the first. Modulo the larger distinction I made above, it may just be the case that every second powerful figure is some kind of child rapist or similarly morally bankrupt, and this has been normalized, so even if you have morals to be applied you just have to hold your nose to get anything done. I have no idea, but I do know Epstein was connected to a lot of people.

You're also imparting a narrower business vision rather than political or moral where such compromises would be see as more justified. So no, these events might indict Musk in your mind further, but I don't think this is a universal conclusion.

> Trump has an expiration date. I suppose he can do lots of immediate damage to Musk, but he must do so now. Musk, as the world's richest person, has a much longer shelf life and more time to do damage to the US and the rest of the world, and bizarrely, has a large cult following.

I've got the complete opposite take on this. Trump has his hands on the actual levers of power, power which continues to acrete the more he destroys our institutions. Whereas Musk seems close to his limit with buying Xitter and blackmailing politicians (about funding opponents). It feels like Musk is just an avatar of the terrible dynamics of wealth concentration, which are present regardless of him personally. While Trump is actively pushing our society off a cliff in a way we will not be able to come back from. Just a feeling per my own heuristics, I'll have to ponder this more.

[0] just to be very explicit this is certainly not my own view about Trump!

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dinkumthinkum
9 months ago
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Everyone knows what? There have been no shortage of journalists trying to destroy him, where is the evidence. He was quite involved in assisting prosecutors against Epstein, as a civilian. As others have pointed, Musk does have a penchant for making this exact allegation, unfounded, against people he disagrees with, even over the most bizarre of things. If we all just say we know allegations against people we disagree will true, without basis in fact, then we are no better than parliamentary monarchy for which we fought a revolution against, let alone kangaroo courts around the world.
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TrapLord_Rhodo
9 months ago
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How do you force a company to provide services?

Nationalization can't work for a company working at the bleeding edge of tech. Everyone would leave, their stock options now worthless or paid out.

Name one single time in history nationization has worked? I can name 100 counter examples.

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someothherguyy
10 months ago
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> an absolutely insane thing to do

Is it?

The statement itself doesn't seem to imply anything other than Musk seems to think he is in those files.

Trump is in some of the JE "files" that were already released (flight logs).

I think the cultural obsession with the unknown surrounding Jeffery Epstein informs what people infer from statements like that.

There are many less-than-flattering ways that Trump could be associated with JE that do not include pedophilia.

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the_af
9 months ago
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But Musk is not implying any of those less-than-flattering things. Nobody knows what Musk actually thinks, but what he implied is pretty clear. He calls it "a bomb", and we all know what that means.

And this matters, because Musk was a major campaign contributor and advisor to someone he has now implied to be a pedophile. What does this say about Musk?

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jmyeet
9 months ago
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As per usual, every accusation from a narcissist is a confession.

You know who absolutely is connected to Epstein? Elon's brother, Kimbal (allgedly) [1].

And while not related to Epstein but is just gross and in a similar ballpark, Elon's father Errol, had a stepdaughter from his wife's first marriage, Jana Bezuidenhout, who grew up in his house from age 4. He later went on to father two children with Jana (the first when she was 30, I believe) [2]. It's unclear when the relationship began. The only public statements are after Jana had a break-up.

[1]: https://www.businessinsider.com/jeffrey-epsteins-ex-girlfrie...

[2]: https://www.scmp.com/magazines/style/celebrity/article/31886...

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the_af
9 months ago
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Didn't know these details about Musk's family.

It doesn't surprise me at all that a guy so gross in his personal life comes from a gross family. Everything about Musk is deranged.

Do you remember the (not so distant era) when Musk was the nerd's and hacker's darling? SpaceX, his genius, his vision! This was before we knew much about his personal life and opinions. It seems so long ago now... Before he took to Twitter to claim it was OK to coup countries for their resources, or started naming children like mathematical formulas.

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yubblegum
9 months ago
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> Everything about Musk is deranged.

He's a symptom. It is our society, globally, that has become deranged. Almost all public figures are a shade of scumbag these days. Maybe they always were and there is no longer any reason to hide it.

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the_af
9 months ago
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Regrettably, I must agree with you.

I can speak for Argentina, where the situation (the sharp deterioration of public discourse, the "rule by Twitter posts", flamewars between government officials, incredibly aggressive public discourse, obvious fraud that doesn't get prosecuted if it's done by some political factions, etc) mirrors the US in many ways. I would say in Argentina we repeat tragedy in the form of farce, except what's going on in the States is also a farce.

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someothherguyy
9 months ago
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> we all know what that means

Personally, I don't jump to conclusions based on vague statements or evidence.

> What does this say about Musk?

Who knows? Musk has thin associations with Epstein and Maxwell as well, he is a proven liar, is at times visibly manic, and has been reported to drop relationships at a whim when challenged.

There could be plenty of things driving his behavior, but I don't think this informs anything new about his character.

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the_af
9 months ago
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You got me wrong: I'm not talking about the veracity of the accusation, I'm asking about what it says about Musk (regardless of its truth).

Especially in the eyes of Musk fans.

This guy is now effectively claiming he helped get someone elected president whom he knew was a pedophile. Musk claims Trump got elected thanks to his support (again, Musk claims this). He also claims Trump is a pedophile.

So what do Musk fans think about Musk (not Trump) in light of this?

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spuz
9 months ago
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Honestly, if there were any fans of Musk after he imitated a Nazi salute, I don't think their perception of him has much further room to sink.
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andrewflnr
9 months ago
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> Personally, I don't jump to conclusions based on vague statements or evidence.

When it comes to drawing conclusions about the intent of the person making the vague statement, this is an error. It helps create the plausible deniability that public manipulators use to their advantage.

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bufferoverflow
9 months ago
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SpaceX can move to another country if the US starts creating problems. Plenty of countries will happily take them.
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cyclecount
10 months ago
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If it’s critical infrastructure it should be nationalized
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testing22321
9 months ago
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This is a very anti-USA way of thinking because it doesn’t allow companies to extract profit.

Healthcare, education, roads, prisons, electricity, transit, all of it is designed in the USA so a company can extract profit.

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dinkumthinkum
9 months ago
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This is hardly a charitable interpretation. The lack of competition provides for little incentive for improvement. Now, for prisons, I think for-profit prisons are quite problematic because the incentives are abjectly antithetical to justice.
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dingnuts
10 months ago
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We have a national space agency that has had plenty of time and money to do the stuff SpaceX is doing.

Why wouldn't SpaceX turn into the funding and political football that NASA is, if it were nationalized?

Like, this isn't a hypothetical. SpaceX only has a market because of the incompetence of the "public option."

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bigbadfeline
9 months ago
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> We have a national space agency that has had plenty of time and money to do the stuff SpaceX is doing.

That's quite inaccurate. NASA doesn't do much themselves, they hire external contractors but keep significant control over them. SpaceX got more funding and less control and they didn't start from scratch, NASA gave them all of their technical documentation, now-how and working prototypes.

NASA could have done everything SpaceX does if they were given the same conditions and funding, however, they've never had funding for blowing up five spaceships in row, they were held to much stricter standards.

The entire story looks like a blatant attempt to take control of space operations away from NASA and thus from the government.

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throwaway69123
9 months ago
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how do explain other governments funding efforts to copy spacex without success, its easy to hand wave away peoples efforts and achievements with hindsight
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TeaBrain
9 months ago
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>NASA could have done everything SpaceX does if they were given the same conditions and funding

This may have been hypothetically possible, as are many things that never came to be, but it is impossible to know whether this really would have happened.

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randomNumber7
9 months ago
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Challenger
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throwaway69123
9 months ago
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enjoy the snap reaction brain drain as entrepreneurs move their efforts offshore, people are being disingenuous by saying its as simple as deciding to nationalise a company everyone said would fail and who china and Europe are desperately trying to emulate, all over retaliatory statements, be careful what sort of government behaviour you normalise because you happen to be on the winning side of that behaviour, seasons change
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bigbadfeline
9 months ago
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onlyrealcuzzo above commented that Trump canceling SpaceX contracts would be "literally the path that led the USSR to ruin".

However, we have a case of a private contractor trying to manipulate the president by means of "revelations" and decommissioning of a service important for national security. If the president cannot change those contracts the US would be literally on the path to oligarchic Russia... I'm not sure what's worse.

Trump is generally moving in the direction of reducing government control of corporations to the point of risking government capture by oligarchic interests. What's happening now is a direct consequence of his policies and it's ironic that Trump's powers are being questioned when it comes to corporate regulation.

Trump's personal faults are irrelevant at the moment, if the GOP doesn't stand firmly behind Trump we are going to find ourselves in an incredible mess.

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protocolture
9 months ago
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They would have to tip a bunch of money into boeing to help them get to space x parity in time for Artemis launch dates. It isnt happening.
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lostlogin
9 months ago
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> lean on Russia with whom the USA is currently engaged in a proxy war?

Are they though? Trump is on Putins side. Who disputes that?

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mellow-lake-day
9 months ago
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Yes, it's quite disingenuous to say that USA is engaged a proxy war. Ukraine has military support from other countries but they are the ones making decisions at the end of day.

For example Ukraine just carried out a complex drone attack on Russia's bomber fleet, this was careful planned by Ukrainian miliary without any involvement of the US and US was not informed of this ahead of time. And after the fact USA got upset with Ukraine for doing that.

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TechDebtDevin
9 months ago
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The DoD would certainly just take care of Elon if they had to. Who are we kidding. The DoD are the actual owners of Space X. Hes a figure head / civilian face.

They are literally just running the Howard Hughes playbook over again. Hes a front guys.

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mellow-lake-day
9 months ago
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>with whom the USA is currently engaged in a proxy war?

USA isn't currently engaged a proxy war with Russia

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rpmisms
9 months ago
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Yes we are.
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mellow-lake-day
9 months ago
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Ukraine is fighting a Russian invasion. And republicans are pressuring Ukraine to give up. How is that a proxy war?
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afroboy
9 months ago
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But numbers don't lie, USA still sending billions of weapons to Ukraine even with the Trump shenanigans.
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wltr
9 months ago
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As if they weren’t selling the weapons.
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jmpman
9 months ago
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The biggest threat to Musk’s empire is simply to remove Chinese electric vehicle tariffs.
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dogtierstatus
9 months ago
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I'd like to point out this situation to anyone who supported privatizing Space. Your access can be cut off in a second.
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miga
9 months ago
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When policy dispute escalates to ad hominem and fund cutting arguments, it becomes clear that the presidency no longer serves the institution, but becomes a personal kingdom.
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iamleppert
9 months ago
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What do we even need to be sending people into space for? It seems like a lot of savings could be had if we just completely shut down the entire manned space program. Unless there is some direct business case for it, why do it at all? Don't tell me some vague definition of "science". This isn't some new frontier that needs exploring, its well understood at this point. There needs to be a direct benefit to the american tax payer to justify the cost of putting a person up there. I don't see a reason to send people to space, if something needs to be done, it can be automated and sent as an autonomous payload. Sending people to space feels wasteful in the age of robotics, fast data links and autonomous systems. If we can operate a rover on mars, we can do whatever needs to be done in orbit or the moon or deep space, without human aid.

It feels like a vanity and an anachronism to an era from the past. Manned space travel is risky, expensive, environmentally destructive, and for what? For some human being to manually manipulate scientific instruments in orbit that should have been, or could have been automated and get the same results?

Gone are the days where people actually think we could be living in space. From what we know now, not only is it impractical, dangerous, inefficient, its also unhealthy. This isn't a question of some new technology that needs created to support it, it's a limitation of physics and millions of years of evolution on earth.

Send satellites to orbit? Yes. Collect power from space? Yes. Conduct scientific research? Okay. But we don't need to send people to do that anymore. Manned space travel had its place in time, and it no longer makes sense to do it, so lets have the maturity to move on from the past.

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j_w
9 months ago
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You can't have this argument in good faith at the present moment because the institution is under attack not because of a pragmatic reason as you describe but because the joke of a president is mad at a private citizen for their speech. Ignoring all previous Musk love or hate that somebody may have, look at the action that may take place here - the government taking adverse action against a private citizen for their speech.

We can have the pragmatic discussion AFTER the fascism is over.

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Veedrac
9 months ago
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Most of the benefits of manned space exploration are fake, yes. The incentives of the people doing it though aren't to be honest about it. NASA talks about how critical a constant human presence on the ISS is for ‘science’; never once have I heard them even try to justify $100B spend as more than a keyword.

There are a few real things a manned space program does: showing force in rocket technologies, serving as inspiration in STEM fields, and taking an early step to humans flourishing throughout the universe. There are also real but bad reasons, like NASA bloat is seen as a way to buy voters.

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BugsJustFindMe
9 months ago
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Are you unfamiliar with the many world-changing technologies and inventions that have come about because of the needs and drivers of the human space program? On what basis do you form the belief that we would not continue to develop and benefit from new world-changing innovations despite all historical evidence that says otherwise?

A huge amount of scientific invention is made incidentally to another goal. It's intensely myopic to disregard that.

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iamleppert
9 months ago
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I was waiting for this comment! What innovations have come about in the last 20 years of the human space program? Everyone always makes this claim but never can name a single one, or brings up unrelated things like the heat tiles on the space shuttle. What kinds of developments could not have been done with autonomous payloads?
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FrenchyJiby
9 months ago
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Not an expert, but it seems NASA holds a few magazine publications for just that, it must come up often.

One VERY on topic is "ISS Benefits for Humanity", which shows why the ISS benefits everyone.

See edition 2022: https://www.nasa.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/iss_benefits...

Seems from the table of contents, it breaks down to: earth observation, microbiology in microgravity, human health research, inspiring younglings, new physics, and "growing the low-earth economy".

Then broader there's a yearly one called Spinoff that points to the technology transfers, but that's not just from human flight, but from all NASA-funded work.

See last few years' edition: https://spinoff.nasa.gov/spinoff/archives

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BugsJustFindMe
9 months ago
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> What kinds of developments could not have been done with autonomous payloads?

This is very much the wrong question to ask. The question isn't whether something can be done with different payloads. The question is whether something would have been done if not for the drive to send people into constrained environments. Closed loop osmotic water filtration systems would not be so developed without the driving motivation of sustaining life in a box. Sending payloads at all is actually extremely tangential except insofar as if you officially terminate the actual sending of people then the motivation to develop technologies that make it easier to send people vanishes.

It's not super clear from your wording, but it sounds kinda like you want to hear about research within the past 20 years that has made it to already being commercialized, but that would be ignoring the fact that taking decades for research and development done for human spaceflight to get applied to other uses, which it often does, doesn't negate the facts that it often does take longer than that for ventures to reach the public and that the research and development was done for human spaceflight. It seems unlikely that you're looking for older developments that have only been commercialized recently, though I can point you to several, and developments done more recently but not yet commercialized for other uses have no success record yet. It makes your request sound a bit disingenuous.

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DavidPiper
9 months ago
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Not the OP, but I am genuinely completely unaware - I don't follow space tech at all (or really know much about its history). Could you elaborate on some of them?
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x0WoobRi
9 months ago
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> This isn't some new frontier that needs exploring, its well understood at this point

This is where I started to think this was trolling and that it would soon devolve into overly satirical commentary to prove the opposite point. I was surprised it didn't do this. I'm very interested in this defeatist mentality, welp we know it's impractical we should stop trying. It's not only ignoring the advancements that manned space exploration has brought but seemingly ignores how advancements are done in general for all of human existence. This mindset would have us living in caves after a few hardships.

You could argue we know enough now but this overestimates how much humans know especially with respect to space

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bigyabai
9 months ago
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> but this overestimates how much humans know especially with respect to space

Does it? We can't know how many secrets there are out there, maybe there's infinite and maybe there's nothing. It's hard for us to know the opportunity cost until we understand what we're bartering for.

Like, humanity could pool their resources to comprehensively explore the Mariana Trench if we wanted. That's fairly unknown, entirely feasible, and could yield scientific advancement. But it's also expensive, and doesn't guarantee any lucrative returns for us. Maybe there's gold deposits at the bottom of the floor, maybe it's all silt and sand. Maybe we harvest the gold, and discover that humanity has upset a delicate balance that has only survived by us ignoring it.

Iunno, if I was an alien civilization somewhere, I'd be praying to whatever higher powers exist to ensure humanity stays far, far away from me.

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CjHuber
9 months ago
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To me it sounds like more like hyperbolic pragmatism than defeatism.
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jiggawatts
9 months ago
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You're being downvoted unfairly, because the fact of the matter is that the only science being done in orbit that fundamentally requires humans is research into the effects of microgravity on the human body.

But we know it's bad, and we know the fix: Just simulate gravity by spinning the spacecraft like in 2001: A Space Odyssey, or in Interstellar. Easy.

There's this... thing... with NASA that you can recognise once you see it, because you will see it, over and over: Once they find something that the government is willing to fund, they will never stop researching that thing, because to "solve" the problem is to turn the funding tap off.

My favourite example of this phenomenom is water and/or life on Mars. There's been a ludicrous volume of press releases (like clockwork!) about possible life (or water) on Mars. However, notably, not a single mission to Mars has ever included any instrument that could definitively disprove that there is life or water on Mars. To do so would be an instant off-switch for billions in funding, so "oops" these instruments are always omitted.

Send a microscope! A frigging microscope! One! They're not that big or heavy!

Nope, can't do it. That would be the end, you see? Got to keep sending magnetometers, microphones, cameras, stereo cameras, all sorts of things. Just not anything that would accidentally prove that there's nothing to find.

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unethical_ban
9 months ago
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Of course, this entire conversation is off-topic because the topic is not the merit of funding human spaceflight, but the merit of a president suddenly threatening a specific company with losing their federal contracts for criticizing the president.
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beefnugs
9 months ago
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Isn't there specific laws that allows the government to take over businesses for war time production? Hasn't he already used harsher laws for less already?
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jmyeet
10 months ago
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It's wild to me how many conspiracy theories I've seen about how this is all staged, like it's a distraction or it's just Elon repairing his image and trying to rescue Tesla (whose sales are cratering).

Psychologically, I think this is reflective of cognitive dissonance. The two conflicting ideas are that two people with much to lose would get in the dumbest fight imaginable and the myth of meritocracy [1]. You see, people want or need to believe that people get into these positions through merit: skill, intelligence and hard work.

That's simply not true. We are talking about two of the egotistical, thin-skinned, genuinely stupid narcissists on the planet. Drugs may even be a factor. There is no planet where a charade like this involves calling the president of the United States a pedophile [2].

Media reports seem to universally agree that everybody in the administration absolutely hates Elon. Additionally, IMHO Elon is absolutely on the spectrum. As such, he is a terrible room reader and I believe is deluded into thinking he has a loyal following. He does not. Any clout he has is solely because of being a Trump acolyte.

The myth of meritocracy is perpetuated to keep you working hard to make somebody else rich. It is to reinforce the existing social and economic order. It is to assign blame to those who are poor because poverty is treated as a personal moral failure.

If Trump chooses to, he can effectively bankrupt Elon. That's how insane all of this is.

For starters, Trump can simply revoke Elon's security clearance. There's no recourse for this. And that makes SpaceX's military contracts real awkward.

There are negotiations over a trade deal with China because of the tariffs and what is quite likely the dumbest trade war in history. The terms of that deal could be fatal to Tesla's future.

Trump could even get Elon denaturalized and deported. How? Immigration fraud. It's fairly clear from the facts (and his brother's statements about 10 years ago) that when Elon dropped out of a Stanford PhD to start a company he was technically undocumented. If you misrepresent to USCIS then it is absolutely grounds for denaturalization should they choose, although such proceedings are incredibly rare.

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Myth_of_meritocracy

[2]: https://deadline.com/2025/06/trump-musk-epstein-files-claim-...

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kortilla
9 months ago
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>For starters, Trump can simply revoke Elon's security clearance. There's no recourse for this. And that makes SpaceX's military contracts real awkward.

This isn't an issue. Execs nor shareholders are required to have clearance and even the ones that have clearance aren't read in to top secret stuff without a need to know. Elon's focus was starship which is quite far removed from any of those contracts (falcon gov launches or starshield). Gwynne Shotwell runs and will continue to run those parts of SpaceX just fine without Elon having clearance.

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JumpCrisscross
9 months ago
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> Execs nor shareholders are required to have clearance and even the ones that have clearance aren't read in to top secret stuff without a need to know

No clearance would absolutely compromise Musk’s ability to control SpaceX. (I think that’s a good thing.)

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kortilla
9 months ago
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It wouldn’t matter for spacex, which is the point. It wouldn’t make “military contracts awkward”, whatever that means.

Musk would still maintain the ability to control what SpaceX targets as far as customers go. And he could easily decline any plans to pursue contracts that require changes in strategy.

Him having clearance is irrelevant to both the govt and to the future of spacex. Gwynne runs those parts of the company. Musk is only playing with Starship when he’s looking at spacex at all.

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tzs
9 months ago
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Aren't they using the same rockets for non-government missions that they use for government missions, so the classified parts of government missions would just concern the payload and where they fly it to? Musk shouldn't need access to that information to run the company.
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JumpCrisscross
9 months ago
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> the classified parts of government missions would just concern the payload and where they fly it to?

Which in turn affects practically everything from launch timing to fuelling thresholds to whether the rocket can be used in reusable or expendable mode and thus whether that booster can be reüsed for the next launch. (Same for Starshield’s requirements impacting Starlink.)

Note that I’m not even touching ITAR, which Musk could be found subject to as a triple national.

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kaptainscarlet
10 months ago
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The proof is in the black eye.
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spacemadness
9 months ago
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MAGA cope is astonishing in its intensity. I’ve never seen anything like it. Truly a different take on reality.
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andrewflnr
9 months ago
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> or it's just Elon repairing his image and trying to rescue Tesla (whose sales are cratering)

I'm not going to say for sure that it's true, but this is not a conspiracy, or even a super genius move by Elon. I think it's a very natural and plausible instinct given the circumstances. He can't have avoided noticing the crash in sales, and the back of the mind can realize things the consciousness is in denial about. It would just register in his mind as "need to detach my image from this enemy".

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thrance
9 months ago
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> Elon is absolutely on the spectrum. As such, he is a terrible room reader and I believe is deluded into thinking he has a loyal following.

Two things:

* Being on the spectrum doesn't make you completely clueless. Elon is also a drug addict, as was revealed recently to all that couldn't tell yet. And his unique position of "richest man ever" certainly must warp his self-image into a form of sociopathy.

* He does have a loyal following, looking at the braindead blue check marks approving of his every tweets. Although it's hard to say how many of them they really are, as they are extremely vocal.

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CamperBob2
10 months ago
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There's nothing invalid about meritocracy, but that's not what we have. We have some other kind of "ocracy": government by the lucky. I lack the Greek literacy to name the phenomenon correctly but that's what it would translate to in English.

Neither Trump nor Musk has any business running anything more impactful than a used car lot or a corner Starbucks franchise, but their competition was permanently out to lunch in both cases, and here we are. How can anyone be surprised when two merit-free, chaos-loving narcissists fail to get along?

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rsynnott
9 months ago
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It's been described as kakistocracy (government by the people who are most unsuitable for government).
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pclmulqdq
9 months ago
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I think you're aiming for some idea of "tychocracy," but really, you mean "oligarchy."
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amanaplanacanal
9 months ago
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Meritocracy is like perfect communism, in that it's never been tried (and never will).
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busyant
9 months ago
[-]
I had a history prof who said "Communism is for the angels. But the angels don't need it."

That being said, I don't fully agree with grandparent's statement that ...

> We have some other kind of "ocracy": government by the lucky.

As much as it pains me to say it, it wasn't just "luck."

Musk is reasonably bright and Trump is ... well ... he's not as dumb as many portray him.

Instead they're both horribly broken in other ways.

Trump seems devoid of empathy and that metaphorical vacuum is filled with malevolence. He also appears to have very little self-control.

I can't tell you what is broken with Musk. Maybe the same stuff as w/ Trump, but to a slightly lesser degree.

Luck certainly played a part in their respective successes, but so did intelligence and ruthlessness.

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mmustapic
9 months ago
[-]
“ For we each of us deserve everything, every luxury that was ever piled in the tombs of the dead kings, and we each of us deserve nothing, not a mouthful of bread in hunger. Have we not eaten while another starved? Will you punish us for that? Will you reward us for the virtue of starving while others ate? No man earns punishment, no man earns reward. Free your mind of the idea of deserving, the idea of earning, and you will begin to be able to think.”
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CamperBob2
9 months ago
[-]
Meh, tell it to Darwin. Heat death will come for us all in the end, and there is no refuge to be found in our navels. Why accelerate it by embracing mediocrity? We should identify talent, reward it, and do the best we can with what we have, while we can.

The part about "identifying talent" is where people seem to lose the plot, unfortunately.

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amanaplanacanal
9 months ago
[-]
It's much easier and more satisfying to give opportunities to family and friends, so that's what we do.

The current US administration has gone all-in on this idea. Not an actual merit hire in the bunch.

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ndsipa_pomu
9 months ago
[-]
> Trump can simply revoke Elon's security clearance

Probably a bit late to do that as Musk can tap into the Starlink setup at the White House: https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/unvetted-starli...

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sneak
9 months ago
[-]
Why wouldn’t it be staged? There is a much simpler explanation than “this is cope for people who think life is based on merit”.

To underestimate your enemy is the most common mistake.

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andrewflnr
9 months ago
[-]
You think a carefully staged spat between two men with long track records of impulsive idiocy is the simple solution?

I mean, there is a sense where a conspiracy is always the simplest explanation for public affairs, in the same way "a wizard did it" is simple. But that's not usually what people mean when they talk about Occam's razor.

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coffeemug
10 months ago
[-]
There is no myth. Both Trump and Elon have generational talent in their respective domains. This is the kind of talent that’s so unique, it creates its own domain that didn’t exist before, and that no one will be able to replicate after.

But they’re both unstable, and have many other negative features.

One can have an extraordinary talent in starting generational companies, and have a social media addiction (among possibly other addictions and problems) that makes one unstable. These aren’t mutually exclusive.

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CamperBob2
9 months ago
[-]
One of their fathers was a successful slumlord, and the other owned an emerald mine in South Africa. Those provide a one-time advantage (which in Trump's case would have been more profitable if he had socked it away in an index fund.) How do they establish 'generational talent' for being POTUS or building rockets and cars?

It will be interesting to see if any of Elon's offspring choose to follow in his footsteps. Probably not the transgender child he disowned, or the one whose name has to be written with Unicode characters, but that leaves something like 20 others to vie for the throne.

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candiddevmike
9 months ago
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> Both Trump and Elon have generational talent in their respective domains

That's an interesting way of saying they were born into a wealthy family

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bobsmooth
9 months ago
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I was also born into a wealthy family but I haven't created multiple billion dollar companies.
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jiggawatts
9 months ago
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Neither has Trump, so don’t feel bad.
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anonymousDan
9 months ago
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Well presumably you have some actual morals.
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randomNumber7
9 months ago
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I bet you would have no moral given the opportunity.
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georgemcbay
9 months ago
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This seems like the sort of projection where someone is inadvertently "telling on themself".
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intermerda
9 months ago
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I bet you have none, opportunity or not.
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anonymousDan
9 months ago
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You're probably right!
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ndsipa_pomu
9 months ago
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> One can have an extraordinary talent in starting generational companies

I though Musk was just adept at buying certain companies

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cosmicgadget
9 months ago
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Maybe he is talking about Trump Vodka, Trump Steaks, Trump U, Trump Airlines...
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sidibe
9 months ago
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The only talents they are great at are grift and daring someone to enforce rules against them in a society that largely relies on people holding themselves to standards and risk avoidance instead of active enforcement.
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insane_dreamer
9 months ago
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Elon maybe—we’ll see if they outlast him. Trump did not start any generational companies.
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h4kunamata
9 months ago
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Without SpaceX, all of us will never leave this planet and will have very restricted access to space exploration.

EU is more dead than alive regarding space exploration; India moves slowly for obvious reasons; CH will never be used for any major western country project; Russia space program is gone;

Yet, America always hated SpaceX!! Elon has his problems but SpaceX is one of the best things that has ever happened, now even CH can return rockets back to Earth.

I am pretty sure Australia would accept SpaceX with open arms. Due to being too close to Trump, Elon burned the bridge with EU and Canada so he will never be able to move his company there. Australia is a very good candidate.

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aucisson_masque
9 months ago
[-]
> Trump said that Isaacman was a Democrat, although Isaacman has donated to both Republican and Democratic candidates and organizations over the year.

Beside the polemic over two toddler arguing in public, what grab my attention is the fact that someone who is considered to be appointed to NASA leadership use to give money to both opposite political side during election.

That’s messed up, someone like that has obviously absolutely no standing, honor,.. whatever you call it. Someone you can’t rely on, that will betray you.

I would consider it to be about the same level as a crackhead, you know he is going to betray you and all its responsibilities at some point, you just don’t know when.

Seriously, you don’t lead the NASA with people like that.

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redserk
9 months ago
[-]
Why not? We don’t know his motivations for political donations.

At the very least it might be worth questioning what he found appealing about each candidate’s view of NASA and leadership. But an outright disqualification over this?

Should we pull up voter records and see which party’s primary each person participated in?

I’d strongly prefer a society where agency leaders are picked for their expertise, not party allegiance.

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aucisson_masque
9 months ago
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> I’d strongly prefer a society where agency leaders are picked for their expertise, not party allegiance.

Me too of course, but it’s not even about that. I could understand if they chose someone because he is competent and republican.

What triggers me is the kind of snake this man is, if the Chinese offered him money to reveal secrets and he thinks he can get away with, I have no doubt he would collaborate.

You need a man you can trust at this position, someone that wouldn’t betray his country. If he’s the kind to spread money on both side of the political spectrum, regardless of his moral compass, or just dignity, I would be extremely cautious.

That’s basically not a man with conviction, or dignity.

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spamjammer0
9 months ago
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You are right about him being a snake. I don't think anyone is dumb enough to offer secrets to Chinese for money, so doubt that would ever happen. Do you want to be triggered more? You are right about the trust issue and you will have more trust issues after watching some of this https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL-arqxBG7bIl63KZ6VwKH... Read the source material though if you want to get any actual insights.
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presentation
9 months ago
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Why do you think that people have to be loyal to a single political party?
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aucisson_masque
9 months ago
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In the USA, you can’t be a Democrat and Republican supporter. Their stance vary way too much.

This is proof that someone pretending to support both does in fact support none and more importantly can’t be trusted.

It’s about being trustworthy and loyal to your country.

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presentation
9 months ago
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No, I am an American and I think some things the republicans do are dumb and some things the democrats do are dumb. This tribalism is not helpful for actually sifting out what policies are sensible and what aren’t.
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everyone
9 months ago
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I used to follow all the spaceX stuff. But I cant watch any of it now, just cus its associated with that sack of shit musk. I want every endeavour of his to fail more than I want us to have a functional starship.
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shmerl
9 months ago
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Two pathological narcissists were inevitably going to end up at each other's throats. It was only a matter of time.
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1vuio0pswjnm7
9 months ago
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Question: Can Musk get to Mars without control over NASA.

If yes, then should he have accepted Trump's decision on who should run the agency.

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bgwalter
10 months ago
[-]
There is so much theater and reality TV in the Trump administration that it's hard to conclude anything. Most of the theater is there to play to his MAGA base.

First there was the (staged?) row with Zelensky. A couple of months later nothing has really changed.

Now Musk left as planned (he couldn't stay longer than 130 days in that position). Time for another public row to show that Trump is tough on subsidies for electric vehicles.

SpaceX will of course continue to get funded. A large number of LEO satellites are needed for Trump's Golden Dome and Starlink is needed in crisis regions.

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cosmicgadget
9 months ago
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The Zelensky interview was only staged (manufactured) by the White House. You may have noticed immediately after the US stopped intelligence sharing just long enough for Putin to take back Kursk.
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someothherguyy
9 months ago
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https://www.justice.gov/jmd/ethics/summary-government-ethics...

It looks like it is 130 days per year, not a rolling start from the date of hiring.

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energy123
9 months ago
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This is so farfetched and I find it absolutely bizarre that anyone can have a worldview where they think this level of conspiracy is the most likely explanation for any of these things. It runs contrary to the point of a conspiracy which is to do things that benefit you. Being called a pedophile and splitting your base is not to your benefit.

Even if it was to his benefit to get called a pedophile, there still would be no reason to assume 4D-chess genius. The malignant narcissist and drug explanation is right there. The long track record of infighting and interpersonal fallouts is right there. The track record of falsely calling people pedophiles is also right there.

But for some reason we must discard all reason and conclude that Trump and Musk are conspiring.

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bgwalter
9 months ago
[-]
Direct your bewilderment at the conspiracy theorists of the NYT!

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/06/technology/elon-musk-trum...

"The spat was revelatory, it was epic, it was historic, at least according to the thousands of earnest and excited commentaries that were instantly published.

It was also a well-timed outburst.

Mr. Musk and Mr. Trump did not have a feud five days ago and might not have a feud five days from now. Until proved otherwise, all of this is theater. Think of it as the political version of professional wrestling. For a few hours, everyone was diverted by the spectacle of a brawl between the world’s richest man and its most powerful person."

Having you and other politically naive persons shoot down anything as a "conspiracy theory" is exactly what enables the system.

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safety1st
9 months ago
[-]
Yeah I think this is the most logical take.

These guys are both masters of dominating attention on social media. It got them to where they are. The way to dominate the national attention in this world we've created, is to act like a child and call someone a pedo. They are not the leaders we wanted, but may be the leaders we deserve.

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it_citizen
9 months ago
[-]
Well, he did get elected TWICE so, seems deserved enough to me.
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krick
9 months ago
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That's a really good take, and I personally missed that his departure was pre-planned all along (you are the first I saw to mention 130 days). But, again. "So, thank you, Elon, as you are leaving your role anyway, how about making a little performance for the public? Be my friend, post on Twitter that I didn't release Epstein files because I'm in them…"

…Really?

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0xDEAFBEAD
9 months ago
[-]
>First there was the (staged?) row with Zelensky. A couple of months later nothing has really changed.

I understand that the US stopped authorizing new shipments of gear to Ukraine like they were doing under Biden.

I don't believe it was staged. I think it was a long-shot attempt by Zelensky to make his case directly to the American people:

https://xcancel.com/RichardHanania/status/189556292259384155...

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deeg
9 months ago
[-]
There is no multiverse where Trump would knowingly allow someone to mock or criticize him. If Musk grovels enough Trump may let him back; he loves emasculating his rivals.
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tzs
9 months ago
[-]
> Now Musk left as planned (he couldn't stay longer than 130 days in that position).

He couldn't legally stay more than 130 days, but Trump is already ignoring plenty of more important laws and getting away with it. I doubt adding this one to the list would make any difference.

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pclmulqdq
9 months ago
[-]
I really don't think the Zelensky thing was staged, and I doubt this was either.

As far as I can tell about Zelensky, he had every intention to cancel Trump's proposed deal after the white house meeting, but he is losing the war with Russia so badly that he absolutely needs US support, so he had no choice but to come back to the table.

Musk pulling out the Epstein thing and Trump pulling out the SpaceX contracts are both two subjects these guys are very touchy about. If they were faking it, they wouldn't have gone for the (emotional) throat on this one.

That said, Trump always chickens out, so there's no real chance SpaceX is getting its contracts canceled, even the ones that legitimately are a huge waste of money.

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state_less
10 months ago
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What does SpaceX have to do with the Musk/Trump spat? Shouldn't those SpaceX contracts be based on how well the country is served by them and at what price.

Trump needs to take his lumps on his BBB. That bill is full of pork for billionaires and cuts funding for poor folks. It should come as no surprise that people don't like it.

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busyant
9 months ago
[-]
> Shouldn't those SpaceX contracts be based on how well the country is served by them and at what price.

I'm always amazed when I read questions like this.

I mean ... have you been paying attention?

Law firms getting security clearances canceled, incarceration without due process, Harvard defunded, memecoins, gutting of the federal government, &c. &c. &c. &c.

Every data point screams malevolence and lack of concern for the common good of the nation.

And you're confused about decision-making over SpaceX that "seems" to ignore how the country is best served?

Don't get me wrong. You pose a valid question. In fact, only a person who himself cares about the common good would ask this type of question.

But man, the big flashing warning signs should be answering your question for you.

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margalabargala
10 months ago
[-]
> What does SpaceX have to do with the Musk/Trump spat?

Well, SpaceX is owned by Musk. Therefore Trump, if seeking to hurt Musk, could attempt to hurt SpaceX.

The ends justify the means. The country's best interests are collateral damage, the benefit that SpaceX offers the country is not relevant to Trump's ego/feelings having been hurt.

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someothherguyy
9 months ago
[-]
They referenced the contracts directly in the disconnected social media exchange on Thursday.
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kaonwarb
10 months ago
[-]
I fear you materially overestimate Trump's rationality.
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joshdavham
9 months ago
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Elon Musk has recently talked about forming a third party in the US. Does anyone have an idea of what such a party would look like? I imagine it would be significantly different than the Republican Party.
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entropyneur
9 months ago
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I know a centrist gesture they could adopt as the party greeting.
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thrance
9 months ago
[-]
Pretty much the same garbage economic policies, concerning concentration of power and abhorrent hatred of minorities, with the difference that H1B visas are welcome.
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roncesvalles
9 months ago
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If I had to guess, socially liberal sans wokism or welfarism with an initial focus on fiscal conservatism to pull the US out of the debt hole.
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sahaj
9 months ago
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Where, Musk grants himself all govt funding and zero taxes on corps and superrich.
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ndr42
10 months ago
[-]
"one in eight Americans thinking women are too emotional to be in politics" [1]. Well, I don't know, maybe men should not holding high political offices /s

[1] https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/03616843221123...

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jyounker
9 months ago
[-]
A friend who studied political science an conflict made this observation about American politics: 30% of the voting population is insane. They will believe the most mind-bendingly illogical things, and then vote for them, so the best you can ever expect from the general population is 70% agreement on reality.

In that light, we're doing really well with only 1/8 believing such a thing.

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kylehotchkiss
9 months ago
[-]
I blame the leaded paint
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patrickmay
9 months ago
[-]
Maybe neither should. The problem is the power existing in the first place, waiting around for someone like Trump.
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Fairburn
9 months ago
[-]
Come on, as Beth says, those two should just fuck and get it over with.. We are all adults here. Say it with me: "Those two should just fuck and be be friends, again"
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Fairburn
9 months ago
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Those two embiciles should just fuck and get it over with. Geez.
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linotype
9 months ago
[-]
FAFO. The most predictable outcome in recent memory.
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shrubble
10 months ago
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I always ask myself, "what is being done by the left hand, while we are distracted by the right hand?"

Could this dust-up have anything to do with some other bill being passed or a policy implemented? I can think of the big reconciliation (BBB) bill, and Palantir getting access to more information on American citizens, as 2 things that the public could be distracted from by the Musk-Trump issue.

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fullshark
10 months ago
[-]
The public doesn't need elaborate schemes to be distracted, no one actually cares about that stuff. Republicans don't even really care about massive deficit spending in the budget which is out in the open.
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rayiner
10 months ago
[-]
Correct. Republicans voted to close the border and deport illegal aliens, not cut the budget deficit. The fiscally responsible republican party hasn’t existed since the 1920s. Trump has been consistent on this since 2016: he considers Medicare and Social Security untouchable. (The other republicans weren’t going to cut those either, but they were going to talk about reforming them.)
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mindslight
9 months ago
[-]
One has to love this chameleon of a Republican "platform" where values and ideals are championed to browbeat support for a particular action, but then written off as irrelevant when they're awkward for analyzing other actions - while other values and ideals are dragged out in support.

A week ago, "the debt" was really important. Now that Dear Leader has declared otherwise, apparently it's not. Right into the memory hole it goes.

The reality is there is no platform beyond anger (the base), and naked autocratic power (the politicians). Everything else is post-hoc rationalization.

(and just to clarify so I'm not written off as some progressive partisan: I'm a libertarian who was unaligned, understood and saw merit in both camps' ideals - until the Republican party turned its back on conservatism in favor of cult of personality reactionaryism)

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rayiner
9 months ago
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There is a platform: https://www.donaldjtrump.com/platform. No taxes on tips was on the platform (#6) as was no cuts to medicare or social security (#14). Balancing the budget was not on the platform.

There are republicans who care about the debt, but the party as a whole doesn’t. The economic libertarians have been thoroughly marginalized in the modern GOP, because economic libertarianism is unpopular.

To be clear, I admire the traditional small government conservatives, though I am not one. The GOP hasn’t been that party since the 1920s. The mass immigration of the 20th century made that approach unviable. We’re a country of machine politics now and it’s only going to become more pronounced. The guy who ran on “No Taxes on Tips” to buy the Latino vote in Nevada was never going to balance the budget.

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mindslight
9 months ago
[-]
That platform statement does not contain values or ideals! It contains goals, which could possibly be achieved in very different ways. Values and ideals are then trotted out in support of the specific policies that purport to achieve those goals, and my point is that those ideals are highly inconsistent and seemingly sum up to mere blind anger.

Your individual assertion that you don't care about a balanced budget isn't particularly relevant to the larger context where an overwhelming amount of Trump supporters did just make arguments professing support of the need to get the budget under control to justify last week's policies.

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rayiner
9 months ago
[-]
Just because people don’t have a grand unifying theory tying their preferences together doesn’t mean their preferences are motivated by “mere blind anger.” Trying to fit your preferences into some internally consistent framework is a high-IQ fixation.

That’s especially true because society is hard to analyze. For example, I think it will be bad for society to encourage greater race and ethnic consciousness in a diverse society. I can point to all the sectarian conflict that exists in countries around the world as an example of what I seek to avoid, but that’s hardly definitive. Is the upshot that we have to proceed with a vast social experiment, because we can’t provide a closed form analysis of the proposal a priori?

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mindslight
9 months ago
[-]
Ideals don't have to rise to the level of "grand unifying theory" to be meaningful. In fact given how poorly "grand unifying theories" tend to work, the whole point is that ideals sit in a sweet spot of complexity between there and a novel judgement for every new development.

I had an argument to write here, but I'm having a hard time getting it down to something concise and without a lot of inbaked assumptions, so I am just going to turn it into a question. Like, I am really trying to understand the continued support for Trump. I was an unaligned libertarian. I read Moldbug as he was writing. I got it. I disagreed from a philosophic information theoretic perspective (complexity multiplies, Urbit is just another "write once run anywhere"), but I still get the desire.

Then Trump. I totally got 2016 Trump support. The system seemed so entrenched and immutable, at least this guy is shaking things up and talking about real problems. I was the one telling my breathless progressive friends that he was likely to win. "But he's soooo racist" "uh-huh".

But then just the total lack of performance when actually in office? All performance, no execution besides who can be hurt this week? The only commonality I see is "owning the libs" where "the libs" means anyone who doesn't support Dear Leader. It just seems like one big tautology, for a lack of a real constrictive political direction or values.

I really want see where I am wrong, because none of these policies add up to making sense to me. Tariffs that harm our country, phrased in terms as if needing physical goods is somehow a strength? And then not even followed through on ? Attacking our allies for "not paying their share" while they buy into our economic empire and prop up our currency?

I get the populist anger, yes. But anger on its own does not produce good outcomes - in fact, quite the opposite.

I guess my question boils down to - if there are values besides anger, spite, owning the libs, and autocracy, then what exactly are they these days ? I don't mean the old mantras that are brought up to make people frustrated they didn't pan out, and then sidestepped when discussing current policy (like you've done with the deficit here). But the actual values that can be appealed to critique the current path? Heck, phrase it in terms of what would make you see a different candidate as even better than Trump.

Because like, for example:

> I think it will be bad for society to encourage greater race and ethnic consciousness in a diverse society

I agree with this. I don't call it "reverse racism", I just call it "racism" - a focus on collectivism in terms of group identity. But what I see in Trumpism isn't a repudiation of that general racism, but rather continued escalation of the dynamic merely with the "other side" winning. But I feel like if I tried to flesh that argument out by appealing to what you threw out as a supposed value, then I'm just going to run into a different newly-conjured value that overrides the first - in other words, rationalizations rather than actual values.

But please point out where I am wrong.

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tzs
9 months ago
[-]
It looks like Trump has decided to approach deficit reduction like he approaches climate change: claim that it is a hoax that his policies will increase the deficit [1].

According to that document he actually is cutting the deficit by $1.407 trillion with the One Big Beautiful Bill, and with the tariffs and deregulation the deficit will be cut by least $6.6 trillion over the next 10 years.

[1] https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2025/06/mythbuster-the-o...

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tzs
9 months ago
[-]
> Trump has been consistent on this since 2016: he considers Medicare and Social Security untouchable. (The other republicans weren’t going to cut those either, but they were going to talk about reforming them.)

Technically they weren't going to cut them, but they also weren't doing anything to effectively address the upcoming shortfalls in the SS and Medicare trust funds and in fact the tax changes they are trying to enact would shorten the time to those shortfalls.

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enraged_camel
10 months ago
[-]
I think you're falling into the "they are playing 5D chess" trap, whereas the truth is almost certainly much simpler: two powerful men with giant and brittle egos, who were on a collision course from day one, have now collided. That's it.
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rayiner
10 months ago
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They’re to powerful men with huge egos who fundamentally disagree on political priorities. Trump had a platform: https://www.donaldjtrump.com/platform. Balancing the budget wasn’t on it, but the following was: “FIGHT FOR AND PROTECT SOCIAL SECURITY AND MEDICARE WITH NO CUTS, INCLUDING NO CHANGES TO THE RETIREMENT AGE” (all-caps original).
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hypeatei
10 months ago
[-]
> Palantir getting access to more information on American citizens

This is overblown IMO. The government already has this data on citizens and they're merely using it how they like (i.e. consolidating it through a contractor)

The time to stop this would've been before it was collected in the first place.

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krick
10 months ago
[-]
That's what I usually think too. Even if just to be cautious: people alluding to "Hanlon's razor" (as if it's a real thing) are basically declaring themselves the smartest in the room, so by another well-known eponymous effect they are usually the dumbest in the room. Usually the worst suspicions are confirmed later.

This time, though, I'm running with the crowd. I think this is just too much. I mean, come on, screaming on Twitter that Trump didn't release Epstein files, because he is in them? Sure, it doesn't hurt him, it's no news nor a real accusation, but I'm pretty sure Trump didn't want that to be posted. The whole thing doesn't look nice for anybody, it doesn't help anybody. No, I really think Musk has become totally insane this time, or/and is drugged out. The left hand still may be doing something, but that's taking the opportunity, not making this all up for the sake of distraction.

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seydor
10 months ago
[-]
Maybe this timeline leads to nationalization of spaceX
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33hsiidhkm
9 months ago
[-]
If you are familiar with John Lilly (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_C._Lilly), you may notice some similarities with Musk. Lilly used/abused ketamine and began to believe in some form of extraterrestrial oversight of earth, something like that. Musk keeps tweeting about "simulation theory", and to me sounds totally deranged. He says he thinks reality is a simulation (batshit imho), and that boring simulations are cancelled, and only exciting ones are allowed to run (by whom..?), stuff like that. He's out of his mind. I am not choosing sides here, and Trump's behaviour is absolutely deplorable (again, imo).
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n2d4
9 months ago
[-]
Are you referring to Musk saying "The most entertaining outcome is the most likely"? It's just a joke, it's a version of Occam's razor — I can't find any mention of him arguing that this is genuinely how the world works.
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wefinh
9 months ago
[-]
I would not consider Musk as a researcher of the topic - he has not published any papers or even works on philosophical level, so you are giving Musk too much of attention - just like his appearance in Simpsons.

In regards to reality as simulation, well - the issue here is that definitions are not very precise. That simulation is reality to us. We have mind limitations, by which we operate just like animals have them and that makes our reality. I have experienced deja vu many times and the mechanisms to that might be linked that things are predestined - pretty much this is main belief, that all pre-Christian societies believed in and generally Christianity is not in opposition to that either - it just states that there is a free will to humans and that they must choose God over Santa and deja vu can be experienced only by saints that are in direct contact of Ultimate Being.

I don't know where Musk is getting his ideas, but what is mundane and boring to some might be exciting to others. Insects controlled by pheromones might be living most exciting life that there is.

I think I have heard some other ideas that most probably developed on the basis of ideas of Lilly. It involves reincarnation of souls in other beings. I'm not completely sold on idea(because that is presented as noble and next nuclear war is not under any definition), but that might explain why society is deranged as that right now, as current beings does not have noblest souls... though it can also be explained by many other factors. Though, the mechanics of transfer of nomadic souls would explain no need for transportation to reach all the other planets that have life, but also - that is not really what matters - we don't think that dinos had more importance over humans and to be fair humans themselves are just an episode in this Universe as well.

The idea of Lilly can be expanded - pretty much Universe can be just a playground for various beings to experience whatever - just like a RPG game or a live movie, where you can play a role. It does not necessarily require soul mechanism mentioned earlier. But it also does not matter for your existence - you are as real and important as you want it to be. Or don't matter at all and there is no reason or value for anything.

Regardless, your destiny is to live through this cosmic theater and experience Musk - do you like it or not. Pretty much your reality can also be formed by your mind and it seems, that Musk is very central part in it.

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anon291
9 months ago
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To be clear, the biden-musk dispute included threats to Tesla. The entire thing is insane. Musk has done more for America than either of the last two presidents.
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bigyabai
9 months ago
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Nooooo! Not muh heckin' Tesla stonks!

It's just such a shame that Elon was pressured into this messy politics stuff. After all, he could have just stayed in his own lane, kept his nose clean, made value for shareholders and saved America along the way. It was so easy! Hell, he could have just become president himself with his spotless track record of administrative accomplishment. Who wouldn't vote for him?

Now look at the poor guy. Burned his bridges with the liberals when he bought Twitter, harassed queer people and reneged his environmental commitments. Now the bridge to modern conservatism is on fire, because gasp the Republicans won't agree on making a smaller, less-capable government! Those filthy backstabbers, how was Elon supposed to know he was fraternizing with frauds, socialists and sex pests?

It's... it's discrimination. Don't they know Elon is on the autism spectrum, how are they getting away with this harassment? H-hey, why are you guys walking away - this is important! America's future is on the line, here!

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anon291
9 months ago
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I don't care about Musk personally but if you think Trump's threat is the first direct named threat against his company by a politician, I think you are off your rocker
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bigyabai
9 months ago
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By most accounts, that's what typically happens to businessmen who have close ties to the Russian Federation. Doubly so if you spent your early 20s on a traipse around post-bloc oblasts looking to buy decommissioned weapon systems. Triply so if you're still picking up when Putin calls you.

If it's any consolation though, Elon's not alone. Plus, he's probably earned a real nice dacha near occupied Sumy for the valuable work he's done the government.

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Neil44
10 months ago
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This feud is just a pantomime for the crowd in my opinion. There's a bigger play here.
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michaeljx
10 months ago
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You grossly underestimate the pettiness and pedantry of those involved
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solardev
10 months ago
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Lol, I guess this is what happens when two assholes surround themselves with sycophantic yes-men for far too long.

Nobody taught them how to play nice. I've met eight year olds with more civility and maturity than those two...

Oh well. Reminds me of that Alien vs Predator movie: Whoever wins, we lose.

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epistasis
10 months ago
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When described from 10,000 feet, I could almost believe this. If Musk were smart he might be doing something like this on the route to rehabilitating his image with customers.

But the particulars on the ground show that Musk is not smart, just vindictive, power-hungry, petulant, and childish. He literally posted that he would decommission Dragon because of Trump's threat, which was stupid in intent and stupid in potential negotiating effect on Trump (Trump does not know what Dragon is and does not care):

https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2025/06/05/musk-trump-spacex-dragon...

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hsnewman
10 months ago
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Both use deception and disruption to get to their goals. Now they both are at the receiving end. This will not end well for either.
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mystified5016
10 months ago
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That's giving these people far too much credit.
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dahart
10 months ago
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Are you sure? You know that Trump constantly talks about his TV ratings? I forget who it was, but I remember there being a story last year or the year before, of someone who was publicly criticizing Trump met with him and was expecting to be absolutely whipped and scolded, instead behind the scenes Trump thanked them for making good television. The financial impact on Musk’s companies do make this seem real, but somehow I wouldn’t be surprised if this drama was fake. It did occur to me, and I can tell I’m not the only one... the top Google autocomplete for me for “is the trump” is “is the trump musk feud real”.

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/tv/tv-news/president-trump...

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/28/us/politics/television-tr...

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hiatus
10 months ago
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What are you alluding to here?
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JKCalhoun
10 months ago
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I'm inclined to Hanlon's Razor.
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dahart
10 months ago
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I absolutely would be too, if there wasn’t a long demonstrated history on the part of both of these people to use public drama as smoke to distract from other things they’re doing.
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phpnode
10 months ago
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the variation I prefer is: never attribute to wisdom that which is adequately explained by stupidity
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cosmicgadget
9 months ago
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If it was a charade Epstein would not have been mentioned.
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dottjt
9 months ago
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Not quite relevant, but I've noticed that there's this trend on HN where if there's a non-tech-related happening that's significant and it's obviously something that people want to discuss, people will try and find a tech-related angle in order to discuss the wider issue.
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jiggawatts
9 months ago
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If we all worked in machine shops, we’d be talking about the steel tariffs.
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pests
9 months ago
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Articles on HN dont need a tech angle to begin with so this doesn’t make since.
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dvh
9 months ago
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I noticed one obsession in hn community: dating/relationships

New lua library - 2 comments. Something about dating or relationships - 70 comments.

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