The Undermining of the CDC
83 points
2 hours ago
| 11 comments
| newyorker.com
| HN
dreamcompiler
1 hour ago
[-]
We are embarking on a population-level Darwin Award experiment. Once the stupid people die off the overall population's resistance to stupidity will increase a little bit.

But getting there means a huge number of innocent, non-stupid people will die.

reply
epistasis
54 minutes ago
[-]
What I find fascinating is the voting is this thread.

What I find to be reasonable comments from me are getting downvoting in a way that never usually happens on HN! Is it me? I didn't think that the HN community would turn so hard against the CDC and basic infectious disease research.

reply
ryandrake
50 minutes ago
[-]
I was shocked by this during COVID. There's a huge anti-expertise, anti-institutions, anti-government-anything strain here, and they're very active on the various comment hiding buttons.
reply
snowwrestler
49 minutes ago
[-]
It is the weekend HN effect. Conspiracy theories and low-information complaints thrive here on the weekends, presumably because of a weekly shift in audience demographics based on white collar working hours.
reply
FrustratedMonky
1 hour ago
[-]
Not even a joke.

States with lower Covid Vaccine coverage had more deaths.

Technically, are Red States correct that they will achieve herd immunity, by letting their weak die off?

reply
bookofjoe
2 hours ago
[-]
reply
epistasis
1 hour ago
[-]
For there to be democracy, there must be accountability. For there to be accountability, there must be some sense of truth, and under that some sense of trust of each other.

What we have seen happen over the past decade is quite similar what happened in Russia in decades before it: complete dismantling of trust, of the idea of truth, of the idea of honesty or integrity. And in that space of uncertainty, a new sort of ruling class is enabled to control the population.

Anti-vaxxers used to be a tiny minority, and living in a crunchy leftish area, they were concentrated around me, and I got into arguments with them all the time. Now, they are no longer leftists, they are MAHA/MAGA, because their fundamental view of the world is not left/right, it's authority/antiauthority. Vaccines were rejected as much because of the idea of an authority "knowing stuff" as it is about the ickiness of something impure being injected into the body, as much as they love the idea of "everything natural" including "natural" infectious disease.

We've destroyed the idea of expertise and authority based on knowledge that's open to anybody who wants to put in the time to learn, and replaced it with authority that exists merely because it hated the past authority, and became what it hated.

reply
mhb
1 hour ago
[-]
The "we" who forfeited the trust of the country were the experts, like Fauci, who thought people were too stupid to understand any nuance of a situation. Maybe he had the same well-intentioned and misguided notions as rent control advocates who are myopically willing to trade long term well-being for short term expedience. Or maybe he was as arrogant as he seemed and believed he knew better than everyone else.
reply
arunabha
1 hour ago
[-]
>> Or maybe he was as arrogant as he seemed and believed he knew better than everyone else.

Do you have any references for this? Our understanding of Covid evolved pretty rapidly during the pandemic and as usual hindsight is 20/20.

I have no doubt that *you* are convinced of your statement. I'd just like to understand what data you based your conviction on.

reply
mhb
1 hour ago
[-]
"So, why weren't we told to wear masks in the beginning?

'Well, the reason for that is that we were concerned the public health community, and many people were saying this, were concerned that it was at a time when personal protective equipment, including the N95 masks and the surgical masks, were in very short supply. And we wanted to make sure that the people namely, the health care workers, who were brave enough to put themselves in a harm way, to take care of people who you know were infected with the coronavirus and the danger of them getting infected.'"[1]

[1] https://web.archive.org/web/20250501225159/https://www.thest...

reply
epgui
1 hour ago
[-]
And?
reply
throwawa14223
49 minutes ago
[-]
And we had people believing he was telling the truth long after he changed course. His lie cost us all.
reply
epgui
38 minutes ago
[-]
Where is the lie?
reply
mhb
1 hour ago
[-]
Really? Fauci understood that masks were effective for health care workers. Instead of saying we want to reserve them for health care workers, he downplayed their effectiveness to achieve the goal of reserving them for health care workers. That destroys trust.
reply
Arainach
58 minutes ago
[-]
This is the same society that was already hoarding *toilet paper*. There is a very strong streak of selfishness in American culture, so telling people "here's all the information, now be nice and don't ruin things for everyone" means that 100% of the time someone will ruin things for everyone to try to make a buck.
reply
CWuestefeld
11 minutes ago
[-]
No, it's not.

First, it's not clear that a significant number of people were hoarding TP at all. The best info I've read suggests that the reason for shortages were changing usage patterns: people would have been pooping at work, but since they weren't going to work, they pooped at home. Thus, sales changed from bulk institutional packaging to retail consumer products. The shortage was because the pipeline for retail products emptied, and manufacturers couldn't switch gears and distribute the alternative fast enough.

Second, you have the timeline wrong. On February 29, the Surgeon General told the public to stop buying masks. On March 8, Fauci told 60 Minutes "There's no reason to be walking around with a mask."

Only later, during the week of March 16, 2020, toilet paper panic buying exploded. According to NCSolutions (a retail data tracker), toilet paper sales skyrocketed compared to the previous month. And as of April 19, 2020, almost half of U.S. grocery stores experienced stockouts of toilet paper at some point during the day.

reply
Arainach
8 minutes ago
[-]
The TP hoarding was indicative of known trends, not a shocking revelation about the state of American culture. Hoarding and gouging bottled water during hurricanes, ticket scalping at arenas, high frequency trading - our entire society is full of people whose first reaction to any piece of information is "how can I exploit this to take advantage of other people"?
reply
mhb
47 minutes ago
[-]
Fine. That's how he justified his actions. And maybe that produces a good short term result. The result is you lose trust and people don't believe you the next time you need them to.
reply
ryandrake
22 minutes ago
[-]
What would you have said, in the CDC's position, with a country full of scared people who want to survive and do what's best for the community, but also with a sizable number of selfish, greedy assholes, hoarding groceries to make a buck off their neighbor, and coughing on people for the lulz, who were unfortunately capable of ruining it for everyone?

You're Fauci, trying to convince assholes to do the right thing. Go:

reply
epgui
42 minutes ago
[-]
You continue to willfully interpret these words as if they reflect malice or deception, even after receiving a very simple explanation. You’re doing it on purpose at this point.
reply
epgui
55 minutes ago
[-]
You’re reading malice or deception where there is none, and are being very selective in your context window.

You want to allocate resources to where they will have the biggest impact, and you want to ensure you don’t run out of resources for the most critical uses. They were transparent about this from the beginning.

reply
mhb
43 minutes ago
[-]
I'm reading deception (not malice) because he said he was being deceptive. He was not transparent at all.

He chose to allocate resources for the contemporaneous crisis at the expense of the trust needed to manage future crises. Maybe you objectively think that was the correct choice, but it's revisionist to claim that that wasn't the choice he made.

reply
epgui
37 minutes ago
[-]
Where does he say he was being deceptive? I reject both your premise and your interpretation: you either don’t remember well or didn’t understand anything.
reply
epistasis
52 minutes ago
[-]
I'm surprised that your simlple "And?" comment, requesting explanation, got such a downvoting. We can't even try to seek understanding of each others' opinions in this discussion, apparently.
reply
mhb
28 minutes ago
[-]
Maybe you're new to these discussions but replying with "And?" is not evidence of an earnest and dispassionate desire to communally discover a foundational truth.

See also "Just asking questions."

reply
CWuestefeld
55 minutes ago
[-]
It's pretty clear objectively that Fauci did a lot of lying and misleading.

1. Fauci admitted on TV that he'd been misleading the public about herd immunity numbers. He said he'd painted a rosier picture than reality in order to avoid making the world fear that we could never overcome the pandemic. -- https://thenationaltelegraph.com/opinion/dr-fauci-admits-to-...

2. Fauci admitted in Congressional hearing that the 6-foot social distancing rule was made up, with no experimental evidence. -- https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2024/06/03/anthon...

3. Slightly more controversially, Fauci misled us by dissembling under questioning by Sen. Paul. By a strict technocratic definition that nobody he was talking to was privy to, he told the truth when he steadfastly maintained that there had been no GoF research. But by the plain meaning of the words, he was clearly lying. -- https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/04/fauci-says-rand-paul-egregio...

I'm not sure these citations are the best, I don't have time to read through all of it, but hopefully it's illustrative.

reply
epistasis
50 minutes ago
[-]
Reading your links, I see lots of emotion and twisting of statements, and not much honest searching for the truth.

I see a need to mock and ostracize and to try to twist others' statements and words.

Do you not see that too? If there are better links to support your incendiary phrasing of points, it may help get the point across better. But I'm not sure you can find something that's not trying to misrepresent and sensationalize the issue.

reply
nohuck13
27 minutes ago
[-]
You've been around HN a long time. You know that responding to tone is frowned upon here. If there are statements in those links you think were twisted just say how.
reply
CWuestefeld
29 minutes ago
[-]
It seems pretty clear to me.

For #1, about herd immunity numbers, consider the below. I don't see any space for interpretation here: Fauci flat-out admitted to changing what he told the public in order to manipulate their (our!) behavior:

In the pandemic’s early days, Dr. Fauci tended to cite the same 60 to 70 percent estimate that most experts did. About a month ago, he began saying “70, 75 percent” in television interviews. And last week, in an interview with CNBC News, he said “75, 80, 85 percent” and “75 to 80-plus percent.”

In a telephone interview the next day, Dr. Fauci acknowledged that he had slowly but deliberately been moving the goal posts. He is doing so, he said, partly based on new science, and partly on his gut feeling that the country is finally ready to hear what he really thinks.

[...]Dr. Fauci said that weeks ago, he had hesitated to publicly raise his estimate because many Americans seemed hesitant about vaccines, which they would need to accept almost universally in order for the country to achieve herd immunity.

“When polls said only about half of all Americans would take a vaccine, I was saying herd immunity would take 70 to 75 percent,” Dr. Fauci said. “Then, when newer surveys said 60 percent or more would take it, I thought, ‘I can nudge this up a bit,’ so I went to 80, 85.” “We need to have some humility here,” he added. “We really don’t know what the real number is. I think the real range is somewhere between 70 to 90 percent. But, I’m not going to say 90 percent.”

-- https://archive.is/20210305032312/https://www.nytimes.com/20...

Regarding #2, this is also pretty clear. Here's another citation, which also seems pretty clear.

The 6ft social distancing guidance enforced in the US during the Covid pandemic “sort of just appeared”, Dr Anthony Fauci, the former White House medical adviser, has admitted.

It was “likely not based on data”, Dr Fauci conceded in a behind-closed-doors session of the House select subcommittee on the Coronavirus pandemic.

-- https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/01/12/anthony-fa...

For #3, I acknowledged from the start that this is more subjective. If we judge solely by academic jargon, then Fauci was telling the truth. The thing is, it's not reasonable to judge solely by that academic jargon when Fauci wasn't talking to fellow members of the academy. He was being questioned by Congress, and one expects an intelligent guy like him to be able to communicate effectively. When speaking to politicians and ultimately to the public, he should be aware of the language he uses.

EDIT: Sorry to jump back into the same post. But I want to emphasize that the root question we're arguing about here is loss of trust. We don't need a mathematically airtight proof that Fauci was lying. I just need to demonstrate that the institution, and Fauci specifically, said things that for reasonable listeners could be construed in ways that destroyed trust. I think what I've illustrated clears that threshold easily.

reply
jauntywundrkind
4 minutes ago
[-]
It feels like trying to crucify a man for not being able to bring a desired/claimed level of nuance, to what was a confusing emerging deeply troubled time.

You might be factually right that the story changed over time. But to me, none of these feel like misdeeds. They seem like reasonable & adequate (outright necessary?) steps taken along a hard road we all faced.

What would you have had Faucci do during #1 & #2?

reply
linehedonist
1 hour ago
[-]
In general I think I have a lot more faith in medical professionals than it seems you do, but I do agree that the early mixed messaging around face masks in Feb. 2020 left me with a lot of distrust of Fauci in particular: https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/07/01/8862991...
reply
terminalshort
49 minutes ago
[-]
Also don't underestimate the effect of many politicians and government officials being caught violating the lockdown policies that they were forcing on the rest of us.
reply
whateveracct
1 hour ago
[-]
> who thought people were too stupid to understand any nuance of a situation

Americans have already proven they are too stupid for such nuance over the last decade or so.

reply
jMyles
1 hour ago
[-]
> Fauci, who thought people were too stupid to understand any nuance of a situation. Maybe he had the same well-intentioned and misguided notions as rent control advocates who are myopically willing to trade long term well-being for short term expedience.

For me, this comparatively benign explanation of his behavior became much less plausible when the details of the EcoHealth arrangement became public.

I'm not a big believer in the current so-called criminal justice system as a way to establish... well, justice, but I do think that a trial in open court for his crimes - even just the unambiguous perjury - was likely to be healing and perhaps restorative for our institutions of scientific research.

reply
amanaplanacanal
1 hour ago
[-]
Probably can't be done. Presidential pardon power seems absolute. Unless you could find state crimes to prosecute.
reply
IncreasePosts
1 hour ago
[-]
Why wouldn't someone who studied public health and led public health organizations for years know more about public health than everyone else?
reply
danaris
23 minutes ago
[-]
> because their fundamental view of the world is not left/right, it's authority/antiauthority

Except that (given the vagaries of the English language) that sounds like they would be "anti-authoritarian", but they're exactly the people cheering on the current authoritarian government.

However, I suspect that the sense of "authority" you mean is more like "expertise", or "intellectual", with a dash of "perceived establishment" thrown in.

(No shade on you for this—like I said, English is frequently ambiguous and tricky to clearly word things in.)

reply
abe_m
1 hour ago
[-]
The alternate take is that improved information publishing and distribution platforms (the internet) have allowed the exposure of some pretty corrupt and questionable relationships between the authorities and the industries they regulate (regulatory capture).

Previously people only got their information from the authorities and newspapers. Newspapers were owned by the industries (either directly, or via advertising). Now we can see diverse view points from others in various fields, and it is clear when "doctors say ..." that doesn't mean that all doctors believe that to be true. We can now see that NIH scientists that approve drugs are allowed to approve drugs where they have a patent and commercial interest in the drugs they are approving, which is mind-bendingly wild that level of corruption is allowed.

People can also question where the studies are to back guidelines from authorities. Like what is the scientific basis of the food pyramid? Turns out that was created by the Department of Agriculture to support grain farmers, not because it is a good diet for humans. Or that the deaths and injuries for many infectious diseases had significantly declined before their respective vaccines hit the market, and that the authorities have been cherry picking the points of the graph to hide how much of the improvement happened before vaccines were available.

The biggest change is the availability of diverse voices in an industry being able to be heard, rather than just a select few chosen by "authority", aka power, aka money.

reply
ryandrake
18 minutes ago
[-]
Unfortunately, for every "questionable relationship between the authorities and the industries they regulate' being exposed by citizen journalists and the power of the internet, there are 10 wild conspiracy theories with no basis in fact being spread. And for every 1 of those conspiracies being spread, there are 10 grifters out there making a buck selling products and services based around them. The Internet was a great idea that has not held up against stupidity and greed.
reply
api
1 hour ago
[-]
“Trust arrives on foot and leaves on horseback.”

In my life there have been two huge destructions of public trust.

The first was the Iraq war, which could only be the result of either bald faced lies or gross incompetence or both. We blundered into the desert and set a trillion dollars and countless lives on fire and have nothing to show for it. Tons of people across the spectrum knew this was a terrible idea and were silenced or ignored.

The other was the 2008 bank bailouts. The problem isn’t that the state stepped in to avert a depression. The problem is that they did it by handing the very people who caused the crash a bonus and a promotion and then proceeded to reinflate the housing bubble to lock two generations out of home ownership. The response was that the Eastern establishment saved itself at the expense of the country, or that’s how it looked to a ton of people all across the country and the political spectrum including myself.

There have been smaller cuts but those are the big obvious ones.

You could never get a Trump or an RFK Jr without these two things.

Unfortunately these two characters are not reformers. They are vultures. They are frauds and con men dining on the corpse of trust.

I’m not Russian but I imagine that the failure of the Soviet regime and the hollowness of its propaganda did a number on trust over there, and that Putin and his allies are likewise vultures.

reply
kasey_junk
1 hour ago
[-]
“ The other was the 2008 bank bailouts. The problem isn’t that the state stepped in to avert a depression. The problem is that they did it by handing the very people who caused the crash a bonus and a promotion and then proceeded to reinflate the housing bubble to lock two generations out of home ownership”

What’s interesting about this telling of it is how it reinterprets history. You are complaining about a lack of trust based on, if not an outright lie, an extremely biased narrative. The most obvious missing piece is you don’t mention the auto makers or uaw workers at all. Or that you say “reinflate the housing bubble” instead of “subsidize mortgages on houses that should have been repossessed”. We forced banks that did have proper risk controls to take tarp funds and the attached compensation limits against their will and made money on many of the assets we bought with tarp funds.

There is a trust gap, but it’s not some one way problem of coastal elites selling fables to enrich themselves and the good proletariat being duped. It’s at least as much a story of the populace not using critical reasoning skills to understand multifaceted and nuanced issues, which I suspect is not new.

reply
orwin
49 minutes ago
[-]
It's a biased narrative, but perception of truth is equivalent to truth when it comes to trust, and multiple factors make this narrative compelling than more nuanced ones
reply
ryandrake
42 minutes ago
[-]
> You could never get a Trump or an RFK Jr without these two things.

We've had many of these trust-destroying events in the past, before the Iraq war, but their effects were limited. What we didn't have back then, and what I'd argue brought us Trump and RFK Jr., was a world-wide information-distributing machine and a megaphone in every idiot's (and malevolent foreign actor's) pocket. We're here because anger, belligerence, conspiracies, distrust, hatred, and ignorance are being deliberately spread on Internet platforms by 1. adversaries motivated to destabilize the country and destroy its institutions, and 2. domestic idiots who help to spread it (and make a buck off of its popularity).

I used to think that "platforming everyone" was a noble goal, but we're seeing the results.

reply
danaris
8 minutes ago
[-]
I think that's underselling the importance of massive media consolidation and deregulation since the Reagan years in bringing us to where we are today.

If we still had a half-dozen major largely reliable news outlets that may have had some political leanings, but could still be (hah) trusted to largely report truth, rather than crafting narratives to maximize profit, it would have been much harder for the lies to spread.

The myriad effects of deregulation and massive consolidation that have cascaded in the past ~40 years (fewer companies owned by wealthier people, the destruction of local news, the erosion of norms protecting journalistic integrity, etc) are, IMO, very clearly hugely to blame for the modern state of political discourse. I'm not saying the internet didn't have an effect—it could hardly fail to; it's an enormous change in our world overall—but I have a very hard time seeing it as being more detrimental than these changes in how media companies operate.

reply
whateveracct
1 hour ago
[-]
uhh I think various parts of Trump's presidency seem to be tantamount to those things. Jan 6, for instance.
reply
terminalshort
46 minutes ago
[-]
The Jan 6 mob isn't a public institution that ever had any public trust to lose.
reply
whateveracct
25 minutes ago
[-]
I am talking about Trump's handling of it. Both day of and subsequently (e.g. pardoning them because they're "his people.")

Not to mention public officials being fired due to calling it a "mob" as you just did.

reply
mschuster91
1 hour ago
[-]
> You could never get a Trump or an RFK Jr without these two things.

Fully agree with the rest but not with this. Pure and simple economic devastation is enough - yes, the Iraq war did a number on y'all... but most countries in Europe didn't join in on that particular shitshow and still got our version of Trump.

Hell I'd say even the 2008 bank bailouts aren't the problem. The uber rich looting the country for all it's worth, that's been a staple of human society, it doesn't mean automated flip to fascism.

IMHO, the true problem rather is that we (i.e. Western countries) allowed unrestricted trade with Asia, in particular China and India - our greedy big corporations swooped in and moved a lot of economic activity providing decent paid jobs of all skill levels there. Production mostly went off to China, service (i.e. callcenters) to India, high-tech to South Korea and especially Taiwan. And there was nothing domestic, other than maybe be a drone in an Amazon warehouse or Walmart (that, in turn, destroyed even more decent paid jobs in small retail!), to provide alternative gainful employment.

That is what destroyed democracy the most - the devastation and the utter ignorance of politicians.

reply
conradev
1 hour ago
[-]
We also subjected a lot of the population to vaccine mandates in order to retain their employment. That makes sense for some workers, sure, but it bred a lot of resentment toward authority.
reply
Arainach
1 hour ago
[-]
It didn't for decades until bad actors spewing lies worked to spread distrust in the system.
reply
croes
1 hour ago
[-]
Doesn’t the military mandate vaccines for decades
reply
conradev
46 minutes ago
[-]
Yes! The DoD uses the military to test novel vaccines with service members. That is part of the “some workers” because you’re being deployed worldwide to new situations.

Historically, though, I believe the DoD started it because of the threat of biological/chemical warfare, i.e. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anthrax_Vaccine_Immunization_P...

From 2001:

  In Court, it was ruled that vaccination could not be forced on military personnel without a special order by the president. Thereafter it ran into and judicial obstacles (mainly concerning the methods and viability of the vaccine).
reply
epistasis
1 hour ago
[-]
It wasn't the CDC doing vaccine mandates, it was some employers, by their own choice.

If the mandates were the problem, wouldn't people hate their employers for doing that, not the CDC?

It's certainly not the first time people have been required to be vaccinated. I remember talking to some people in the military, who were very upset about the COVID vaccine, yet they get so many more vaccines all the time. Why would they be upset about vaccine mandates for COVID out of nowhere, when they get far more vaccines as a matter of course and have for decades?

There's something new in the information space, specifically about COVID and vaccines, and maybe it is such an irrational thing as trying to destroy the CDC because of some employers' mandates for vaccines, because under this all its irrationality, but I don't understand it.

reply
NotGMan
1 hour ago
[-]
>> For there to be democracy, there must be accountability. For there to be accountability, there must be some sense of truth, and under that some sense of trust of each other.

When doctors questioned vaccine safety studies they were mocked and ostracized. Which is the opposite of truth seeking you think was going on.

reply
arunabha
1 hour ago
[-]
You know, unsurprisingly these claims are almost always heavy on rhetoric but offer no references or data to back up the assertion beyond a had wavy 'everyone knows'.
reply
dmm
59 minutes ago
[-]
Sincere request: Can you provide some specific examples of doctors being mocked or ostracized for criticizing studies?
reply
javier2
1 hour ago
[-]
No, it wasn't, and these extremely marginal results got way too much attention compared to the millions of results showing all the valuable results from broad vaccination.
reply
dwoldrich
1 hour ago
[-]
I know the mocking, wicked tone is why a response on this comment was flagged and dead.

> Your head is so far up your --- you can see daylight. They were mocked for being wrong, not for questioning orthodoxy. There is a well understood epistemology for these things, and you need basic competence to apply it.

So, I have trouble anyone is so cocksure about vaccines and the shot rollout and the general response to covid like lockdowns, etc. I hope this is some consensus shaping bot, but in the case it is not and a real human wrote that, I just want to respond.

Your loud, semi-religious devotion to a consumer product is disgusting. Your outrage fuels my resolve.

There are different safety profiles for any drug, not all are equal. The covid vaxxes all have an atrocious safety profile, at least one was pulled in the states after wide distribution, all were experimental in nature and were generally rushed out to market. There needs to be jail time for the scoundrels that ignored safety signals. And on top of that the damn things didn't work and didn't stop the spread.

Beyond that, the vaxxes were publicly funded corporate welfare, there was broad public-private collusion to force people to get it (no jab, no job), there were 1st amendment violations by businesses forcing employees to disclose medical statuses.

You will not listen to reason, there are a million other sus things you all ignore about 2020-2022. I just hope everyone rebukes you and whatever neo-paganism has a death grip on your mind.

reply
jimmaswell
12 minutes ago
[-]
Do you have a source on those safety profiles and the "didn't work" claim?
reply
epistasis
1 hour ago
[-]
You are not being honest, but you are trying to your best to undermine the idea of honesty.

Every vaccine safety study was questioned and examined, thoroughly.

Introducing this idea of "mocked and ostracized," is a rhetorical tactic to try to establish the idea of some sort of mistreated people that other mistreated people can identify with. It's not based in truth of how the scientific community worked. If there's "mocking and ostracization" then it's in some sort of other social space, not in the evaluation of the vaccine safety studies.

And by trying to conflate these two areas, you are trying to undermine the very idea of truth seeking, and replace it with this weird vibes-based in-group/out-group emotionally-based judgements.

We need to pivot to rationality, and away from in-group/out-group analysis. Let's evaluate claims on their merits, not based on who is making them.

reply
BriggyDwiggs42
1 hour ago
[-]
> Introducing this idea of "mocked and ostracized," is a rhetorical tactic to try to establish the idea of some sort of mistreated people that other mistreated people can identify with. It's not based in truth of how the scientific community worked. If there's "mocking and ostracization" then it's in some sort of other social space, not in the evaluation of the vaccine safety studies. And by trying to conflate these two areas, you are trying to undermine the very idea of truth seeking, and replace it with this weird vibes-based in-group/out-group emotionally-based judgements.

Well put

reply
ryandrake
13 minutes ago
[-]
Religious groups often employ the same rhetoric: Pretend to be victims, mocked and ostracized, which pulls at the heartstrings of people who themselves are (or believe they are) mocked and ostracized. Some of the largest and most powerful organized religions in the world have this exact kind of persecution complex at the heart of their scripture and sermons.
reply
CWuestefeld
1 hour ago
[-]
> It's not based in truth of how the scientific community worked. If there's "mocking and ostracization" then it's in some sort of other social space, not in the evaluation of the vaccine safety studies.

You seem to be doing just what the OP is complaining about. You've set up the scientific establishment as some sort of priesthood, which the great unwashed masses should not question.

That's not how science should work, at least in a functional system. If only insiders have the privilege of asking "why?", then we'll be forever trapped in orthodoxy, or worse, trapped in authoritarianism.

Unfortunately, the insurance policy against that trap - that annoying people will keep asking "why?" - itself has a steep price, sometimes almost turning into a heckler's veto. It's a tough problem.

reply
epistasis
1 hour ago
[-]
> You've set up the scientific establishment as some sort of priesthood, which the great unwashed masses should not question.

No, I absolutely have not. I'm representing what actually happened, in practice.

The vaccines studies were heavily examined and critiqued inside the scientific community, and scientists found that they established safety.

Trying to come back and say "that's too perfect, you're trying to establish them as a priesthood" is exactly the opposite of what I'm trying to do.

All the critique is out there in the open, available to look for anybody who wants to. However, people prefer to be spoonfed stuff in YouTube videos, prefer to imagine a conspiracy oppressing them.

You are spreading an image of the scientific community that is simply untrue and easy to disprove just by looking at what actually happened.

reply
CWuestefeld
50 minutes ago
[-]
> The vaccines studies were heavily examined and critiqued inside the scientific community, and scientists found that they established safety.

See, that's my whole point: "examined and critiqued inside the scientific community".

If you didn't want the rest of society to accept "the rest of the scientific community" as a separate, privileged authority, then why did you even make this part of your reply?

reply
ryandrake
35 minutes ago
[-]
> See, that's my whole point: "examined and critiqued inside the scientific community".

> If you didn't want the rest of society to accept "the rest of the scientific community" as a separate, privileged authority, then why did you even make this part of your reply?

If my car is broken, I'm going to ask a mechanic to take a look and diagnose it, not a gardener or librarian. If my house is on fire, I'm going to call the fire department, not the grocery store. Expertise and specializations exist! It's not a shadowy conspiracy by mustache-twirling "elites" trying to make science into a priesthood.

It doesn't matter who you are--if you have a rational, scientific, rigorous critique of some established science, you publish it, and it survives discussion debate, you are part of the "scientific community."

reply
CWuestefeld
19 minutes ago
[-]
If my car is broken, I'm going to ask a mechanic to take a look and diagnose it, not a gardener or librarian.

Sure. but when your mechanic tells you that the cost of fixing it is going to be astronomical, you don't just believe him and go into debt to fix it. You're going to consider your own common sense, you're going to read and ask in reddit subs where people who own and have experience with that car gather, and so forth. And given the reputation of many mechanics, you may challenge them; when (true story!) they say I need to let them take apart my engine to clean the fuel injectors, I ask them to show me where in the manufacturer's spec does it list that as normal maintenance.

My point is that, annoying and time-consuming as it might be for the mechanics/scientists, we should not just accept whatever they say without question. It's proper to challenge them. Neither scientists nor mechanics are entitled to unquestioning devotion, especially given their actual observed behavior in the past.

reply
ryandrake
9 minutes ago
[-]
But what we shouldn't do is go to the AntiMechanic subreddit where they all spread conspiracy theories about how mechanics are always lying, and how your vibes about your car are just as good as their diagnostic work, and by the way, here's a book I'm selling and a monetized YouTube channel you can watch, that both DESTROYS the auto mechanic elite and shows you a secret trick about car repair They Don't Want You To Know...
reply
epistasis
38 minutes ago
[-]
I guess if you think the very idea of science is invalid, the idea that people can study and learn a lot about a topic and discuss it using their knowledge, then perhaps your comment makes sense.

Is it "privilege" to study something and look at it in detail? Why would that be "privilege"?

If you want to critique them, then please do! But please do it with honesty, rather than saying "I hate those nerds and they seem like elites" merely because they spent a lot of their life trying to understand biology.

reply
CWuestefeld
26 minutes ago
[-]
Is it "privilege" to study something and look at it in detail? Why would that be "privilege"?

That's not at all what I said. The privilege you seem to be reserving for the scientific establishment is that the rest of us should accept their pronouncements without question. The implication of your prior statement was that "The vaccines studies were heavily examined and critiqued inside the scientific community, and scientists found that they established safety and this should be sufficient for us to follow without challenging them."

reply
danaris
3 minutes ago
[-]
Everyone has the right to question scientific findings.

If they actually have scientific expertise to back it up.

Dropping that qualifier means you have to answer, forever, to every crank with an axe to grind, and treat them as if their criticism is just as valid as that of someone who's spent their life studying what you do.

Your* ignorance is not as valid as my knowledge, and I'm sick and tired of people acting like it is.

*: not "you" personally; the general "you"

reply
honestymonop
51 minutes ago
[-]
A lot of vaccine companies also made a lot of money from Covid-19, even when some of the vaccines were later judged shoddy or outlawed by some countries.
reply
honestymonop
55 minutes ago
[-]
One perspective is that the quality and issues of vaccines can vary. Some have more side-effects than others, and some have more issues than others.

Like one specific polio-vaccine that very rarely can mutate into a contagious variant [0]. Or one vaccine for chickens that had some rather serious overall issues [1]. Or that some of the Covid-19 vaccines, hastily developed, were rejected by some countries, while other Covid-19 vaccines were accepted by those same countries.

And vaccines demand a huge amount of trust. Vaccines can be abused in lots of ways by governments, organizations and individuals [2]. This is extra unfortunate, considering the huge potential benefits of some variants of vaccines. Vaccines also require trust in competence and public control [3]. For urgency reasons, standards and checking of vaccines were lowered during the Covid-19 pandemic. Vaccines are also often administered to healthy individuals, not merely sick individuals.

[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polio_vaccine

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marek%27s_disease

> Because vaccination does not prevent infection with the virus, Marek's is still transmissible from vaccinated flocks to other birds, including the wild bird population. The first Marek's disease vaccine was introduced in 1970. The disease would cause mild paralysis, with the only identifiable lesions being in neural tissue. Mortality of chickens infected with Marek's disease was quite low. Current strains of Marek virus, decades after the first vaccine was introduced, cause lymphoma formation throughout the chicken's body and mortality rates have reached 100% in unvaccinated chickens. The Marek's disease vaccine is a "leaky vaccine", which means that only the symptoms of the disease are prevented.[12] Infection of the host and the transmission of the virus are not inhibited by the vaccine. This contrasts with most other vaccines, where infection of the host is prevented.

[2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polio_vaccine

> The fact that the CIA organized a fake vaccination program in 2011 to help find Osama bin Laden is an additional cause of distrust.[120]

[3]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cutter_Laboratories#Cutter_inc...

reply
hiddencost
1 hour ago
[-]
Your head is so far up your ass you can see daylight.

They were mocked for being wrong, not for questioning orthodoxy. There is a well understood epistemology for these things, and you need basic competence to apply it.

reply
NotGMan
1 hour ago
[-]
Doctors should wear pharma sponsorships on their coats like Formula 1 drivers do. Would put things into perspective.
reply
Calavar
58 minutes ago
[-]
Doctors do, as required by federal law. You can look up any doctor you like:

https://openpaymentsdata.cms.gov

reply
epistasis
1 hour ago
[-]
They do, on their publications. It's all there. And it's not as pervasive as you might think.

I remember a very famous cancer researcher who destroyed his career by not disclosing these relationships:

https://cancerletter.com/the-cancer-letter/20180914_1/

Now, he's on the extreme end because no other cancer researcher has ever gotten quite that much, as far as I know. But there aren't even accusations that he gave favorable results to any drugs form companies that sponsored him, as far as I have every heard, it was merely that he didn't disclose that destroyed his career.

This is a level of honesty and transparency that does not exist in most of society, and we should be proud in the US that science is so clean compared to every other aspect of our society.

And for all the big money, pharma is far far more honest than grifters like those in the anti-vaxxer space who do not disclose how they are making their money, and who do directly benefit from pushing unproven experimental treatments that do not go through the same rigorous vetting that standard pharma does.

reply
baggy_trough
1 hour ago
[-]
> The privilege that American scientists have taken for granted—one that is now being trampled—is the ability to go about their work free of political interference.

Hilariously blinkered.

reply
jfengel
1 hour ago
[-]
It really did work like that. Government agencies in general are largely insulated from politics. You do your day to day work and wouldn't even notice a change of administration.

The political appointees set the overall direction, and so projects come and go -- more or less at the same rate as they do even under the same administration.

Having the President interfere so directly with ongoing operations is unprecedented. Maybe that's a good thing; people wanted a change and they got it. But it's not usual.

reply
gandalfgeek
1 hour ago
[-]
> Government agencies in general are largely insulated from politics.

This was obviously false during the pandemic when these “health” agencies did what the White House wanted, from the actual “science” to the messaging.

reply
amanaplanacanal
1 hour ago
[-]
Same president both times. Same bad idea.
reply
oblio
41 minutes ago
[-]
You can both be right. Goverment agencies can do their own thing under normal circumstances and be politicized when their activity is the focus of a huge political event, like a pandemic.
reply
matkoniecz
1 hour ago
[-]
"largely insulated from politics" note that claim they made is that in past there was no political interference at all, not that it was smaller or manageable
reply
Arainach
1 hour ago
[-]
"largely" does not mean "completely".
reply
matkoniecz
56 minutes ago
[-]
yes, exactly. And article makes the "completely" claim

> The privilege that American scientists have taken for granted—one that is now being trampled—is the ability to go about their work free of political interference.

which is just wrong and further erodes trust.

reply
Arainach
37 minutes ago
[-]
You're adding words that aren't there.

If in the past they could do 98% of their job without political influence most people would describe that as being free to do their jobs without influence.

If there's now political hacks interfering in 50% or more of their job that's a big change.

If in the past the political hacks were never interfering with THEIR role, just affecting what projects get funded, and now the hacks are interfering directly with them and controlling what they can say or publish - that's obviously new and significantly worse influence.

reply
josefritzishere
42 minutes ago
[-]
There are moments when it looks like the plan is quite literally to cause a mass die-off. White that seems paranoid at best, and very cynical at best... that is the obvious outcome of low vaccine compliance. We can see this from death rates before the vaccine era.
reply
calvinmorrison
56 minutes ago
[-]
Imagine letting someone that you don't know tell you if you can breathe freely, particularly after those people have continuously changed their nonsensical dictates, and were shown to not follow these dictates themselves. Imagine following this for 2 years and judging others that refused to bow to such dictates. Imagine celebrating that you are now allowed to breathe freely. Imagine being scared to breathe freely. Lastly, imagine denying that you were the victim of a psychological operation after these emotional responses were blatantly conditioned in millions of people, particularly targeting the populations of cities.
reply
jmclnx
1 hour ago
[-]
Between this and defunding of Univ. research plus the banning of $ for mRNA vaccine, the US just handed the future of Medical Research to China.

I have seen articles recently that states China now leads the word in mRNA research, which is the future of vaccine research.

Soon I expect the US to only allow praying over people for medical treatment, we are not far from that with the recent ACA changes.

reply
matkoniecz
1 hour ago
[-]
> The privilege that American scientists have taken for granted—one that is now being trampled—is the ability to go about their work free of political interference.

Communism style solutions ("it is better to have everyone being extremely poor, rather than having some poor and some rich people") is a terrible solution. Trampling on everyone because other group got trampled earlier is not a solution at all.

Presenting insane and deadly pseudoscience as science is stupid, dangerous and will kill people.

But claiming that there were no problems whatsoever and no political interference at all is a really dubious claim. This kind of reality denial is unhelpful and further erodes whatever trust was left.

reply
swed420
1 hour ago
[-]
Both Repubs & Dems have lots of blood on their hands for their intentional mishandling of COVID (continued to this day, since the pandemic is not over) in service to our archaic consumption-first economy:

https://www.thegauntlet.news/p/how-the-press-manufactured-co...

https://web.archive.org/web/20240802024326/https://docs.hous...

Capital interests own and control both parties, so it's no surprise we are getting results where it's okay to set the meat grinder to high.

reply
whateveracct
1 hour ago
[-]
I think you're taking issue with the wrong thing here lol. There may have been something before (it's the real world after all), but what RFK is doing is quite frankly insane.
reply
matkoniecz
1 hour ago
[-]
> what RFK is doing is quite frankly insane.

oh definitely - that is why I have not commented on this part of article, as I agree that such pseudoscience is simply idiotic, dangerous and will kill people and I am in agreement that it is bad

But this part made me go "really? really? really?" - this kind of reality denial is not helpful either and prompted my comment. And they could phrase it a bit more mildly for far greater accuracy.

I edited my initial comment a bit.

reply
croes
1 hour ago
[-]
Even in communism some were richer than others
reply
SirensOfTitan
1 hour ago
[-]
This essay rubs me the wrong way in that it continues to invest in this coastal elite attitude that the masses should do what we say because we are the experts. These people continue to miss the forest for the trees by avoiding the question: why have Americans lost faith in institutions?

I largely consider Trump a symptom of a larger disorder, I think it is lazy to assume that he and his administration is the source of the breakdown here.

Two thinkers come to mind to me in this case:

1. Hannah Arendt, particularly her writing in The Human Condition (and maybe as an analogue: the Anthony Downs book on Bureaucracy and perhaps Jacques Ellul's The Technological Society I think?):

> Bureaucracy is the form of government in which everybody is deprived of political freedom, of the power to act; for the rule by Nobody is not no-rule, and where all are equally powerless we have a tyranny without a tyrant.

Another comment talks about accountability, but a bureau is composed of people "just doing their jobs" without the personal accountability that helps keep systems accountable.

Per Downs, bureaus eventually become mainly obsessed with their own survival over their original mandate, and it requires careful design to avoid this consequence.

2. Christopher Lasch: The idea that government institutions are required to force an centralized objectivity for democracy to survive is just about the opposite of what I think we actually need, per Lasch:

> "[Specialized expertise is] the antithesis of democracy."

> "Democracy works best when men and women do things for themselves, with the help of their friends and neighbors, instead of depending on the state."

The attitude as espoused in this essay will not do any work to re-establish trust with Americans, it continues a long line of unaccountability or reflectiveness from the "adults in the room" on their own contributions to the degradation of the system by pretending Republicans or Trump are a unique aberration.

reply
Isamu
49 minutes ago
[-]
>this coastal elite attitude that the masses should do what we say because we are the experts

I think this attitude, that the work the CDC and other boring agencies do is elitist, or that those who defend it are elitist, is the root of distrust. The fact is that these agencies do the long slogging boring work to establish what works and what doesn’t, only to be undermined in social media for clicks and ad impressions.

The CDC had a very good reputation around the world for the work it did. Since covid everyone on the internet is somehow a health expert and the actual people doing the mountains of boring and thankless work are now seen as nothing more than gatekeepers to the social media platforms.

reply
terminalshort
41 minutes ago
[-]
On the recommendation of the CDC, large outdoor events were canceled because of the risk of disease spread. Then came the BLM protests and the CDC said "no, actually those are different." If you want to be a scientific authority, you must avoid saying things that anyone with an elementary school level knowledge of science knows is bullshit.
reply
Vegenoid
31 minutes ago
[-]
As far as I can tell, this is false. The CDC did not offer guidance which said that protests should be treated differently from other outdoor events. If you can demonstrate otherwise, please do so.
reply
Isamu
30 minutes ago
[-]
>anyone with an elementary school level knowledge of science knows is bullshit

I’m not familiar with the facts of your anecdote, but clearly the CDC is a government agency and banning protests would be an unconstitutional prior restraint on freedom of speech, you would depend on the Supreme Court to get an exception.

reply
rdedev
28 minutes ago
[-]
> "[Specialized expertise is] the antithesis of democracy."

> "Democracy works best when men and women do things for themselves, with the help of their friends and neighbors, instead of depending on the state."

These are nice sentiments to have but it does not work in the real world. At a certain point certain problems are too complex for a regular person to understand.

reply
SirensOfTitan
12 minutes ago
[-]
If the world is too complex for a “regular person” to understand then universal suffrage is a mistake.

Just say what you mean: you want technocracy or some other non representative or democratic form of government.

reply
conception
58 minutes ago
[-]
You don’t think it’s more one party spending 40 years undermining Institutions to be able to gut them starting with Reagan’s “The Most terrifying words in the English language are ‘I’m from the government and I’m here to help’”? partially caused by the business elite working to gain influence over government since the Powell memo and partially caused by irrational fear of communism via socialism and partially by conservatives never wanting another Nixon and starting their own mouthpiece with Fox News, etc etc?

Seems more like a well concentrated effort to me.

reply
terminalshort
37 minutes ago
[-]
Reagan's words resonated because the public already believed them. He is not the cause. The public's fear of government power is not remotely irrational. It is the responsibility of the government to maintain public trust, not the responsibility of the public to trust their authority.
reply
throwawa14223
44 minutes ago
[-]
I do not think it is fair to label a fear of communism or socialism as irrational.
reply
digdugdirk
56 minutes ago
[-]
Why have Americans lost faith in institutions? Because other institutions convinced them to.

Fox News, Heritage Foundation, Federalist Society, etc. This has been an organized effort for decades. It's embarrassing how "out in the open" the endeavour has been the whole time, that it can hardly be called a conspiracy.

reply
oceansky
42 minutes ago
[-]
Fox News was created because they didn't want another Watergate-level scandal be able to make R presidents lose popularity. It's surprising how effective it is.
reply
titzer
38 minutes ago
[-]
> coastal elite attitude

There's definitely a Science communication problem because Science isn't about who is saying the things, but facts speak for themselves. The reliability, repeatability, and accuracy of what people say is far more important than who they are or where they come from, or whether they live on the coasts or in the "heartland" or whatever.

It's a real problem that there are a lot of ignorant people in the US that cultivate and defend themselves from the "other"--those elite liberals. They make it about identity and in-group dynamics rather than about facts.

The rest of your comment is just flat-out attack against all institutions and government without even considering whether this evil "bureaucracy" is just another mundane structure to administer the boringness of a functioning government.

> I think it is lazy to assume that he and his administration is the source of the breakdown here.

I mean, come on. Trump called COVID a "Democrat hoax" just weeks into the pandemic. Pile that on top of thousands of other lies and anti-science bullshit. Trump didn't build the bus that's carrying us off the cliff, but he and his supporters in the media have the gas pedal to the floor. They love people being ignorant and misinformed, and it's disgusting.

reply
terminalshort
22 minutes ago
[-]
> the "other"--those elite liberals.

Perhaps they could conduct themselves in a way that doesn't make the public hate them? I'm not asking for much here. Only that they do their basic duty as leaders in a democracy to maintain the trust of the citizenry. As an educated elite myself I can't stand their condescension and I can only imagine what levels of hatred I would have towards them if I were the target of it. Basic communication skills are something that every HS dropout car salesman knows, so I don't think I'm asking a lot here for all those elite "experts" in the government with all their fancy degrees to figure it out. You don't sell many cars by acting like you're better than the customer, and you don't sell many vaccines either.

reply
vatsachak
35 minutes ago
[-]
COVID protocols destroyed social ability in young people and I don't know if that was a price worth the small death rate in those below 50

They also furthered the anti-vaxx crowd, which is a bad thing

I think what people don't understand is that effects of the vaccine are smaller than the effects of the actual virus.

It was an accidental leak of a crafted virus from an internationally funded lab. The world was just SOL

reply