Feds Killed Polestar and Spared Volvo
141 points
6 hours ago
| 19 comments
| thedrive.com
| HN
WarmWash
3 hours ago
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The entire article doesn't once stipulate that the grounds for banning a Chinese owned car is having telemetry that phones home to China.

Maybe Volvo still does and it's a mystery why they can still sell here. Maybe Volvo doesn't and there is no story here.

But if the car talks to China and gets updates from China, the US doesn't care if it's built here.

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stephbook
2 hours ago
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Do you have an official announcement this is the case or are you just making excuses for this administration?
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pegasus
2 hours ago
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He's just saying the article does not even discuss this vital distinction, let alone bring evidence either way.
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stephbook
8 minutes ago
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It's impossible to prove the nonexistance and mentioning hearsay wouldn't be good.

The onus is on the commentator to substantiate his claims of there being a rationale.

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mrtnmcc
36 minutes ago
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What does it even mean to "get updates from China"?

Software these days is distributed and globalized in virtually every sense. Polestar is headquartered in Sweden and much of their software development is in the UK.

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chvid
23 minutes ago
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There are no concrete guidelines or rules as this article illustrates.
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Anoian
2 hours ago
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The audacity of the USA to do this to the entire world but banning anything foreign that does it to them.
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jfengel
5 hours ago
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If you waited until today to get terrified... Then I guess you're one of today's unlucky 10,000. Congratulations, or something.
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illiac786
2 hours ago
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Well but they were one of the lucky ones not living in terror for all the days past. Truly lucky, no irony here.
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AnotherGoodName
4 hours ago
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What makes a car ‘made in China’ (therefore over 100% tariffs) vs ‘assembled in the USA’ (therefore no tariffs)?

The battery, engine and everything else is absolutely Chinese made. I don’t know how much assembly there is honestly but i feel the Geely, err i mean Polestar was a little close to that line.

I will say the laws around this indicate just how ridiculous tariffs can be. There’s always some line to press up against and honestly if electric motors, batteries, car bodies and wheels from china have different tariffs to a car as a whole it’s always going to lead to china shipping those parts in an easy to bolt together way to ‘make a car’.

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mixologic
4 hours ago
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Read up on the "chicken tax" for how long the auto industry has navigated weird assemvly games: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicken_tax
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walrus01
3 hours ago
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I think my favorite part would be where they were unbolting entire seats and feeding them directly into industrial shredders.

"Ford imported all of its first-generation Ford Transit Connect models as "passenger vehicles" by including rear windows, rear seats, and rear seat belts.[1] The vehicles were exported from Turkey on ships owned by Wallenius Wilhelmsen Logistics (WWL), arrived in Baltimore, and were converted back into light trucks at WWL's Vehicle Services Americas, Inc. facility by replacing rear windows with metal panels and removing the rear seats and seat belts.[1] The removed parts were not shipped back to Turkey for reuse, but shredded and recycled in Ohio.[1] The process exploited the loophole in the customs definition of a light truck; as cargo does not need seats with seat belts or rear windows, presence of those items automatically qualified the vehicle as a "passenger vehicle" and exempted the vehicle from "light truck" status. The process cost Ford hundreds of dollars per van, but saved thousands in taxes.[1]"

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khuey
3 hours ago
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Ford ended up paying $365 million (roughly $2200 per van) to settle a lawsuit from the government over that.
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bagels
3 hours ago
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I wonder if manufacturers are using LLMs to find all the dumb loopholes in the laws that they can.
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sublinear
1 hour ago
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If the law was that simple, we wouldn't need the rest of the judicial system.
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rtpg
2 hours ago
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the justification given for the ban (provided in other sources) is that Polestar's software stack is made in China. The theoretical spooky thing is China forcing some "evil" software update that stops all the Polestars.

The Volvo distinction is ... I mean maybe the Volvo software stack is in Europe or the US. Maybe it's also in China!

I do not really subscribe to this philosophy but what's going on isn't a "Polestar would be tar riffed" thing. It's an outright "you can't sell em" thing

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InsideOutSanta
6 minutes ago
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I think there's a reasonable argument that modern cars are so full of cameras and other surveillance gear that there should be some rules about where this data is sent and how it's handled.

Unfortunately, this doesn't seem to be that.

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mattas
4 hours ago
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Reminds me of this.

There's a whole industry around reverse engineering tariff classifications to find ways to minimize all-in manufacturing cost.

For example, let's say you sell air purifiers.

Option 1 is to import an air purifier and pay the 25% tariff (or whatever the actual duty rate is) on air purifiers.

Option 2 is to import a widget that gets classified as a fan (with 5% duty) and import a widget that gets classified as an air filter (with 10% duty), then put them in the same box somewhere in the US.

Both are sold to consumers as an air purifier. But one of the options minimizes total cost to the manufacturer.

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3eb7988a1663
2 hours ago
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Radiolab[0] had a story about this involving "toys" vs "dolls".

  "Dolls," which represent human beings, are taxed at almost twice the rate of "toys," which represent something not human - such as robots, monsters, or demons. As soon as they read that, Sherry and Indie saw dollar signs. it just so happened that one of their clients, Marvel Comics, was importing its action figures as dolls. And one set of action figures really piqued Sherry and Indie's interest: The XMEN, normal humans who, at around puberty, start to change in ways that give them strange powers.

  So Sherry and Indie went down to the customs office with a bag of XMEN action figures to convince the US government that these mutants are NOT human. That argument eventually became a court case that went on for years. 
[0] https://radiolab.org/podcast/177199-mutant-rights
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ifwinterco
3 hours ago
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The solution is to tax the capital account instead (tobin tax) or at the very least put the same tariff on everything.

But politicians can never resist exceptions and carve outs and then the game starts again

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AnthonyMouse
2 hours ago
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> The solution is to tax the capital account instead (tobin tax)

Isn't that just going to further advantage multinational corporations that don't have to move currency in order to move resources because they're all within the same corporation?

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mopsi
3 hours ago
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To add to this, sneakers with a barely visible fuzzy fabric bottom are one of the best examples of tariff engineering: https://www.gazetc.com/blog/2010/08/sneaking-through-us-cust...
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Eufrat
3 hours ago
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The policy of the United States is currently a roulette wheel suffering from dementia that believes that Siri is a Norwegian supermodel they can use to seed the future Herrenrasse.
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chvid
2 hours ago
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Some history for context:

In 1999 Swedish Volvo spins out and sells Volvo Cars to Ford (Volvo Sweden continues making trucks and heavy equipment) for 6.45 B USD.

In 2010 Ford sells Volvo Cars to Geely for 1.8 B USD.

iN 2017 Geely spins out Polestar from Volvo Cars. In 2021 Geely IPOes Polestar at NYSE for 20 B USD.

Leonardo DiCaprio-Backed Electric Automaker Polestar Valued At $20 Billion In SPAC Deal

https://deadline.com/2021/09/leonardo-dicaprio-backed-electr...

Polestar, the electric vehicle company backed by Volvo of Sweden and Leonardo DiCaprio was valued at $20 billion in a SPAC deal that will take it public.

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jleyank
6 hours ago
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Might it be that one sells EV’s and the other sells ICE cars? Or perhaps stupidity re Volvo’s ownership? Or a missing bribe?
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linzhangrun
5 hours ago
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Volvo also has BEVs, which are rebadged Zeekr (Geely) and mainly sold in China.
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dcrazy
4 hours ago
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Volvo’s EX line of EVs is sold here in the U.S.
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cuu508
3 hours ago
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Or maybe somebody at the decision table had sentimental feelings for Volvo. Like Kyoto.
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Kon5ole
3 hours ago
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I would be more terrified if they didn’t spare a manufacturer who designs and makes cars in Sweden and the US since decades just because the majority owner is Chinese.
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queenkjuul
2 hours ago
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Polestar designs cars in Sweden and builds then in the US for many years, it's still strange
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insane_dreamer
1 hour ago
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Are they going to also ban Jaguar and Land Rover because they're owned by an Indian company?
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trhway
4 hours ago
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the main point to me here is that such decisions should be fully public including all the input info and all the reasoning that is behind the decision, similar to a court case. Instead we have that guessing game.
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garyfirestorm
4 hours ago
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Corruption and transparency are polar opposites
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ChrisArchitect
4 hours ago
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Related:

Feds deny Polestar authorization to sell cars in US from model year 2027

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48678494

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elzbardico
5 hours ago
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Probably the stupid politician behind it didn't get the memo that Volvo is no longer a swedish company?
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scythe
4 hours ago
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I think it's half this and half that Volvo is still a recognizable brand that Americans grew up with. My mother had a Volvo when I was seven. People would react if Volvo was banned. Polestar? What's that?

But Geely can throw down the gauntlet by building Polestars and relabeling them Volvos.

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onesociety2022
4 hours ago
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This is probably the reason. Volvo brand is well established in the USA while Polestar is new. So not very Americans would complain if Polestar is banned as compared to Volvo.
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cookiengineer
2 hours ago
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Maybe Volvo has some Swedish brand advertising running on Fox news?
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ornornor
1 hour ago
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Terrify me? Really? There are other, genuinely terrifying things happening right now: climate change, human rights violations, animal rights, the spread of totalitarianism… that’s terrifying.
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decimalenough
1 hour ago
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The spread of totalitarianism as, perhaps, exemplified by the US government arbitrarily deciding that certain cars can't be sold in the US, even if they're manufactured in the US and meet all applicable regulations?
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insane_dreamer
1 hour ago
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dammit, was planning on buying a Polestar at the end of this year when our Tesla lease runs out
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jauntywundrkind
5 hours ago
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The feds also controlling who has access to AI models. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48692995

It's all just this lawless personal fealty shit.

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delichon
4 hours ago
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It would be better if the AI censorship was lawless, rather than authorized by the Arms Export Control Act of 1976, since that would allow the Article III branch of the federal government to be a defense against it. The lawfulness makes it worse.
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AnthonyMouse
2 hours ago
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Some people have been pointing out for decades that granting unchecked discretionary powers to the executive branch is a hazard. Now there is an executive using them to do things a lot of people don't like.

Are the people who don't like it going to withdraw those powers the next time they have the opportunity? The main alternative is more of this.

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malcolmgreaves
4 hours ago
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The same kind of thinking was used on encryption algorithms in the 90s.
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uproarchat
3 hours ago
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Only a few of us are big enough to fit an LLM on a tshirt
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woodpanel
1 hour ago
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Granted, it seems inconsistent to treat Volvo different from Polestar. It might be just, that Volvo will get the Axe in a separate process, it might be sheer incompetence of the US admin, or it might be a deliberate negotiation tactic.

But what annoys me the most about the article is this constant praise of „China Speed“, Cost-Advantages and Love of the Free Market, as if not every single Chinese Automaker, including its Suppliers down to the tiniest screw is a State owned entity, massively subsidized and in general part of a rigged market.

This is not to take from the accomplishments of the Chinese, but a major part of the last 30+ years of development is just massive screwing and exploiting the western open market and its companies. Yeah, we’ve not forgotten the droves of people blatantly stealing IP on every trade show imaginable and a state completely absent from enforcing IP when ever another Chinese car is dropped to the market that looks 100% like a Benz, Porsche or Land Rover.

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bruce511
46 minutes ago
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Everytime the issue of Chinese state subsidies comes up, two things occur to me.

First, a "subsidy" is just govt tax money. In other words it comes from somewhere. It is, in effect, the Chinese people, contributing to the creation, or development of an industry. Clearly the Chinese govt thinks this is a sound commercial strategy, and certainly from here (considering their global dominance in manufacturing) it appears to be working.

Secondly, it's not like all countries don't subsidize industries of their own. Although their decisions of what to subsidy varys a lot.

For example the US subsidizes weapons production. To the tune of a trillion $ a year. That spills over a bit into commercial stuff (Boeing for example.) And sure, there is some export value (although that may decline in the long term given current political isolationism.)

Of course you can't spend a trillion a year if the storehouse is full. It's necessary to expend some munitions from time to time to make room for new ones. But I digress.

To go back, when people complain that US products are expensive because of Chinese (or other) subsidies- just be aware that the US subsidizes more than most. They just target industries that have little to no economic value to US citizens, and which can't be purchased by domestic or indeed foreign citizens.

The US could easily subsidize electric cars, or solar, or wind manufacturing but it chooses to subsidize airplanes and naval ships and tank builders instead. It chooses to spend money on 2 million employees (armed forces) rather than on 2 million factory workers, or day-care facilitators, or health-care workers.

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andsoitis
6 hours ago
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It does not terrify me.
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fsckboy
4 hours ago
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>Polestar is done in the U.S. market. Its sister brand Volvo, owned by the same Chinese parent company, was spared. No one has explained why. The U.S. Federal Government is meddling with the automotive industry, the free market, and capitalism.

I'm not saying "trust the government", not at all. But meddling in China trade is absolutely not meddling with the free market.

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DangitBobby
3 hours ago
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How is preventing a Chinese brand from selling here not meddling in the free market?
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AnthonyMouse
2 hours ago
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"Free market" implies regulators aren't picking winners and losers etc. If China subsidizes their export industry to make manufacturing in other countries uncompetitive then it's already not a free market.

Ideally what you would want is to get China to stop doing that, but now propose a mechanism to get them to.

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happymellon
1 hour ago
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You make it sound like the US doesn't massively subsidise entire markets and then try to force other countries to accept these market distortions.
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AnthonyMouse
45 minutes ago
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Expecting other countries to do the right thing while not doing it yourself makes you a hypocrite, it doesn't change what the right thing is.
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decimalenough
1 hour ago
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Have you seen Polestar's pricing? They're very much positioned as the premium EV option and their pricing is pretty much the opposite of dumping.
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AnthonyMouse
32 minutes ago
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Commercial airliners cost tens of millions of dollars, does that imply a company that makes them isn't being subsidized by their government?

China subsidizes (among other things) battery manufacturing, which is the biggest single cost for making EVs. If you get your batteries cheaper than competing companies then you can make premium cars with an electric range at the high end of the market and then use the subsidized cost to provide other amenities that cause customers to choose your product over alternatives even at a premium price. It allows you to take the high end of the market on value just as well as the low end on cost.

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SilverElfin
6 hours ago
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It’s because the Polestar cars have a lot more electronic surveillance than the Volvo models, which have had only minor tweaks and have mostly not been updated for years.
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Terr_
6 hours ago
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If it were just about electronic surveillance, a bunch of other cars/manufacturers would be getting impeded or at least get some sort of negative scrutiny.

https://www.mozillafoundation.org/en/privacynotincluded/cate...

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andsoitis
6 hours ago
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None of those are Chinese-owned, as far as I can tell.

Polestar is predominantly Chinese-owned. Federal Connected Car Rules instituted a ban on the company selling cars in the United States.

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killingtime74
5 hours ago
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All of them are Chinese owned. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geely. Geely, Polestar, Volvo, Zeekr, Smart, Lotus. All the same group
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caminante
5 hours ago
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Did you mean to reply to a different comment?

I don't see any of those on the mozillafoundation page, per @andsoitis.

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killingtime74
3 hours ago
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Oops, indeed
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mukbangpervert
5 hours ago
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Correction: it is because a major Republican donor wants Chinese cars banned, because they beat the living shit out of his offerings on quality and value.

It is silly to credulously pretend that the excuse about Chinese software has even a whiff of legitimacy.

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natch
4 hours ago
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It's hard to parse this without concluding that you are perhaps unaware that Volvo is Chinese.
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mukbangpervert
4 hours ago
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I should've said competitive Chinese EVs to be precise.

(Though I thought that anybody as smart as you think you are would've inferred that without issue)

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dybber
2 hours ago
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They need to balance between the Silicon Valley oligarchs desires and the MAGA voters possible reactions. Banning Volvo would probably not be well received by MAGA, at least Trump would need a bit more time to build the case that these vehicles are now unreliable.
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catigula
4 hours ago
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Why would we let China pump and dump our economy with cheap goods? We already tried that and it didn’t work.
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mullingitover
4 hours ago
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Our cheap exports: competitive, free markets maximizing efficiency and delivering value to consumers

Their cheap exports: sinister pump and dump

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kev009
4 hours ago
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I think a national security argument is much more sound than an economic one, although costs are externalized in a way that isn't obvious, i.e. ecological disaster that shipping everything around the world and back (components, assemblies) is, and hollowing out a local supply chain takes virtually no time while the impact or limits of it are hidden until abrupt breakage (i.e. covid-era shortages on basic supplies, wars, or heavy handed statesmen dictating preferential access to silicon or whatever today). That is, every nation has to maintain some stake in not hollowing out completely while still participating in global commerce.

Once upon a time nations understood the issues better: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_telephone_switches

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catlikesshrimp
3 hours ago
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What about the telephone switches?
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BlaDeKke
3 hours ago
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Notice how many brands there are, produced all over the world.
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kev009
3 hours ago
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Scroll down the list and look how many there are and where they were manufactured. Economic efficiency would mean only a few vendors.
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AnthonyMouse
2 hours ago
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> Economic efficiency would mean only a few vendors.

This is a massive lie monopolists tell you to justify anti-competitive mergers.

Increasing entity size has economies of scale (amortizing fixed costs over more units) and diseconomies of scale (bureaucratic overhead, long-distance transportation costs, etc.)

Economies of scale peter out with increasing entity size. Amortizing a $1000 fixed cost over 100 units instead of 10 saves $90/unit. Amortizing the same $1000 fixed cost over a trillion units instead of a million saves less than one tenth of one cent per unit.

Diseconomies of scale metastasize with increasing entity size. Entity size exceeds Dunbar number, language barriers and timezone asynchrony, corporate politics, independent jurisdictions imposing mutually-incompatible legal requirements, insufficient competition compromises incentives for efficiency as long-term incumbents succumb to Iron Law of Bureaucracy, etc.

By the time you're operating something at the scale of the entire planet, having the benefits of scale still exceed the costs of scale will happen approximately never.

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kev009
1 hour ago
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Maybe.. and "a few" was pulled out of thin air, but these machines were national treasures with immense R&D expense. Think rockets, heavy aircraft, and lithography.. not commodities or software. Having stuff in these categories is kind of "you have to be this tall to ride the ride"

The history is complicated and a side quest to the conversation here, but a free market did play out in the US and became fever pitched after AT&T was hand tied in the 1980s.

A free market means if you can do something better/cheaper/faster, or at least convince other people of the promise, you have a shot. The more that come (think of a gold rush), the potential returns diminish so it will eventually be hard to either acquire revenue/customers or funding for speculative approaches if they are capital intense.

Also, ironic to the conversation, the "best" machine vis a vis when and what, came out of the monopoly: the 5ESS. The Bell System was a reflection of a different culture and values system than what the US has today post leveraged buyout conglomerates and software company monopolies.

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AnthonyMouse
52 minutes ago
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> Maybe.. and "a few" was pulled out of thin air, but these machines were national treasures with immense R&D expense. Think rockets, heavy aircraft, and lithography.. not commodities or software.

Things with a large R&D expense are exactly like software. They have that specific problem with copying. If one company pays to do R&D and the others copy them, the one doing it can get out-competed because they have higher costs, and then there is a lower incentive to do it.

The problem comes after the government barges into the market and tries to address that problem with its inverse by granting the first company a monopoly. Then you have more incentive to do R&D, but only by trading the market for a czar.

The problem you have isn't that economies of scale couldn't support more manufacturers, it's that now other companies aren't allowed to make the product until the patent expires, and in many industries the incumbent will then use the profits from an existing patent to buy up other companies and patents and perpetuate a monopoly that was supposed to be temporary.

We don't currently solve that problem well, but the problem isn't that some things require too much scale. Markets where each of the patents required for a product are developed by more smaller entities who then license them like a patent pool is one structure that works as an alternative.

The actual problem is that governments are too shy about enforcing antitrust laws in patent cases, in part because it's counterintuitive to grant a monopoly on purpose and then prosecute over it. But the way it's supposed to work isn't that. Antitrust isn't about having a monopoly, it's about abusing one, e.g. leveraging a patent on one technology into a separate monopoly on an ancillary technology by tying the purchase of the patented product the other one. Or uncompetitive mergers, e.g. a company that already has a dominant market position in one market buying or exclusively (rather than non-exclusively) licensing patents that give it control over a different one.

We could definitely mess that up less than we currently do.

> The more that come (think of a gold rush), the potential returns diminish so it will eventually be hard to either acquire revenue/customers or funding for speculative approaches if they are capital intense.

"Nobody goes there anymore, it's too crowded."

If it's hard for new entrants to compete only because there are already so many incumbents, that's fine, because the number of existing suppliers is already large. The problem comes only when there is some artificial barrier to new entrants in a market that doesn't have enough providers as it is.

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scns
21 minutes ago
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Expats and immigrants, as long as we do it it's okay. Only possible when you lack self awareness and therefore can live with cognitive dissonance.
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happymellon
1 hour ago
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American cheap exports?

Government subsidised corn syrup in everything.

> Their cheap exports: sinister pump and dump

Hang on, are you just talking about American on both sides of the pros and cons

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peyton
4 hours ago
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They have capital controls. Good luck moving yuan instead of Labubus.
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onion2k
4 hours ago
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The alternative to Chinese goods is not locally made goods for the majority of people. It's either Chinese goods that we pretend are locally made, or it's nothing because they can't afford the local stuff.

Cheap good for decades has meant companies have been able to depress wages to the point no one can really live without them. Removing the cheap goods without also giving up massive corporate profits would just mean most people collapse into poverty.

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dmix
4 hours ago
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Nobody wants to do the hard work of developing industry, reducing cost of living and doing business so workers are more competitive, and changing all the rules that make China 10x more attractive for this sort of thing.

They just want to ban even more things.

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YokoZar
3 hours ago
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If companies have been "depressing wages for decades" how come they're at an all time high? https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEPAINUSA672N

People make stuff like this abroad because wages are too high here to make a profit, not too low.

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tancop
3 hours ago
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real wages in western countries are down because 1. regressive inflation on essential goods like energy is faster than both wages and luxury goods and 2. rent and house prices (= mortgage costs) are up because of corporate lobbying and rich nimby homeowners.

that means if employers want to pay workers fairly they need to pay a lot more than in other countries with a cheaper economy. but even the inflated wages are not growing fast enough to catch up with cost of living. so yeah wages are too high compared to the rest of the world but also too low relative to the gdp and growth rate and corporate profits.

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AnthonyMouse
1 hour ago
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> that means if employers want to pay workers fairly they need to pay a lot more than in other countries with a cheaper economy.

"Pay workers fairly" isn't something that companies in a competitive market can choose whether to do. If labor costs are high, they can either pay them, move operations to somewhere else, or stop operating. If labor costs are low, paying more than that would cause them to have higher prices than competitors.

What this implies is that countries with e.g. inflated housing costs will see operations to move to other countries whenever that's feasible, and indeed this is what we see. This isn't companies choosing to do this -- different companies will do different things, but then the ones doing the thing that requires them to have higher prices will be out-competed.

You can't fix that by admonishing them to "pay workers fairly", you can only fix it by increasing the domestic supply of housing and energy.

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wmf
3 hours ago
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They're banning Polestar cars that are designed in Sweden (I guess) and made in the US... because the car's Google firmware is Chinese-owned. This case isn't about saving jobs (that's what tariffs are for); it's a misguided attempt at privacy regulation.
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brookst
4 hours ago
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Might want to google “pump and dump”. Serious non-sequitur here.
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AnthonyMouse
1 hour ago
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DiogenesKynikos
4 hours ago
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"Pump and dump" is when Trump talks up a stock he just bought and then sells it.
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lostlogin
4 hours ago
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You're going to be able to compare this new way with the old way. Careful what you wish for.
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mslt
4 hours ago
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We can’t even make expensive versions of those goods
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chvid
2 hours ago
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If you go to China you will see plenty of KFC, Starbucks, Apple, and Tesla. American companies that all make billions out of the Chinese market.

Yet the US government seems happy to play games like this; there must be someone thinking - hey the shoe could soon be on the other foot? Maybe we should cool it a bit ...

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chvid
48 minutes ago
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Anyway - the answer to the rhetorical question - is there anyone thinking "it could be our turn soon" - seems to be a resounding "no".
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ronsor
2 hours ago
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Those are the exceptions that prove the rule. It's very difficult for US or Western companies in general to do business in China without opaque restrictions, corruptions, and share ownership hoops. If the US is playing games, then it's closer to kids playing soccer on weekends; China is already in the pro leagues.
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chvid
2 hours ago
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The simple story is: If you go to China you will see US brands everywhere. If you go to the US, you will see Chinese brands nowhere.
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Markoff
2 hours ago
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Really, you will see TCL (and Hisense) nowhere in US? I recommend visiting any store selling TVs.

Same goes for Thinkpad/Motorola, but I guess there at could argue these are not original Chinese brands.

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chvid
51 minutes ago
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Yes - really. The presence of US companies in China is huge and everywhere whereas the presence of Chinese companies in the US is tiny.
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busterarm
2 hours ago
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Also Tencent, GE, Smithfield Foods, Legendary Pictures, DJI, AMC Theaters…
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05
54 minutes ago
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