Does anyone seriously believe that an independent board of investors can deliver better results than a founder?
If you look at the companies that built the most amount of wealth in the last 20 years, from Meta, Google, Tesla, Alphabet, Nvidia, what many of them share is more or less singular control by the people in charge. Sometimes its super-voting shares but other times its just founder mentality and ability to make big bets and set the direction.
The rest of the article is similarly non-sensical. Everyone will be forced to buy it but it's going to crash! The prior investors will sell their shares! The IPO is an exit mechanism!
One of the disadvantages of relying on the founder is that founders die. If I'm trying to keep a fund going for the next 100 years, investing in a company that relies exclusively on a person who will be dead within 100 years seems problematic.
Pretty insane to then claim the article is non sensiscal.
There are examples I can think of with a more traditional governance structure that did well: Apple, Amazon, Microsoft.
I think SpaceX has done brilliantly in lowering the cost of rocket launches. I still don't understand or believe in the valuation.
250k people in my city x $4/lemonade x 365 days per year
People in less wealthy countries will pay a cheaper sum than wealthier countries.
Also China is accelerating its own equivalent
$8T/(unreasonably high 50 P/E)/200M customers/12 months = $66.67 profit (not revenue) per customer per month.
The moment Musk's reality distortion bubble stops functioning, his brands' PE ratios are likely to revert to the 5-15 levels of comparable businesses.
So there is a big race to build the next SpaceX. And I can assure you building rockets isn't rocket science. Other companies will follow propped up by their governments.
Is this parody?
> Other companies will follow propped up by their governments.
It's cool to say but it hasn't happened. And rockets literally are, well, rocket science.
And yes, my pun which you didn't get just says: Building rockets isn't hard.
No I get it except it's a ridiculous take. Building rockets is objectively hard.
> In Germany alone there are 3 rocket companies + 1 space vehicle based on governmental programs.
Literally none of them have reached orbit.
This is mind bogglingly wrong.
“[Rocket Science] looks hard and is harder than it looks” is the classic line. Anyone in the industry will tell you how extremely difficult rockets are.
Look at Blue Origin, all the money in the world and it still blows up on the pad. Look at ULA, largest aerospace companies in the world with institutional aerospace talent, backed by nearly unlimited government funding and is nowhere near a reusable rocket, decades behind SpaceX.
You are letting politics blind you to reality.
It’s an incentive for people to root out corruption and graft. If you truly believe that SpaceX is a big scam and it’s not actually worth enough to be in the S&P 500, then taking a short position not only will net you a bundle of cash, it will do the public a service by helping to expose a fraud and prevent future companies from doing the same thing.
That societal benefit is mostly worthless to investors.
Investors need to capture a good return (risk adjusted) to have any incentive to expose frauds or scams.
But no, we're in the grift economy where I'm suppose to hedge my bets about how big a fraud is and when someone will wake up naked in a pit of aligators.
Good luck with that.