Blake Lemoine thought that 2022 already: https://www.criticalopalescence.com/p/is-blake-lemoine-reall...

It's big, but it's controlled by humans and how society uses it, and to whom the benefits accrue are ultimately political choices. I think this should end with "write a letter to your congressperson and senators because the companies building this and current large employers already have lobbyists."

I also think we can't be too breathlessly optimistic about where this can go. Producing feasible text was apparently easy. Producing code that meets a prose specification took longer, but we're basically there. But you can know something about the quality of that output by reading it, or reading and running it. But some stuff will be limited by slow real-world processes.

> The upside, if we get it right, is staggering. AI could compress a century of medical research into a decade. Cancer, Alzheimer's, infectious disease, aging itself...

You can't really do medical research on aging dramatically faster than people age. Maybe there's a metabolic process which, if you started intervening before people hit 60, would help more of them live to 100+ -- but more and smarter AI may still require 40+ years to run the experiment.

I love how the apparent solution being peddled for the same automation assisted unemployment is apparently for everyone to adopt more AI.

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twitter is useless haha

https://shumer.dev/something-big-is-happening

Its a pretty good article but tldr is that AI is getting pretty good according to the author, and he believes it will impact employment etc because a couple of the latest models are really good. I have to agree and the thing is that many folks are writing that these AIs have to replace or automate a really significant number of jobs for the financials to make sense.

Personally I think these giant models are the wrong tech for the wrong time but there's no denying these things are getting very good at what they do.